Thursday, October 30, 2008

Would it be prudent to run for the hills every time methane rises by 10 parts per billion (with a 'b')?

Climate-warming methane levels rose fast in 2007 | Environment | Reuters
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Levels of climate-warming methane -- a greenhouse gas 25 times as potent as carbon dioxide -- rose abruptly in Earth's atmosphere last year, and scientists who reported the change don't know why it occurred.

Methane, the primary component of natural gas, has more than doubled in the atmosphere since pre-industrial times, but stayed largely stable over the last decade or so before rising in 2007, researchers said on Wednesday.

This stability led scientists to believe that the emissions of methane, from natural sources like cows, sheep and wetlands, as well as from human activities like coal and gas production, were balanced by the destruction of methane in the atmosphere.

But that balance was upset starting early last year, releasing millions of metric tonnes more methane into the air, the scientists wrote in the Geophysical Research Letters.

"The thing that's really surprising is that it's coming after this period of very level emissions," said Matthew Rigby of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. "The worry is that we just don't understand the methane cycle very well."
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The rise in 2007 was about 10 parts per billion over the course of a year, a real jump for such a short period of time.
1. Why don't I remember a decade of stories about the supposed stability of methane in the atmosphere?

2. If the science is so settled, why are we constantly reading about scientists claiming to be stunned by new data?

2 comments:

10ksnooker said...

MAybe we were better off without instruments. Sometimes, ignorance is bliss.

John M Reynolds said...

"If ignorance is bliss, then tis folly to be wise."

:)