Bottom line is that central London does have a UHI of about 1.5 deg C. This however doesn't change over the last 45 years. The rate of warming at all the London sites is the same. 1.5 is the average UHI, but it can be up to nearly 5 but as low as 0 on some days - see the distribution histograms.
Tuesday, January 31, 2012
Email 309, Jan 2008, Phil Jones on London UHI: "1.5 is the average UHI, but it can be up to nearly 5 but as low as 0 on some days"
Email 362, Aug 1999, Barrie Pittock: "The great danger of doing things the way we are, in our rush to prepare these IPCC reports, is that we are not submitting this stuff to peer review before using it"
The great danger of doing things the way we are, in our rush to prepare these IPCC reports, is that we are not submitting this stuff to peer review before using it. This makes it even more important that we bend over backwards to get it right. I know it is a bother, but that is life. I am genuinely sorry to be such a stickler about it, but there we are.
Email 384, July 2004, Michael Mann to Pielke Sr.: "I would think it obvious that peer-review alone is *not* a sufficient to establish what is "good science""
With regard to your argument, I would think it obvious that peer-review alone is *not* a sufficient to establish what is "good science". That is why we do *assessment*, i.e., use our own expert judgement to assess what is and is not appropriate or relevant for our report within the peer-reviewed literature. I think this is obvious.
Email 385, July 2005, Phil Jones: "The warming from 1915 to about 1940 is generally believed to be due to a slight increase in solar output and a reduction in volcanism."
The warming from 1915 to about 1940 is generally believed to be due to a slight increase in solar output and a reduction in volcanism. The recent warming from 1975 is due to the build-up of greenhouse gases, as they begin to dominate over sulphate aerosol releases. The slight cooling from 1940 to 1975 is thought to be due to industrial development (using lots of dirty coal) increasing aerosol emissions.
Email 451, Jan. 2009, Stephen Schneider: "We are witnessing the "contrarian battle of the bulge" now, and expect that all weapons will be used"
The end of the email Ben attached shows their intent--to discredit papers so they have no "evidentiary value in public policy"--what you resort to when you can't win the intellectual battle scientifically at IPCC or NAS.
Good luck with this, and expect more of it as we get closer to international climate policy actions, We are witnessing the "contrarian battle of the bulge" now, and expect that all weapons will be used.
ClimateWire editor John Fialka says he believes interest in global warming will return to America’s agenda sooner than most think: “People know the climate is changing, especially if they’re outdoors at all. And they know eventually they’ll have to pay for it.” The first bills may be issued by insurance companies
Hotter summers could lead to between 580-5900 deaths above the average per year by the 2050s, says the Defra Climate Risk Assessment. But it also says that milder winters could lead to 3,900-24,000 fewer premature deaths by the 2050s, significantly more than those forecast to die as a result of hot weather.
Climate skepticism is doing more than just striking a chord here in Germany. It’s turning into a full blown concert!
A recent study found that sea level rise of only a tenth of a meter would lead to $2 billion in property damage and affect almost 68,000 people in Washington, D.C.
NOAA employees today were asked to participate in a Climate Knowledge Survey.
You apparently get an “A” if you believe in the unscientific Nonsensus.
Climate: Global warming alarmists won't give up their campaign to spread fear and backward thinking until an ice bridge stretches from New York to Paris. Science, though, says they should.
It has taken a very long time for most of the public to come to the conclusion that they have been the object of an elaborate hoax. In America polls demonstrate that global warming is at the very bottom of their concerns these days. In time, wind and solar power, electric cars, biofuels, and other environmental delusions will join that list.
This is important. It suggests strongly that, prior to becoming head of the IPCC, Pachauri’s support for climate action didn’t rest on objective evidence. Rather, he regarded a global emissions treaty as a useful mechanism – as one more way in which his fantasy of introducing a new ethic to govern human behaviour might be realized.
After a 60-day break, Sydney has finally reached 30 degrees, ending the longest summer run below 30 since 1996/97. In that summer there were 61 consecutive days below 30 degrees.
A system in which reviewers do not see author responses or review comments from other reviewers until after (and some months after) the final report surely warrants some introspection even if IPCC reviewers have acquiesced in such a system in the past. Nor does such a system appear to me to comply with (reasonable) public expectations that IPCC procedures be “open” and “transparent” – as IPCC officials like to proclaim.
In addition, I would be surprised if this sort of system is compliant with, for example, US federal standards for “influential scientific assessments”, a failure which may well create problems down the road for US agencies seeking to rely on IPCC reports without triggering fresh public comment and peer review.
PALO ALTO, Calif., Jan. 30 (UPI) -- Rising temperatures caused by global warming are cutting wheat yields in India, suggesting difficulties ahead for global food supplies, a researcher said.
The record wheat production in the country estimated for this year is largely on back of a bumper harvest in the main producing state of Uttar Pradesh, which is forecast to produce about 30 million tonnes of the grain.
Wheat production in Uttar Pradesh this year is estimated to cross 30 million tonnes, an increase by over 9% compared to the last year, on the back of good weather conditions.
It’s wholly untrue to claim that President Barack Obama is picking and choosing winners in the energy industry, because this administration seems to only pick losers…
I’ve been accused on this blog of being mean to climate deniers – of calling them “deniers” when they fancy themselves “skeptics”. Well, what else do we call people who ignore and even distort evidence that doesn’t support their prejudice? I can think of words that are a lot worse than “denier”, but changing our terminology to suit deniers is like calling a thief a businessman just because that’s how he sees himself.
So in fact the population of the Davis Strait increased over the last 30 years, in spite of global warming, from 726 to 2,142. But now it is supposed that they are in decline, in spite of there being no actual population study.
"Hansen has lost a lot of credibility ever since he's moved to be more of an activist than a scientist," said Matt Dempsey, communications director for the Senate Environment and Public Works Committee Minority office, which Inhofe leads. "The American people have rejected alarmism on global warming. Global warming has all but gone away on Capitol Hill."
