Joe Romm on "global warming Pearl Harbors"
Multiple Pearl Harbors over the next decade — half or more of these happening:10. I sometimes have moles in my yard. With enough media support, could the public somehow be convinced that that's also a "global warming Pearl Harbor"?
1) Arctic goes ice free before 2020. I have bets out on this. It would be a big, visible global shock.
2) Rapid warming over next decade, as recent Nature and Science article suggests is quite possible
(posts here and here)
3) Continued (unexpected) surge in methane
4) A megadrought hitting the SW comparable to what has hit southern Australia.
5) More superstorms, like Katrina
6) A heatwave as bad as Europe’s 2003 one.
7) Something unpredicted but clearly linked to climate, like the bark beetle devastation.
8) Accelerated mass loss in Greenland and/or Antarctica, perhaps with another huge ice shelf breaking off, but in any case coupled with another measurable rise in the rate of sea level rise,
9) The Fifth Assessment Report (2012-2013) really spelling out what we face with no punches pulled.
1 comment:
Ice free arctic by 2020? - thats pretty easy to bet against.
a heat wave like 2003 sometime in the next decade? - thats a pretty lame prediction and if it happens it would mean nothing in particular.
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