Interview: Elizabeth Kolbert
To write the book, Kolbert traveled around the world -- including a car tour with Burlington's then-mayor Peter ClavelleFlashback: Cold is killing manatees in unprecedented numbers - St. Petersburg Times
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My bees are badly. They did not survive last winter. I didn't get new bees. It's a long story that has to do with having to hang my beehives from a tree. In the winter, it seems to be too cold and windy up there...Many scientists argue that we are going through a very significant extinction event that will look virtually instantaneous to future geologists -- if there are geologists in the future.
... I'm not a climate scientist; I'm not a geologist; I just play one on TV!
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If you took a manatee-centric view, the last few hundred years would look very, very grim.
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His view is that these climate models are useless, they're just gunk. But that's an extreme-minority view within the community of people who actually have looked at the models and what they predict and what we actually see in the world. The models have really been quite astonishingly accurate. Not completely accurate, but certainly accurate, which is amazing, considering how complicated the climate system is.
[Q] Some scientists have known about the greenhouse effect since the 1850s. The mainstream of the scientific community has known about climate change since the 1970's. Now we have some 1300 scientists in the IPCC and many others pouring out thousands of points of evidence that the planet is heating -- fast -- and yet seemingly intelligent people have serious skepticism. And the skepticism seems to be growing even as the data becomes more incontrovertible. Why?
That's an interesting question and I can't answer that. Is it that what we know is actually too disturbing and we find ways around it? Or is it the fact that climate change is relatively complicated and there have been well-documented attempts to obfuscate what is known? That's a mass psychology question that is hard for me to answer.
...To be sustainable in the long-term, the population probably has to be significantly lower than it is today. Are we going to get there in some way that you want your kids to grow up through? I can't answer that.
So far this year the number of manatees killed by the cold is approaching 200, which Martine DeWit of the state Fish and Wildlife Research Institute called "really unprecedented."
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