For example in Circle Hot Springs, AK on Sunday, 29 Jan 2012 the HIGH temperature was a blistering -49°F, breaking the -44°F record which has stood since 1917. It gets better.
That same day in Circle Hot Springs the low temperature was -58°F breaking the old record of -52°F set in 1941 by six degrees.
...Question: If the all-time temperature record nearly broken for the entire country were a warm record, would NBC News, ABC News, CBS News, and CNN have produced segments on this latest proof of global warming? You know the answer to that question.
Periods of low sunspot counts correlated with high wheat prices.
So far the there is only moderate icing in the Gulf of Finland, but the situation will change if the cold weather continues. In an effort to avoid a repeat of the situation last year, when tens of ships were stuck in the ice, Russian shipping officials ordered the world´s largest nuclear powered icebreaker to assist in the Gulf of Finland. The Russian nuclear giant "50 Years of Victory" left its home port Murmansk last Wednesday, and now on its way to the Baltic Sea.
The new research is consistent with other recent studies of the Little Ice Age, notes Michael Mann, a climate scientist at Pennsylvania State University, in State College. The global cooling was attributable to volcanic activity. But the regional distribution and intensity of cold temperatures owed much to the sun's weakened output, he adds in an e-mail.
The sun produces most of its radiation as ultraviolet light, which sees the largest swings in intensity with the rise and fall of the sunspot cycle. Most of the ultraviolet light is intercepted by ozone in the stratosphere; the UV light builds ozone molecules there. Ozone is a greenhouse gas. When solar radiation declines, so does stratospheric ozone, cooling the stratosphere. This changes wind patterns there. These changes eventually work their way into wind patterns in the lower atmosphere, as well.
In a paper in the journal Science in 2009, Dr. Mann and colleagues showed how these shifting patterns during the Little Ice Age – when the sun entered a pronged period of weakened radiation – would have thrown natural climate swings into one phase more often than the other.
The WSJ and Daily Mail posted articles on climate change that are the wrongiest wrongs ever wronged. is.gd/qPjm5I
Fritz Vahrenholt, one of the fathers of Germany's environmental movement, no longer trusts the forecasts of the IPCC. Doubt came two years ago when he was an expert reviewer of an IPCC report on renewable energy. "I discovered numerous errors and asked myself if the other IPCC reports on climate change were similarly sloppy. I couldn’t take it any more. I had to write this book.”
The huge Paradiski ski domain in the French Alps which combines Les Arcs, Peisey Vallandry and La Plagne with 425km of piste says snow levels in parts of its vast domain are the deepest they have been at this time of year for 46 years.
Mark Flanner of the National Center for Atmospheric Research has calculated that waste heat could directly warm industrialized parts of the world by between 0.4 °C and 0.9 °C by 2100, reports New Scientist.
MEXICO CITY — A drought that a government official called the most severe Mexico had ever faced has left two million people without access to water and, coupled with a cold snap, has devastated cropland in nearly half of the country.
Across the ocean in Alaska, which is used to frigid weather, residents are battling extremely low temperatures that have reached minus 60 Fahrenheit and minus 51 Celsius. The freeze has even affected the shape of car tires, making them more square than round.
While Israelis are thrilled at more than three feet of snow on the upper slopes of the Hermon, the snowfall in parts of Alaska have reached 25 feet so far this year.
Heavy snow has left 53 dead and hundreds injured in several prefectures in western and northern Japan, it has been learned.
The loss of life came primarily in five prefectures along the Sea of Japan in the Tohoku region and Hokkaido, with 12 dead in Niigata, 11 in Hokkaido, nine in Aomori, eight in Nagano and six in Akita. Reported injuries have already surpassed 574, with over 100 in four of the five prefectures affected most by the strong cold air mass sweeping through the region.
Ukrainian authorities say that the number of people who died of hypothermia in recent days has reached 30 as the country grapples with an unusually severe cold spell.
The Emergency Situations Ministry said on its website Tuesday that most of the victims were found frozen on the streets. On Monday officials put the death toll at 18 people.
for this Point of Inquiry episode, we invited Eugenie to break some news about why she is venturing into a very new and very challenging area—defending the teaching of accurate climate change science in schools from a mounting ideological assault—and how you can help her out.
Romania has to import an additional 0.7 million cubic meters of natural gas for each additional degree below zero.
No, humanity’s real risk is severe cooling, which will make life very difficult indeed but claiming that the absurd output of climate models indicates any risk to us, much less that “prompt action on climate change is paramount to our survival on earth” is not merely absurd but utterly irresponsible fear-mongering.
Bulgaria faced another day of record low temperatures on January 31 2012, with a "Code Orange" weather warning in force for the whole country and with the severe weather having claimed two lives the previous day.
On Sunday, minimum temperatures in the city of Manzhouli in Inner Mongolia reached a record low of minus 44.9 degrees Celsius.
Some municipalities in Serbia are cut off and unreachable due to the bitter cold, with temperatures in some areas dropping below minus 20 degrees Celsius, and the cold has claimed its first victims.
Serbian Emergency Situation Sector head Predrag Maric said a search was in progress for two elderly people on Mt Suvobor, presumed to have died in big snow drifts, but that it was advancing with difficulty.
How exactly did the IPCC try to exact promises of confidentiality from people? Why might they think they could request SteveMc grant them confidentiality?
As soon as it becomes clear that the Sun has more to do with climate change than anything our puny civilisation can throw at it, the wheels will finally come of the global warming gravy train. So it is little wonder that those with snouts in the trough will do anything to play down the effect of the Sun to ensure that man-made CO2 becomes the only “control knob” on the climate system.
