Wednesday, June 18, 2008

Nothing 'wacky' about the weather

Nothing 'wacky' about the weather
As the Iowa floods recede, leaving behind the impact of what the Iowa City Gazette describes as the "500-year flood event," the world records another sampling of climate change weather horror. It's Al Gore's nightmare scenario happening today, right before our eyes.

As Roger Pielke reports in today's Junk Science Week special, any such link between climate change theoretical models and today's weather, while often made, are really not supportable. Mr. Pielke, a political scientist at the University of Colorado, says claims to such links give climate modelers an aura of credibility that is not deserved. As he puts it, there's nothing that could take place over a period of a decade or less "short of an ice sheet advancing on New York" that would be "inconsistent with climate change model predictions."

If all weather events are consistent with climate models, then no current weather events serve as any useful indicator of climate change or as a sign that climate change is happening.

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