Saturday, July 23, 2011

Living With the Greenhouse Effect - NYTimes.com
Postscript: Some climate naysayers [Hey, that's me!] have compared this piece to my 2008 article on the normalcy of having cold spells in a warming world. They’re missing the point that the building greenhouse effect is shifting odds of unusually warm or cold weather, not determining any particular outcome. There is a clearly measured drop in the odds of setting cold records and rise in the odds of hitting new highs.   [Andy:  So what, specifically, were those odds for years like 1936, 1236, and 5236 BC?  If you don't have clearly measured odds for years like 1936, how many years of clearly measured odds can you provide?  And if your answer is zero, why are you talking about clearly measured odds?]
Steve Jones tells the BBC: don't give 'denialists' so much air-time - Booker - Telegraph
The real scandal of the BBC’s coverage of climate issues is that, journalistically, it has been so unprofessional. The little group of environmental correspondents most obviously responsible for pushing the BBC line inhabit a bubble in which they only report what they are told by other supporters of the orthodoxy.

To anything outside that increasingly claustrophic bubble they remain oblivious, and thus have missed out on one of the most important scientific stories of our time.
“Building Trust” and FOI Refusals « Climate Audit
Judy Curry has written many posts on “climate communications”, linking to a small academic industry to which Andy Revkin, Keith Kloor and others pay attention to. Whenever I read one of these articles, I cannot help thinking that academic concepts of “communication” are forged far too much by their day-to-day experience with essentially captive audiences of students, and not enough from experience with customers or investors, i.e. adults with other interests and opportunities not subject to control or grading.
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If there were any adult supervision in the climate community, it would start, not with polysyllabic ruminations about climate communications, but with practical measures to stop pointlessly counterproductive conduct by members of the community.
The first thing that any business lawyer would ask a corporation in a similar dispute is: even if you’re right about FOI and IPR, is there any point to getting into this fight? How do you expect to win trust, when you’re refusing to show the data? why not give them the data voluntarily even if you’re not obliged under FOI (which you might be anyway)? And is this really a good case to take a stand on? Maybe you’ll lose and the precedent will hurt you in cases that you might have won.

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