Just as “we must get rid of the Medieval Warm Period”, now we have “we must get rid of the Little Ice Age”. And finally, they’ve worked out how: blame volcanoes (with a little help from a computer model, naturally):
We’ve set in motion a dangerous boulder of climate change that is rolling downhill, and it is too late to avoid major damage when it hits full-force several decades from now.
These deaths are just the headline cases. How many more die from that silent killer, hypothermia, without anyone recording the event as such? When the differential mortality figures come in, what will be the seasonal excess?
But even with just the headline mortality, the point is made that cold kills. Defra and its greenie friend may make the case for increased deaths due to global warming. They, however, are talking about potential risks, conditional on warming that is no longer happening. We are talking about the reality.
A new study found global temperatures peaked... over a decade ago. Marc Morano expands on the news.
Anchorage's average temperature for January has been 2.7 degrees Fahrenheit, the Alaska Daily News reported. That's well below its average of 15 degrees, and only three other years (1947, 1925 and 1920) have been colder, National Weather Service data show.
As of 12:30 p.m. Monday, 32 inches of snow had fallen in the city, clogging roads and forcing city officials to declare a snow emergency. No unnecessary travel and no parking on roads so city crews can plow the streets.
The Warmist epidemiologist below is perfectly correct that past natural climate changes have been disastrous but the disastrous ones were episodes of COOLING. Periods of warming -- as in the Roman warm period -- were periods of prosperity and civilizational advance. Yet he is trying to make the case that history shows warming to be bad. He must know that history indicates the opposite so I say without hesitation that he is a lying crook of zero credibility on anything. I could go on to dispute more of his patently false claims but what's the point?
Birds are starving without their customary fare of spring insects.
--Climate Depot: Emerging from this web site are attacks, often crude but sometimes sophisticated, designed to create doubt about climate change. In charge is a former aide to Sen. Jim Inhofe, R-Oklahoma, who pronounced global warming a "hoax."
The site deploys scattergun attacks. It sneers at "power elites" and such prominent greens as ex-Vice President Al Gore and actor Leonardo DiCaprio. (Big Oil and Big Coal are apparently not part of these "elites".) It debunks public investment in alternative technologies ("green failures"). It suggests, against all evidence compiled by the U.N. and NOAA, that the Arctic ice pack is not shrinking and "Global Cooling Coming?"
At around 2040-2050 we will be in a new major Solar Minimum. It is to be expected that we will then have a new “Little Ice Age” over the Arctic and NW Europe. The past Solar Minima were linked to a general speeding-up of the Earth’s rate of rotation. This affected the surface currents and southward penetration of Arctic water in the North Atlantic causing “Little Ice Ages” over northwestern Europe and the Arctic.
Jan. 30, 2012: Cowards in Our Democracies, Part 2:
How "think tanks" help "work" our democracies for the benefit of the few. [Hansen in this PDF: "Every year fossil fuels kill about 1,000,000 people."]
Monday, January 30, 2012
Jim River, AK closed in on the all time record coldest temperature of -80°F set in 1971, which is not only the Alaska all-time record, but the record for the entire United States. Unfortunately, it seems the battery died in the weather station just at the critical moment.
a major millennia-long climate cooling event known as the “Younger Dryas” coincides with the end of most settlements along the Nile Delta and in modern-day Syria. Skeletons from the era evince “an unusually high proportion of violent deaths, many accompanied by remnants of weapons,” McMichael noted.
“…temperatures dipping as low as minus 60 over the past few weeks…”
“…relentless extreme cold prevented fuel deliveries…”
“It’s been too cold for people to use their snowmobiles…”
Email 611, May 2008: Former navigator informs Phil Jones how critical sea surface temperatures were gathered: "...peering at the thermometer with a weak torch in the middle of a gale, spilling most of the water, making up readings, copying what others had written before (as it was dark, blowing a hooley and you couldn't be bothered to go onto the bridge wing)"
Dear Professor Jones I have just read with great interest the reporting of your work on sea water temperatures. However, am a little confused by what has been reported. Firstly the canvas bucket v sea water intake differences. We were always taught by the met office that only surface temperatures should be taken using the bucket just dipped into the sea. The design of the bucket greatly reduced colling through evaporation as it was double skinned. The sea water intake is by definition below the waterline. This must remain below the waterline at all stages of loading. So if you take a ship with a lightship draught of 2m its sea water intake will be just below the surface. If you now load that ship, the intake is now some 10m below the surface. This must throw up an enormous variation in readings.
Secondly, the UK register after 1945 greatly increased to its heyday in the 1970s before declining again. During this time the number of reports from UK ships must have grown vastly, dwarfing the number of US sources. This must then through up some variation in temperature reading methods post say the mid 50s.
Thirdly, as a former navigator I remember how hit and miss the whole method was. Chucking this bucket over the side, pulling it back in (trying not to hit the side of the ship and wake the Captain), peering at the thermometer with a weak torch in the middle of a gale, spilling most of the water, making up readings, copying what others had written before (as it was dark, blowing a hooley and you couldn't be bothered to go onto the bridge wing). And I was a pretty conscientious officer.
