Thursday, December 20, 2007

The Algorism of Global Doom

Here.

Excerpt:
Global Dooming has a very simple explanation. There's nothing new about it. It is just the human desire to create a millenarian narrative that fits our political biases, whipped on by the Politically Correct elites of this world, fed by a huge infusion of money into climate modeling and other dubious science, plus unprecedented media hype, and finally, the intimidation of thousands of rational skeptics.

This "madness of crowds" happens all the time. Charles MacKay wrote about it in 1841, in his book Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds. Economics bubbles and busts are just one kind. But we can see a lush diversity of other superstitions and mass delusions.
It is a shame that it is now corrupting normal science. In healthy science the burden of proof is always on the proposer of any hypothesis. But now the burden of proof on the skeptics in the case of human-caused global warming. But you can't prove a negative. As soon as the skeptics disprove one false claim, the Global Fraudsters are allowed to jump to another one, as long as they predict the same conclusion.

In real science the deck is never stacked against the skeptics. Rational skeptics are welcomed when people know what they are talking about. They can only help to sharpen the issues.

1 comment:

jdgalt said...

I think I have a simpler explanation, at least of Global Doomism in the US and other rich Western countries.

If the movement had an honest manifesto, it would read something like this.

We, rich people who already have nice big houses and cars, are concerned that too many people we regard as our inferiors are getting these goodies too.

There's no need for more homes, roads, or power plants to be built, because there are already enough of all three in the world for us. And if more are built, we'll have to deal with more traffic; we'll lose the nice views of other people's empty land that we now enjoy; the artificial shortage of homes that has brought us huge profits for the last fifty years will vanish; and worst of all, we'll have riff-raff living next door to us!

It is to prevent these horrors that we created, and now own and operate, the twin scams known as the profession of urban planning and the environmental movement.

We must always keep the world's media, and through them all "mainstream" opinion, convinced that an environmental crisis and a resource shortage exist, and that everybody would be dropping like flies without all of our favorite nanny-statist laws. If the masses ever figure out that these are lies, they will break up our racket and be able to live as our equals.