RealClimate: More from alarmist GISS climate modeller Gavin Schmidt
No climate model has ever shown a year-on-year increase in temperatures because of the currently expected amount of global warming.YouTube - Gore: Carbon Companies 'Guilty Of Stock Fraud'
...the external (natural) forcings are a little easier. The two main ones are volcanic variability and solar forcing. There have been no climatically significant volcanoes since 1991, and so that is not a factor. However, we are at a solar minimum. The impacts of the solar cycle on the surface temperature record are somewhat disputed, but it might be as large as 0.1ºC from solar min to solar max, with a lag of a year or two. Thus for 2008, one might expect a deviation below trend (the difference between mean solar and solar min, and expecting the impact to not yet be fully felt) of up to 0.05ºC. Not a very big signal, and not one that would shift the rankings significantly.
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As for the next few years, our expectations are not much changed. This coming winter is predicted to be ENSO neutral, so on that basis one would expect a warmer year next year than this year (though probably not quite record breaking). Barring any large volcanic eruption, I don't see any reason for the decadal trends to depart much from the anticipated ~0.2ºC/decade.
Vice President Al Gore, speaking at the Clinton Global Initiative: "I believe that for a carbon company to spend money convincing the stock-buying public that the risk from the global climate crisis is not that great represents a form of stock fraud, because they're misrepresenting a material fact."YouTube - May '07: NYTimes.com - Clinton Climate Initiative
NYTimes.com Bill Clinton talked to The New York Time's Andrew C. Revkin after announcing his new plan to fight global climate change at the Large Cities Climate Summit in New York.Launched near the peak of CO2 hysteria, what will happen to the Clinton Climate Initiative as the hysteria inevitably fades?
President Clinton launched the Clinton Climate Initiative (CCI) in August 2006 to make a difference in the fight against climate change in practical, measurable and significant ways.
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