The met reports from the observing ships is pretty dubious at times. I remember crossing the Atlantic one time and could not understand why there was this isolated fog bank following us across as indicated on the weather fax. Then checked the visibility codes for our reports and found that we had all just been copying the wrong number down. Would be interested to hear some thoughts about the above issues though. BR Phil -------------------------------------------------
Dr Phillip Belcher Professional Development Officer Honourable Company of Master Mariners
Email 541, Sept 2006: Fair-and-balanced Andy Revkin writes to a long list of warmist scientists: "i'm just trying to be sure that folks like all of you take an extra couple seconds to use Inhofe against himself"
cc: Anthony Socci , firstname.lastname@example.org, "Raymond S. Bradley" , Malcolm Hughes , Edward Cook , Henry Diaz , Jonathan Overpeck , email@example.com, firstname.lastname@example.org, email@example.com, Gavin Schmidt , firstname.lastname@example.org, Eric Steig , "Dale P. Winebrenner" , David Vladeck , "David M. Ritson" , Stephen H Schneider , Mike MacCracken , Phil Jones
, Keith Briffa , Kerry Emanuel , Ben Santer , "Wahl, Eugene R" , Caspar Ammann , Scott Rutherford , email@example.com, Juerg Luterbacher , Pete Altman , firstname.lastname@example.org, Dale Willman date: Tue, 26 Sep 2006 07:06:22 -0400 from: Andy Revkin subject: Re: inhofe & mann & me to: Stefan Rahmstorf
I know. but he still speaks to and for a big chunk of America -- people whose understanding of science and engagement with such issues is so slight that they happily sit in pre-conceived positions. that might be one reason he doesn't like this book, which is devoid of easily-attacked spin and scare tactics and lets the science point the way itself. i'm just trying to be sure that folks like all of you take an extra couple seconds to use Inhofe against himself and forward the blog/book link to a few people who might not be aware of this book -- the first on Arctic and global climate change for all readers 10 and up -- and of Inhofe's moves. http://www.amazon.com/gp/pdp/profile/A1L2TYV56JXF2V/ref=cm_blog_dp_pdp/104-4914927-77631 26
Hi Andy, from over here, it is hard to see this kind of Inhofe speach as anything else than an irrelevant piece of absurd theatre. It doesn't even bother me any more - he's simply lost it. Cheers, Stefan
(Of course Climate Depot finds the letter breathlessly exciting.)
The Church of Global Warming is shattering in Germany, one of the last bastions of the movement. Even the environmental bishops are leaving the Church.
Comment On Gavin Schmidt’s Post On His Weblog Real Climate Regarding The Dominate Role Of Anthropogenic Greenhouse Gas Concentrations On The Global Average Temperature Trends | Climate Science: Roger Pielke Sr.
Actually, it is straightforward to shed doubt on Gavin’s (and the IPCC) claim. If the increase in anthropogenic greenhouse gas concentration were so dominate we would expect the global average [annual] lower troposphere temperature to more-or less monotonically continue to rise in the last decade or so. This clearly has not occurred, as illustrated, for example, in the figure below for the lower troposphere
The green energies could lead to a 3 degree C warming just from waste heat!
In a response that was published at David Appell’s Quark Soup blog, Trenberth dismissed the new study’s findings, saying the uncertainties in the ocean heat content data remain too large to draw the conclusion that observational uncertainties are the best explanation for the missing heat. The new study, Trenberth wrote, “seems to have its main point that our earlier paper was wrong. I will certainly disagree with that.”
According to Trenberth, scientists need to significantly reduce the uncertainties in the ocean heat content data before they can suspend the search for the missing heat. “The discrepancies among [upper-ocean heat content data sets] remain huge. We MUST do better,” he told Appell.
Last Tuesday, a new spate of “warmist” e-mails were anonymously released to the public. The e-mails were exchanged among scientists who claim humans are causing a global warming crisis, which requires drastic and coordinated measures on the part of the world’s governments.
Sydney has just ended its longest summer spell below 30 degrees in 15 years, weatherzone.com.au reports.
it’s taking place in an over-the-top, five-star hotel
the Lysenko charge is self refuting—really, a lot like the charge that President Obama is a socialist.
The graph below shows what ice extent must have been before satellites were launched. Right where it is now.
In the BEST paper, Dr. Muller failed to notice the change in UHI effect in northern stations, and thus missed the fact that cooling is really taking place in the continental U. S. as for myself, I wonder how cold it will be before Berkeley Earth discovers the cooling.
Email 1414, March 2007: Kevin Trenberth on the political process of changing the IPCC Summary for Policymakers in a 2007 meeting at which journalists were barred: "It was hardly a closed meeting or process"
A brief response along the lines that there were various drafts of the report, but the final process of building a consensus among the political delegates who were present in Paris is obviously not understood. It was hardly a closed meeting or process. The SPM was indeed approved line by line by governments in Paris from 29 January to 1 February, 2007. The rationale is that the scientists determine what can be said, but the governments help determine how it can best be said. Negotiations occur over wording to ensure accuracy, balance, clarity of message, and relevance to understanding and policy. But the basic scientific message was not changed and Wasdell's claims have no basis in fact.Environmentalism is fascism
Summaries are not scientific statements. They are written during multi-day meetings where every line is agonizingly word-smithed on a giant screen in front of 195 government reps. AR2007’s Summary writing proceedings ran 48 hours non-stop. Enviro-activists may observe these proceedings but journalists are barred. Journalists glean info on these proceedings by interviewing green activists. When the Summary is released, the AR is held back to render fact-checking impossible during the media furore. When the AR is released, the matter is no longer newsworthy.
Email 1409, Sept 2009: Tim Osborn asks Phil Jones why New Zealand pre-1930 temperatures are "now very different, being much cooler (by > 0.5 degC for a 25-year low-pass mean)"
For my update I've used CRUTEM3v, expecting them to be rather similar but with a few more years on the end.
But the pre-1930 temperatures are now very different, being much cooler (by > 0.5 degC for a 25-year low-pass mean) in CRUTEM3v than CRUTEM2v. Previously they had been, on average, near or even above the 1961-1990 mean, now they're at -0.5 degC.
Is this a result of some homogenization work on New Zealand summer temp data? Or just some random artefact of minor changes somewhere?
Email 1395, Oct 2000: Bad weather in various places around the world; this allegedly wouldn't have happened if we didn't drive cars
The group says extreme weather worldwide in the last three months has included storms in Taiwan, Brazil and Canada, floods in Bangladesh, Japan, Vietnam and India, fires in the US, Italy and the Balkans and droughts in Burundi, Croatia, Kenya and Iran. Roger Higman, Senior Climate Change Campaigner at FoE, said: ``Dangerous climate change is already happening. The storms and floods we are now seeing will get more frequent and more severe. We desperately need cuts in the use of coal, oil and gas to prevent the worst forecasts coming true. ``That means the Government must stick to a fuel price policy that discourages the use of cars.'' World leaders will be under pressure in the Hague to agree a complex set of rules for carbon trading to try to avert the climate change disaster.
