Saturday, February 06, 2010

Holmes' caution applies to warming issue: Compass | adn.com
I worry about the integrity of the actual underlying data. A decade ago I worked at an energy company creating a weather derivatives business. The idea was to facilitate counterparties hedging on weather-related events such as temperature and rainfall.

In looking at the data, we noticed that mean temperatures in certain cities seemed to jump. After investigating, we found that the weather recording stations in each case had moved closer to the city, where concrete and asphalt affected the recordings. The time series data was compromised by an unrecognized variable.
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We should all heed Holmes' warning to Watson in the new movie: Avoid "twisting facts to suit theories, when one should twist theories to suit facts." Two good reasons for this: First, you can end up with false conclusions; second, you can destroy your credibility.
Extreme Wisdom » Blog Archive » GK Chesterton on Climate Science
“Without education we are in a horrible and deadly danger of taking educated people seriously.”
G.K. Chesterton

I wear the label ‘anthropic global warming denier’ with pride. All it takes is a bit of education in science (PV=nRT, earth science, evaporation) to know right off the bat that AGW is nonsense.

We all need to become educated enough to ignore the politicized “experts.”

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