Thomas Fuller: What if the climate scientists are right about global warming? Part 2

Global warming has attracted enough heat to cause global warming, so it's very nice to read Steven Andrews' honest and gentle critique of my work here and (submitted contemporaneously) on Daily Kos. Some of his criticism is quite correct, and I'll try and modify my work habits accordingly in future.

As part of his critique, Andrews challenges me to ask you what happens if the climate scientists (I assume he means those scientists favoring the hypothesis that anthropogenic contributions of greenhouse gases are raising temperatures dangerously) are right? We'll call his article Part 1 and this will be Part 2.

So the challenge goes out to you. I think it's appropriate that I be the first to respond.

The Blackboard » More Fishy: How would you use Mannian Minimum Roughness to guess future data to “test” projections?

Ahhh… the joys of smoothing. The splendors of Mannian minimum roughness!

In comments, on articles in the “Fishy” series, people have been asking about the whole “end point condition” issue and how it relates to Rahmstorf’s foolish “method” of testing projections. (The method seems to involve a) guessing future data and b) smoothing using a filter with m=”number of years Rahmstorf currently likes”.)

IPCC Posts Scoping Meeting Documents - Climate-L.org

June 2009: The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has released documents in advance of the scoping meeting for its Fifth Assessment Report (AR5), scheduled to take place from 13-17 July 2009, in Venice, Italy.