Email 1359, June 2004, Phil Jones on getting out of jury duty: "I just said I had meetings to go to (which was true once), the second I said the new students were coming in late September. The fact that I have little to do with U/Gs didn't seem to matter"
The Jury service sounds a pain. I've been called a couple of times over the last 10 years but managed to get out of it both times. I just said I had meetings to go to (which was true once), the second I said the new students were coming in late September. The fact that I have little to do with U/Gs didn't seem to matter.
Research is patchy, but modelling suggests that up to 30% of energy saved by improving the insulation of homes or the fuel efficiency of cars may be undone because people drive more or turn up the heat once it's cheaper.
Gleick goes on to point out that he has recently organised a pro-warmist open letter signed by no less than 255 scientists, not just a measly 16 – and none of them ignorant rocketeers or astronauts either – but the WSJ turned this down.
More settled science: Volcanoes may have caused the Little Ice Age that Phil Jones didn't believe in
BOULDER -- A new international study may answer contentious questions about the onset and persistence of Earth’s Little Ice Age, a period of widespread cooling that lasted for hundreds of years until the late 19th century.
The study, led by the University of Colorado Boulder with co-authors at the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) and other organizations, suggests that an unusual, 50-year-long episode of four massive tropical volcanic eruptions triggered the Little Ice Age between 1275 and 1300 A.D. The persistence of cold summers following the eruptions is best explained by a subsequent expansion of sea ice and a related weakening of Atlantic currents, according to computer simulations conducted for the study.
...The researchers set solar radiation at a constant level in the climate models.
Following all the questions raised about his blog John Cook has managed to respond. Or not.
Cook says that people complain about his penguin pictures and creative logos. Please visit Head Asploder Joe Romm where he calls Richard Lindzen, William Happer, Roger Pielke Sr, John Christy and a host of others, ‘fools’. Who does he turn to for support? John Cook of course. You can see this page where Cook has rounded up pictures of sceptical scientists and has them displayed as though they were a bunch of common criminals, with their mugshots in a gallery.
Ukraine’s Emergency Situations Ministry said 18 people died of hypothermia and nearly 500 people sought medical help for frostbites and hypothermia in just three days last week. Twelve of the dead were homeless people whose bodies were discovered on the streets.
Business leaders topped the poll, with Sir Richard Branson at number one, followed by runner-up Bill Gates and Sir Alan Sugar in sixth place.
Meanwhile eco-warrior Leonardo DiCaprio, one of Hollywood’s most committed green stars, languished in 19th place, with no more influence than celebrities not known for green issues such as David Beckham, Lady Gaga and Cheryl Cole.
The results also showed that US political figures could have a bigger influence on us than our own leaders. Former vice-president Al Gore and US President Barack Obama were in 4th and 5th place, ahead of the Prime Minister (9th) and London Mayor Boris Johnson (10th).
Royal influence is alive and well, with Prince Charles taking third place in the ranking.
Australian climate sceptic Professor Ian Plimer said yesterday: "People are finally waking up to the fact that climate change models have been assuming there's a constant sun. These predictions show that the great ball of heat called the sun guides our climate more than anything.
"It is the dominant factor, above the supposed impact of emissions."
The Met Office said any weakening of the sun would cause a reduction in temperatures of about 0.08C up to 2100, while greenhouse gases in the atmosphere would see rises of 2.5C by 2100.
(AGI) Warsaw - Dozens of people have died from the cold in central and eastern European countries last weekend. With temperatures falling to below 27 degrees Celsius, ten people died in Poland bringing the death toll for this winter to 46. Eighteen people died in the Ukraine over the past four days. Most people died of hypothermia and many were homeless or were elderly or ill.
I also hope you have noticed that the trends from 1998, 2001, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2009, and 2010 have been negative.
The problem for the warmenists is growing, as the actual temperature trend is starting to undershoot even the low end bound of most of the climate models. A few years of flat temperatures could be written off to the chaotic noise of random year-to-year variation, but after two decades (1980-1998) of a more or less steady rise of nearly 0.4 degrees C that seemed to validate the models and the projections, it looks like the warmist case is falling apart rather quickly.
Keep your eyes out to see whether this news is reported anywhere in the American media.
A landmark FOIA ruling last week will have far-reaching consequences for how public servants interpret their Freedom of Information obligations. Specifically, public servants cannot delete local copies of a file on their PC and then use its absence as an excuse not to disclose the file - if a backup copy exists on the organisation's systems. In other words: backup servers must be searched for FOIA requests.
After the first batch of Climategate emails surfaced, they contained what the Information Commissioner's office described as evidence a breach of the Act. MPs demanded an enquiry, which was held in March 2010. At this enquiry, Lord Acton, The University of East Anglia's Vice Chancellor, testified that no emails had been deleted. How could he do this?
We now know this was a semantic deception. The Palutikof email describes staff moving all their emails to memory sticks. As David Holland summarises:
"How else could Acton tell Commons Select Committee that they didn't delete anything, that we [UEA] have all the emails and they can be read. What Russell and Acton didn't tell MPs or the Information Commissioner, is that they were on memory sticks and backups."
Email 1335, Nov 2005, Michael "Robust Debate" Mann on the prospect of attending a workshop also attended by a guy who disagrees with him: "If Zorita is in, I am out!'
cc: Phil Jones
, Keith Briffa , Heinz Wanner date: Tue, 29 Nov 2005 10:26:33 -0500 from: "Michael E. Mann" subject: Re: Workshop: Participants/ 1. Circular to: Christoph Kull
Can I please have an explanation of what happened here???? You sent out a list yesterday of partipipants that we had all agreed upon. Today, you sent out emails to a DIFFERENT list, inviting an additional participant (Zorita) who we SPECIFICALLY DISCUSSED and decided (as I understood it) would not be invited because of personality conflict issues. At the very least, this needed further discussion, not unilateral overruling without notice.
