Monday, December 20, 2010

That snow outside is what global warming looks like | George Monbiot | Comment is free | The Guardian
Unusually cold winters may make you think scientists have got it all wrong. But the data reveal a chilling truth
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So why wasn't this predicted by climate scientists? Actually it was, and we missed it.
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Will this become the pattern? It's not yet clear. Vladimir Petoukhov of the Potsdam Institute says that the effects of shrinking sea ice "could triple the probability of cold winter extremes in Europe and northern Asia".
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I can already hear the howls of execration: now you're claiming that this cooling is the result of warming! Well, yes, it could be.
UN climate official: do more to cut emissions
Pledges submitted so far to reduce emissions over the next decade amount to just 60 percent of what scientists say would be required to have a 50 percent chance to keep the Earth from warming more than 2 degrees Celsius (3.8 Fahrenheit) above preindustrial levels. Warming by more than 2 degrees, the U.N. scientists have said, could lead to severe changes in climate affecting agriculture, sea levels, water resources, human health and the survival of many species.

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