Friday, October 30, 2009

You call this settled science?

Fight Over Global Warming Heats Up - WSJ.com
Two years ago, a United Nations scientific panel won the Nobel Peace Prize after concluding that global warming is "unequivocal" and is "very likely" caused by man.

Then came a development unforeseen by the U.N.'s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, or IPCC: Data suggested that Earth's temperature was beginning to drop.
...
Such disagreements aren't unusual in a nascent science. "I don't think anybody is surprised that we're going to get one model that suggests it's going to cool and another that suggests it's going to warm," says Vicky Pope, a scientist at the Hadley Center, the U.K. institute where the research for the British paper was done. "That's consistent with where we are with the science."

2 comments:

Stephen Murgatroyd said...

Vicky is right - the science is not settled, the models are flawed and the models and actual evidence don't match up. Yet there is a degree of certainty in policy making said to based on science. Trouble is - which science. Feyerabend (who wrote Against Method) would have been thrilled!

Anonymous said...

Great. So please remind my why Gordon Brown is going to sign up to send £1,000,000,000 of our money (yes OUR money) to other countries to pay some "Climate Debt", if we haven't at least done our due diligence to establish that we actually owe a debt.

Argh! This country. I'm going to quit it soon.