Probable Cause - By Kerry Emanuel | Foreign Policy
The world has suffered an extraordinary string of weather disasters over the past decade, ranging from crippling droughts and floods, to severe tornado and hail outbreaks, to highly destructive hurricanes. [Hey Kerry: Please specify one decade in human history that didn't include plenty of weather disasters of every type that you mentioned.]
...The most likely outcomes would have serious but manageable consequences for our descendents. Somewhat less probable, but not impossible, are benign outcomes. On the far side of the probability distribution are dire consequences ranging from flooded coastal cities to global armed conflict brought about by natural disasters and chronic food and water shortages.