I'd like an explanation of what happened here. I do not believe that this event will be constructive and amicable with Zorita's participation. If the recommendaitons of the organizers are not going to be followed, I am unsure I can participate in or endorse this event. If Zorita is in, I am out!
We simply will not allow you to withdraw . You know perfectly well that you are too important in all this to take such action. If it requires my talking to Eduardo and getting him to withdraw , then so be it.
Email 1336, Phil Jones, Mar 2006: "I can say for certain (100% - not any probable word that IPCC would use) is that the surface temperature data are correct."
So starting in March 2006, no need to ever go back and adjust the pre-2006 instrumental data, correct?
Email 1317, Oct. 2000, on CRU: "Five lead authors for the latest Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) are drawn from the unit...The work of Jones and co-workers with [CRU's temperature] record can justifiably be claimed to have been central to the acceptance that humans are having a significant impact on climate"
The Climatic Research Unit undertakes pioneering research on the nature, predictability and impact of natural and anthropogenic climate change, maintaining a position as a world authority in the field. Five lead authors for the latest Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) are drawn from the unit. The global land and marine surface temperature record maintained by the Unit is used extensively in climate change studies. The work of Jones and co-workers with this record can justifiably be claimed to have been central to the acceptance that humans are having a significant impact on climate. Jones has also been involved with many of the climate change detection exercises which have attempted to attribute recent changes to human influences.
FELICITY OGILVIE: Dr McPhaden says the scientists were surprised to find a link between climate change and the changes in the currents.
MICHAEL MCPHADEN: We always knew that the western boundary currents of the world's oceans were hot spots for ocean circulation but now we are finding they are hot spots for climate change and the combination is very much a surprise to us. [Hat tip: M. Hulme]
The Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) predicts severe cold to continue
until at least next weekend. Early Monday, a new cold record for this winter
was set in Kuhmo, where the mercury plunged to -35.4 degrees Celsius.
A recent study at Brown University looked specifically at the Obama administration's language and calls for "clean energy" and "energy independence" now occupied the terrain. Graciela Kincaid, a co-author of the study, wrote: "The phrases 'climate change' and 'global warming' have become all but taboo on Capitol Hill. These terms are stunningly absent from the political arena".
My colleague Maria Mansfield and I monitor 50 major newspapers in 20countries, and we documented that explicit mentions of “climate change” and “global warming” dropped by more than a third from 2010 to 2011.
Email 1304, Dec 2002, warmist Tom Wigley on a critical climate hoax model: "SCENGEN is also owned by me. All of the conceptual and intellectual input has been mine"
date: Wed, 18 Dec 2002 11:40:34 -0700 from: Tom Wigley subject: Re: MAGICC/SCENGEN to: Mike Hulme
A quick reply -- SCENGEN is also owned by me. All of the conceptual and intellectual input has been mine. You and the people who have worked for you have really been little more than technicians or software engineers.
Mike Hulme wrote:
...Also to be clear about credits as you say - I always aim to make it very clear to people that the MAGICC model is "owned" by you and Sarah.
MAGICC consists of a suite of coupled gas-cycle, climate and ice-melt models integrated into a single software package. The software allows the user to determine changes in greenhouse-gas concentrations, global-mean surface air temperature, and sea level resulting from anthropogenic emissions
SCENGEN constructs a range of geographically explicit climate change projections for the globe using the results from MAGICC together with AOGCM climate change information from the CMIP3/AR4 archive.
Email 2530, June 2003, Phil Jones: "note that I've changed the way we smooth the series to preserve the late 20th century trend, like we did in the Eos piece"
Also, note that I've changed the way we smooth the series to preserve the late 20th century trend, like we did in the Eos piece. I've always estimated the uncertainties a bit more conservatively as described in text--so they're a bit expanded now. None of the conclusions change, although the globe is actually a bit more anomalous in the late 20th century when you spreserve the late 20th century trend in the smoothing, so I've tweaked the wording there just a bit... [Hat tip: AJ]
THE Zambia Climate Change Network (ZCCN) has received about US$85 million from the World Bank to facilitate the implementation of a climate resilience pilot programme in Zambia.
A later passage in Obama’s speech, when he hailed the way his country’s energy future has been transformed by the miracle of shale gas, met with a storm of applause...
Even more telling than his audience’s response to this, however, was what happened when Obama referred briefly to the need to develop “clean energy on enough public land to power three million homes”. But no mention now of vast numbers of wind turbines – those props beside which he constantly chose to be filmed back in 2008. No harking back to his boast that “renewable energy” would create “four million jobs”. And even to this sole fleeting reminder of what, four years ago, was his flagship policy the response of Congress was a deafening silence.
Milder weather in much of the central and eastern U.S. next week may mean the region will use about 20 percent less energy for heating than usual, according
to David Salmon of Weather Derivatives.
Growing inequality, environmental decline and "teetering" economies mean the world must change the way it does business, a UN report concludes.
..."Economies are teetering. Inequality is growing. And global temperatures continue to rise.
"We are testing the capacity of the planet to sustain us."
Manufacturer OneSteel will receive $64 million to help it prepare for the introduction of federal government's carbon tax in July.
Climate Change Minister Greg Combet on Monday announced the advance payment had been finalised under the government's $300 million Steel Transformation Plan (STP).
OneSteel expects to receive the payment within 30 days and it will be recorded as income in the company's financial statements for fiscal 2012.
Labor finalised a similar $100 advance to BlueScope Steel in December.
