Tuesday, September 10, 2013

New consensus: Now that the Arctic isn't ice-free, it turns out that nobody is willing to stand behind those ice-free predictions of a few years ago

Global cooling? London newspapers scuffle over climate change in the Arctic | Alaska Dispatch
The conservative Mail also mocked a prediction made six years ago by scientist Wieslaw Maslowski, a researcher at the U. S. Naval Postgraduate School in Monterey, Calif., who forecast ice-free Arctic seas as early as this year.

That's more cherry-picking, said Scambos.

That was a single prediction by one scientist and "it got amplified out of proportion to what the majority of scientists were saying," Scambos said. "Some skeptics would have all of us live with this prediction, but in fact very few people stepped up to back that prediction when it was made." [Which climate scientists stepped up to disagree with that high-profile prediction?]
2009:  Exclusive: Brochure may reveal Gore accurately cited scientist’s prediction of ice-free Arctic — It is the Scientist who has the explaining to do — not Gore | Climate Depot
COPENHAGEN - Al Gore’s citation of a scientist predicting an ice-free Arctic within a decade appears to have been accurate. It appears the scientist Gore cited, Dr. Wieslav Maslowski, did in fact make this prediction and it was published on December 2, 2009 by the Danish Climate Centre, lending support to Gore’s claim that the “figures are fresh.”...Dr. Maslowski essentially threw Gore under the bus
Joe Romm, Dec 15, 2009:
Yes, Maslowski predicted just two years ago that the Arctic could be ice-free by 2013...

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