Sunday, October 30, 2011

Climate Depot's Statement on Muller: 'It is not surprising that Muller's research has unraveled at such a spectacular rate.' | Climate Depot
'Muller has proven nothing more than a media shill and has quite simply brought shame to science. One of the low-points was Muller's moronic logic on display for all to read in the Wall Street Journal. The free-fall of Richard Muller's reputation was achieved by his own hand'
The Reference Frame: BEST, Judith Curry: unbelievably flat temperatures for 10 years
we can't say that "global warming has stopped" if this sentence is meant to be a prediction for the future. We don't know what will happen in the future. In fact, we know for sure that many things will happen in the future. There will be periods of warming, periods of cooling, and so on. You surely know what I mean.
Increased illness due to warming?
I do a terrible, wicked thing when I read press reports about scientific findings that surprise me. I look up the original journal article that the report is based on! Doing so very often gives me a chuckle. In the present case, I was surpised to hear how very ill I and my family must have been as we grew up in the very warm weather of the tropics. And, true to expectation the journal abstract behind the report below is amusing. It reveals something you would never guess from the article.

Excerpt: "A total of 211,697 inpatient BSIs were reported during 9,423 hospital-months. Adjusting for long-term trends, BSIs caused by each Gram-negative organism examined were more frequent in summer months compared with winter months, with increases ranging from 12.2% for E. coli (95% CI 9.2–15.4) to 51.8% for Acinetobacter (95% CI 41.1–63.2). Summer season was associated with 8.7% fewer Enterococcus BSIs (95% CI 11.0–5.8) and no significant change in S. aureus BSI frequency relative to winter."

In other words, some types of infection rose but other types FELL during summer. So conclusions about a systematic effect of warming are unjustified

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