European summer climate during the Roman Era about 2,000 years ago was relatively warm and wet and characterized by less variability. Increased climate variations from around 250-600 A.D. coincided with the demise of the Western Roman Empire and the exceptional turmoil of the Migration Period during which the continent’s population was substantially reordered.
The new study also revealed that humid and mild summers paralleled the rapid cultural and political growth of Medieval Europe, whereas unfavorable climate may have played a role in the underlying health conditions that contributed to the devastating economic crisis that arose in connection with the Black Death plague pandemic in the 14th century. More recently, temperature minima in the early 17th and 19th centuries coincided with large-scale settlement abandonment during the Thirty Years’ War and the modern mass migrations from Europe to America.
New peer-reviewed study: "The record provides evidence for substantial warmth during Roman and Medieval times, larger in extent and longer in duration than 20th century warmth"
The new reconstruction is based on 578 maximum latewood density profiles from living and sub-fossil Pinus sylvestris samples from northern Sweden and Finland. The record provides evidence for substantial warmth during Roman and Medieval times, larger in extent and longer in duration than 20th century warmth. The first century AD was the warmest 100-year period (+ 0.60 °C on average relative to the 1951–1980 mean) of the Common Era, more than 1 °C warmer than the coldest 14th century AD (− 0.51 °C). The warmest and coldest reconstructed 30-year periods (AD 21–50 = + 1.05 °C, and AD 1451–80 = − 1.19 °C) differ by more than 2 °C, and the range between the five warmest and coldest reconstructed summers in the context of the past 2000 years is estimated to exceed 5 °C. Comparison of the new timeseries with five existing tree-ring based reconstructions from northern Scandinavia revealed synchronized climate fluctuations but substantially different absolute temperatures. Level offset among the various reconstructions in extremely cold and warm years (up to 3 °C) and cold and warm 30-year periods (up to 1.5 °C) are in the order of the total temperature variance of each individual reconstruction over the past 1500 to 2000 years. These findings demonstrate our poor understanding of the absolute temperature variance in a region where high-resolution proxy coverage is denser than in any other area of the world.
15 meteorological stations on the territory of Bulgaria have measured record-low temperature, the National Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology with the Bulgarian Academy of Science announced for FOCUS News Agency.
it’s time we start addressing the sheer arrogance of the alarmist point of view. The earth was here long before us, and will be here long after us. Simple vanity makes us assume we’re incredibly significant, but the greater truth is that as measured against the planet on which we reside, we’re the proverbial ant on the elephant’s posterior.
Witnessing one of the harshest winter in decades, the Kashmir Valley experienced an extremely chilly night with a drastic fall in the night temperature even as the remote town of Kargil recorded the lowest temperature of the season at minus 25 degrees.
Conclusions about warming result from tens of thousands of climate scientists compiling and analyzing information in minute detail for decades, all checking and rechecking each other’s work all the time.
The most devastating admission from Jones at the HoC was 'nobody ever asked', when Stringer inquired who else had seen his data during nearly 20 years of 'peer review'
[Bernard Goldberg] Like I said, I’m no scientist, so what do I know? Glad you asked. I know that just about every mainstream journalist this side of Pluto believes global warming is real, mainly caused by man, and will destroy us if we don’t act. If so many journalists believe that … then I know it’s probably not true.
...on their first attempt in 2010, one of the party of three, John Dowd, developed frostbite in his fingers and they had to abandon the expedition.
The impact of global warming has made the traverse to the North Pole one of the most difficult challenges for adventurers.
RUSH: Great editorial in the Wall Street Journal -- and I'll tell you another reason I loved Santorum last night. He actually referred to global warming as a hoax. ...Spain has had its Sputnik moment. They were the Soviets, and they lost.
"Spain's government suspended subsidies for new renewable energy plants as part of the administration's efforts to curb the budget deficit. The government today passed a decree that will halt subsidies for new wind, solar, co-generation or waste incineration plants, as it bids to rein in electric system debts that reached 24 billion euros ($31 billion)," by the end of last year. So Spain, green energy, green jobs, they lost all kinds of stuff, economy went in the tank, and now going further, suspending subsidies for renewable energy plants. Obamaism is collapsing everywhere around the world it's being tried.
Journalist Eli Kintisch wants to get back to reporting and communicating on climate — the hard science, the findings, the research. But not in the way one might expect of a respected science reporter for one of the world’s most respected science journals … Science.
After communicating science in prose for a number of years — including in his well-regarded 2010 book on geoengineering, Hack the Planet — Kintisch has an expanded calling — to conceptualize and present climate science in a radically artsy way. That means sculpture, design, video, graphic art — a broad genre he calls “visual metaphor.” And he wants to play the role of fixer — or “producer, in the Hollywood sense,” as he puts it — in order to accomplish this unique marriage of fact and form....
The IPCC, for its part, has already released this well-produced [climate fraud] video to highlight some of the report’s findings and areas of concern
The gravy train which NGOs like Oxfam, Greenpeace; ChristianAid, ActionAid (and their likes) had hitched on to during the last two decades are coming to an abrupt end. And as they pick themselves up from the crash, they will find that if they survived, only to end up a laughing stock. Their advocacy and programmes were singularly focussed to “adapting” to global warming at a time when the planet was actually fast hurling into a Little Ice Age. It is the same kind of tragic irony if India were to amass their entire defence forces in the southern coastlines to counter Sri Lanka and Maldives when their real security threats were China and Pakistan on their northern borders! That’s the kind of big hole the burst of the global warming scam punched into the credibility of these NGOs!
Of course there is a lot more going on with the climate than solar cycles. But thanks to the impressive solar changes that we are witnessing, we may be closer to seeing who the big boss of the climate truly is.
But since many hundreds of billions of dollars in carbon taxes, carbon trades, carbon reparations, and carbon hysteria oriented research are at stake, do not expect the orthodoxy of climate alarmism to take all of this lying down, frozen Thames or no frozen Thames.
