Friday, April 25, 2008

Since when does 41 percent constitute an "overwhelming consensus"?

From this page:
The scientists were about evenly divided on whether they thought the effects of global climate change over the next 50 to 100 years were likely to be near catastrophic (41 percent) or moderately dangerous (44 percent). About 13 percent saw relatively little danger. About 56 percent of the scientists said that global climate change was a mature science, while 39 percent termed it an emerging science.
Note that the headline claims that scientific concern is now "growing", based on a comparison with exactly one other survey conducted way back in 1991.

Note also that the "method of sampling excluded TV meteorologists who were not scientists". This neatly excludes a large block of skeptics from the sample; James Spann wrote:
Well, well. Some “climate expert” on “The Weather Channel” wants to take away AMS certification from those of us who believe the recent “global warming” is a natural process. So much for “tolerance”, huh?

I have been in operational meteorology since 1978, and I know dozens and dozens of broadcast meteorologists all over the country. Our big job: look at a large volume of raw data and come up with a public weather forecast for the next seven days. I do not know of a single TV meteorologist who buys into the man-made global warming hype. I know there must be a few out there, but I can’t find them...

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