The Valley Advocate: News - Finding Meaning in Irene
But could it be that energetic public discussion of meteorological media events like Irene can actually help remedy the situation, by introducing more people to the complex forces that are taking our climate on this wild ride? Do more people now know, for example, that if there is extraordinary weather again this winter, it can be entirely consistent with what we’d expect when living in a warmer, moister atmosphere? Will more of us see in next summer’s heat waves and hurricanes the roll of loaded dice?
When I asked Michael Mann those questions, he chuckled. “Well, yes, I hope the past year has provided a learning opportunity” for Americans. But will we actually learn from it? On that question, Mann—who makes his living estimating statistical confidence—did not seem very confident at all.