Monday, September 13, 2010

My encounters with the "hockey stick" - Fred Singer
At that time, I was heavily influenced by the satellite data of Christy and Spencer that showed no atmospheric warming trend from 1979 to 1997 -- in contrast to Jones' surface data from weather stations. Since Mann was using the Jones temperature data for calibration of the proxy record, I asked Mann if he had any post-1980 proxies. He replied rather brusquely that there were no suitable data available. This was my only exchange with Mann, and I've preserved those emails.

Of course, I did not believe Mann, since I knew of tree ring data (by Jacoby in 1996) that showed no temperature rise since 1940 (see figure 16 in my 1997 book Hot Talk Cold Science). I also knew that Dahl-Jensen's ice cores showed no temperature rise since 1940. Hence I had doubts about the Jones data -- and still do.
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It is quite likely that Cuccinelli will discover a "smoking gun." Perhaps some of the emails that Phil Jones admitted to having deleted might tell us just when Mann became himself aware that the Hockey Stick was bogus and a fraud.
Snow may be on its way as early as next week | Metro.co.uk
The final days of summer warmth will be replaced by winter weather arriving three months early, say forecasters.
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‘It’s rare for snow to fall this early but we’re seeing the mirror image of the late winter snow we had in May with early snow in September,’ said Jonathan Powell, senior forecaster at Positive Weather Solutions.

‘Weather patterns are similar to September 20, 1919, which brought an amazing cold snap with snow on low ground in northern England and high ground in southern and central parts,’ said Brian Gaze at The Weather Outlook.

‘It’s remarkable to have possible snow so early in the autumn but this is looking increasingly realistic.’

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