President Barack Obama goes to the UPS Depot in Las Vegas to promote clean energy:
President Obama proposed several federal initiatives favoring the use of natural gas for transportation, including getting more natural gas vehicles on the road using federal fleets ...
Here is the green-preaching Obama arriving at the UPS Depot in his fleet of 22 fossil-fueled cars
Sunday, January 29, 2012
The current winter season in Mexico has left 40 people dead from problems derived from cold and another 32 from flu, the Health Secretariat said.
The agency said in a communique that of the fatalities from cold, 30 were due to carbon monoxide poisoning, seven from hypothermia and three from burns, all of which could be directly attributed to the cold itself or attempts to keep warm.
Denying the links between greenhouse gas emissions and man-made climate change "is akin to denying the links between HIV/Aids and unprotected sex, smoking and lung cancer, or alcohol consumption and liver disease", according the the UK Climate and Health Council.
This organisation represents senior editors of medical journals, including The Lancet, the British Medical Journal, as well as top public health doctors....
The council says that despite this, Nigel Lawson's foundation consistently secures significant media coverage, which wrongfully distorts public and policy debate over climate change.
"Perverting the course of evidence-based policy on climate-change adaptation and mitigation damages our health resilience, our economic prosperity and our environmental stability," the council said.
"Transparency around climate-sceptic funders is essential. We support freedom of information to reveal those deliberately preventing the UK's sustainable future."
The increase in body size in the higher elevation species, presumably a plastic effect due to a longer growing season and thus prolonged food availability, opposes the expected direction of selection for decreased body size under chronic warming.
LOS ANGELES -- Gov. Jerry Brown told a Los Angeles TV station today
that the state's proposed high speed rail system will cost much less than
$100 billion, and will partly be funded by new taxes on major air pollution
The governor told ABC 7's "Eyewitness Newsmakers" program that
environmental impact fees paid by industries that emit large amounts of
greenhouse gas will help fund the big train project. California has a "cap and
trade" law that will collect fees if businesses do not reduce emissions, the
Ice extends out the Aleutian Island Chain about 300 miles further than normal this year. Those poor Polar Bears have to walk an extra 300 miles. I hope they don’t starve to death.
ISLAMABAD: The extremely cold weather has multiplied demand and prices of eggs and chicken in Islamabad and Rawalpindi.
An official fighting fund for climate scientists battling freedom of information requests from well-funded climate denier think tanks has been established in the United States....
Karoly is not aware of any FOI requests against climate scientists in Australia...
“Every hour that I spend dealing with these things means it’s one hour less on either public communication or research time,” explains Karoly. “And I know that there are other climate scientists in Australia that have to deal with the same sorts of issues.”
California Citrus Mutual (CCM) estimated Wednesday that approximately 20% of this season’s mandarin crop will be lost to frost damage.
...However, the more than 25 days of temperatures dipping at or below freezing cost growers millions of dollars. The number of freeze nights was a record.
Yes, even school children know more than these guys!
They utterly misrepresent the work of serious climatologists like Kevin Trenberth.
Early in the century, both poles were melting. GISS says this period was cold.
Muller’s conclusion that GISS is golden was clueless for many reasons. One of the worst was his assumption about urbanization.
Anyone who has had a min/max thermometer for more than about three days figures out that you have to reset the thermometer at night. Otherwise, half of your readings are going to be incorrect.
For instance, if day one had a high temperature of 72 degrees at 3PM, the observer took their reading every day at 3PM, and a cold front came through that night – day two would also record a bogus high temperature of 72 degrees.
I figured this out when I was seven years old...
And then there is Marc Morano, not my favorite guy since he is one of the major deniers who makes me pretty sure my life mission will end in failure. But Morano is right about one thing. He pegged Obama on the money when Amy Goodman caught up with him in South Africa in early December. Morano said,
His nickname is 'George W. Obama.'...
Obama and other politicians barely mention climate change or global warming anymore. Looks like the deniers won and humanity loses. Congratulations.
Morano's "job well done" is my heart well broken. I shouldn't be surprised.
Spain halted subsidies for renewable energy projects to help curb its budget deficit and rein in power-system borrowings backed by the state that reached 24 billion euros ($31 billion) at the end of 2011.
. A satellite image is bit of an odd way to measure grain yields, isn't it?
The MAIL interviewed Nicola Scarfetta, who says that eventually they are going to have to admit they are wrong. Judith Curry was more direct, saying: “…the models may have severe shortcomings…’ and that “many scientists’not surprised’”.
Readers, if you like this Mail article, then you are going to like Sebastian Lüning’s and Fritz Vahrenholt’s book: Die kalte Sonne (The Cold Sun). The lay it all out. Only morons and blind ideologues will go on continuing to believe the CO2 bullshit.
So what is really wrong with being warmer? What if we do see those temp increases the government organized IPCC predicts? I don’t really understand people’s incredible ability to react to unproven scenarios of destruction, simply because the scenario was stated. Shut off the power because we are worrying about an unproven ‘end of the world’ claim makes as much sense as not eating so we can save ourselves from heart disease. The world isn’t this clean pristine operating room environment which must be left undisturbed. It is a home in which we live and should care for, but that doesn’t mean we have to try and hold its weather static. The Earth doesn’t hold it static itself anyway. It prefers being colder and that is really bad news for us and I would also guess, the polar bears.
"In the past, it happened every five years, now we have annual emergencies, which shows that the situation has changed," Monteiro said.
Professor Stephen F. Ledoux's article in the January-February 2012 issue of American Scientist, "Behaviorism at 100," says changing people's behavior is key to tackling the effects of human behavior on the climate.
In Xinjiang, 448 people and 80 vehicles were stranded in a sudden blizzard before being rescued early yesterday, Xinhua reported.
Meanwhile, temperatures in the city of Genhe, Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region, north China, reached minus 45 degrees Celsius on Wednesday.