Sunday, February 08, 2009

The Reference Frame: Reasons why climate policy will collapse
...The climate promises have become so saturated that the "costs" of making some pledges began to exceed the "benefits" for a growing number of politicians.

They are going to leave this bandwagon, for reasons that are political, not scientific, and the same feedback mechanisms that were operating in the last decade are going to switch the sign and deconstruct this pyramid of hot air pretty quickly. As Pielke IMHO correctly predicts, such a deconstruction is going to have a negative impact on many people not only in the "pure climate science": some of them even don't deserve it.

But that's how the real world works.
"Climate change [allegedly] leads to early flowering in Himalayas"
Locals say early flowering is a result of global warming, but scientists claim it may not be the only reason. SAS Biswas, head of botany division, Forest Research Institute, says: "Early flowering in Garhwal demands multiple studies because similar cases have not been reported from other Himalayan states. We cannot simply pass it off as just a result of global warming or climate change."
Weekend link-o-rama | The Blog of Michael R. Eades, M.D.
On the global warming front, here is part of an email I received today from an outraged friend of mine in the UK. This friend is a famous author who hobnobs with everyone who is anyone in the UK. Name withheld mainly because it’s too late at night there for me to be asking for permission.
Tonight I sat watching television which I don`t do a huge amount of. We have been snowed in for 4 days and tonight it is minus 8. I watched a hapless man from a council lamenting that they had run out of salt and grit so the county`s roads would be death traps. Asked why their stocks were so low, he said because they had all been led to believe we would never have winters like this again because of GW. so they spent the money on recycling and ‘Climate Change initiatives’ instead. ‘And I have to say,’ this brave man ended ‘I think we`ve all been badly conned.’ Ten minutes later the US Vice President Biden appeared on my screen - what a pleased-with-himself guy he is. In Munich, and he said to me that the USA was now wanting dialogue with Iran and Pakistan and Russian and…. and that this will be an initiative that will work … well I am glad he is so cocky about it. He then said ‘we have far more to fear from global warming than we have from international terrorism.’ What the hell planet is this guy ON? It`ll take a 9/ll and the entire mad middle east to explode in their faces for the truth to dawn….. meanwhile, does it not occur to them that most of Western Europe has been trying to engage these countries in dialogue for the last 10 years - and that meanwhile, weekly, a terrorist plot is detected and defused by our counter-intelligence and anti-terrorist police … He looked so smug I wanted to throw something at him.

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