Thursday, November 05, 2009

Democrats make progress on climate law bill's future remains uncertain | Alarmist Suzanne Goldenberg | guardian.co.uk
Democrats on a key Senate committee took a small step forward on a US climate change law today - but also inflamed Republicans to a degree that could ultimately defeat efforts to pass legislation to reduce America's greenhouse gas emissions.
...
The bill's prospects are also threatened by twin defeats this week for
Democrats in governors' elections in New Jersey and Virginia. Senators,
especially those from coal producing and rust belt states who had earlier
raised concerns that the climate bill could be a "jobs killer" are now much
more likely to distance themselves from Barack Obama's agenda.

"The question is, do people think we're tending to the things they care
about?" John Rockefeller, a Democrat from West Virginia who has been on the fence on climate change, told reporters. "Don't think people in my state are going to stand up and start cheering about Copenhagen," Rockefeller said.
Why my verdict gives hope to climate change believers | Tim Nicholson | Environment | guardian.co.uk
I'm not the high priest of climate change. My environmental beliefs are rational, and courts were right to find in my favour
Analysis: What hope for Copenhagen now? | Environment | guardian.co.uk
The dream

President Obama's team takes a giant risk in Copenhagen and pledges ambitious US cuts in carbon emissions, in the hope that it can sell them to a sceptical domestic audience in the New Year. The move shocks China and India into pledges of action, with short-term targets morphing into longer-term commitments. Japan, Canada, Russia, Australia and others are carried away on the subsequent wave of optimism and join Europe in agreeing the kind of greenhouse gas reductions that scientists say could still limit temperature rise to 2C. As beaming world leaders jet in, Copenhagen delivers a deal to save the world.

Plausibility: 1/10
Global climate deal at least a year away, negotiators say | Environment | guardian.co.uk
Negotiators say they have abandoned hope of signing a legally binding emissions treaty in Copenhagen and are planning only for a meeting of world leaders
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It is now more likely that President Obama will go because he will not be forced to sign a legally binding agreement which the US senate could then reject.

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