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Freeman Dyson: The question of global warming - Science Show - 13 December 2008

In an article in The New York Review of Books, Freeman Dyson says it is obvious global warming is happening. But he questions whether the effects will be harmful. He challenges the belief that carbon dioxide released into the atmosphere remains for 100 years, saying it is absorbed back into earth, oceans, plants or soil in just 10 years. He says more important global problems are forgotten as we concentrate on global warming.
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Freeman Dyson: Well, you have to balance risks. It's a total nonsense to imagine that you can live without risks. There's no way you can make the world safe. All you can do is to try to guard against things that are worse and be less anxious about things that aren't serious. So it's a matter of always a judgement. My judgement is simply that there are much worse problems than climate change, and I'm not convinced that climate change, on balance, is doing any harm at all. I don't see any strong evidence of that.

Robyn Williams: Some people in the world think it's the biggest risk we will possibly ever face.

Freeman Dyson: Yes, and I think that's rubbish. And I think it's also harmful because the other things we should be concerned with, such as poverty all over the world, inequality of wealth, the existence of nuclear weapons, public health and public education, all these other problems are, I think, neglected just because everybody is concentrating on climate change, and I would say these other problems are in fact worse.

Robyn Williams: Why do you think they're concentrating on climate change then?

Freeman Dyson: It's very hard for me to understand. It seems to me a cop-out. It's a shame because there's so much goodwill in this movement. People think they're saving the planet when in fact they're probably doing the opposite.

Robyn Williams: So you're not put off by the sheer numbers of people who are concerned?

Freeman Dyson: No, I find it is a problem of herd thinking, that people always tend to follow the herd. In this case the sheepdog who started the whole business was Jim Hansen from NASA, he's the chief scaremonger of all these experts, and the herd somehow got moving in his direction. Once it gets moving it's very hard to stop.