Friday, January 17, 2014

I already have a climate bet with a Brian Schmidt, I’d like to do another « JoNova

I already have a climate bet with a Brian Schmidt, I’d like to do another « JoNova: "Brian Schmidt offered to bet against Maurice Newman, but what’s interesting is just how startlingly weak and underconfident the bet is.

How times have changed.  In 2007 the IPCC seemed to be 90% confident that the world would warm by about 0.4 degrees over the next two decades. Now Brian Schmidt braves up to offer a bet of “anything above zero”. Is he really a sceptic? It appears so.

How much should we pay now to prevent “any warming above zero” in the next twenty years? $4.5 billion a year? How about nothing."

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