Prometheus » Blog Archive » Not So Confident

...The funny thing is that Joe’s terms indicate an expressed confidence in warming in the next decade of only 66% (2 to 1 odds). If there is really a 33% percent chance that 2010 to 2019 will be cooler than 2000-2009, then advocacy based on assertions, like Joe’s that, “Global warming is accelerating, as predicted“, is quite a gamble. If Joe thinks skeptics have gotten loud based on the coolest year this decade, just image the state of the debate after a decade of relatively cooler temperatures.

If you want to know why self-described climate skeptics are going extinct no time soon, look to the remarkable lack of confidence shown by one of the most strident voices in the climate corner of the blogosphere. This is exactly the sort of thing that keeps them going.