PAGES2K South America « Climate Audit

First, note that the “proxy” network includes four instrumental records, which seems to be peeking at the answer if the “skill” of the early portion of the reconstruction is in any way assessed on the ability of the network (including instrumental) to estimate instrumental temperature.

Second, one-third of the tree ring series are inverted. Is this an ex ante relationship or mere ex post correlation? We’ll find out eventually, I guess.

Finally, the two longest series are from Quelccaya, a site that we’ve regularly discussed. In the PAGES reconstruction, the d18O values are said to have been inverted.

...With Thompson, these inconsistencies are the rule, rather than the exception. If Thompson’s data is to be used by IPCC, every damn sample and measurement should be archived so that there is an audit trail.

THE HOCKEY SCHTICK: Analysis finds planetary harmonics control solar activity and subsequent climate change

A new post at ClimateMonitor.it by Carlo Tosti demonstrates that the global temperature record since 1880 is highly correlated to solar activity, and that solar activity is in turn highly correlated to the harmonics of planetary motion. These correlations and accumulating evidence of an amplified solar effect on Earth's climate would tend to suggest a "unified theory" of climate change, whereby gravitational effects from planetary motions cause small changes in solar activity, which are then amplified via cosmic rays/clouds [Svensmark's theory of cosmoclimatology], ozone, and ocean oscillations to cause large changes in Earth's climate.