Thursday, May 01, 2008

"climate is inherently unpredictable — at least in the manner modelers pretend to do"

JunkScience.com Blog » Blog Archive » Oh dear& Andy's resorted to spinning
The bottom line is that all claims, pending warming or cooling, have a 50% chance of being wrong. The one thing we do know is that claims to predict future temperatures based on atmospheric trace gas levels are utter rubbish and we know this because they are internally inconsistent (add up all the things alleged to account for n % of estimated warming since [choose some arbitrary date] and you’ll probably be at least 500% of said warming short — just start the list and you see something is wrong: 60% from increased CO2 from fossil fuel use, 60% from black carbon, 40% from solar, -40% from masking by sulfate aerosols, 50% land use change, 70-85% ‘hiding’ in deep oceans…).

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