Saturday, March 14, 2009

Still Dreaming in California — MasterResource
Naïve statements as to the effectiveness of carbon dioxide emissions restrictions to alter the future course of climate perhaps serve to spur on action or make people feel better about what they or their governments are doing in the short run. But over the long term, California is going to get the climate that it gets (and damages still are going to occur, as they always have) and at some point, those in charge are going to have to start explaining what went wrong with their plan—and let’s hope, for the sake of current and future Californians, that the explanation will only involve the climate, and not the economy.
Sound Science for Thee, but Not for Me (does ethanol analysis count in this new world?) — MasterResource
But … those studies all overlook two very important considerations that bear on the analysis. First, they ignore the impact that corn ethanol production has on crop prices and, thus, on land use decisions world-wide. Take that into account and the case for ethanol relative to gasoline goes up in smoke according to Searchinger et al (2008) and Pineiro et al (2009). Second, those studies assume lower nitrous oxide emissions (a potent greenhouse gas) from ethanol production than is actually the case. Plug in the more accurate estimates from Nobel laureate Paul Crutzen (2007) and, again, any case for ethanol disappears.
They Think You're Stupid - Chris Horner - Planet Gore on National Review Online
Reporters — and headline writers — need to bear in mind that scientists continuing to one-up each other in unverifiable claims about future catastrophes that will befall us unless a desired agenda is adopted does not on its own merit a news story. Further, these claims do not conflate with empirical temperature observations, which the record is clear are not greater in scope or rate than previously predicted.

It is inconceivable that reporters and editors are this regularly and ritually stupid. They do this on purpose, not merely to sell copy, but to frighten you into accepting an agenda they have adopted — with revolutionary fervor, if very little substance — and hence the ruses and lies.

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