Wednesday, August 17, 2011

Perry and Romney split on global warming - The Washington Post
The campaign of former Utah governor Jon Huntsman Jr. seized on Perry’s comments to portray the Texas governor as outside the mainstream with his climate change views. Huntsman himself does believe in the science behind global warming.

“We’re not going to win a national election if we become the anti-science party,” John Weaver, Huntsman’s chief strategist, said in an interview Wednesday. “The American people are looking for someone who lives in reality and is a truth teller because that’s the only way that the significant problems this country faces can be solved. It appears that the only science that Mitt Romney believes in is the science of polling, and that science clearly was not a mandatory course for Governor Perry.”
GISS July : Right At Scenario C | Real Science
The GISS July anomaly went up to 0.60C, which places it squarely on top of Hansen’s scenario C – i.e. zero emissions after the year 2000. An honest evaluation would say that Hansen’s model has failed and his fears are unfounded.
Al Fin: Climate Dissent: The Climate Debate Continues
Massive redistribution-of-wealth schemes have somehow become tied to the global warming agenda at the highest levels of government and inter-government. Literally $trillions are on the table in this high stakes game of faux environmental poker. And yet the basis of all of this hoopla! -- alarmist climate models -- are seemingly not ready for prime time. What is worse, the very ground-level data which is fed into climate models is unreliable.

The advanced world is in a twin quagmire of debt and demography. To any objective observer, this would be the worst possible time to commit struggling economies to an grand absurdist gesture based upon little more than "garbage in -- garbage out" computer models.

This would be a good time to take a look at your political leaders, and how they are likely to play this high stakes poker game as it approaches the end-stage. Choose well.
Roger Pielke Jr.'s Blog: Academic Exercises and Real World Commitments
My exchange last week with James Annan, a climate modeler, was interesting for several reasons, not least, for his suggestion that the projections of the IPCC could not be judged to be wrong because of their probabilistic nature. This view strains common sense, to put it mildly.

Here I argue that our disagreement lies not in different views about the nuts and bolts of probabilistic forecasting, but rather our views on whether the IPCC is engaged in providing guidance to decision makers about the probable course of the future, or instead, is engaged in an academic exercise. This would seem to be a natural point of disagreement between an academic involved in modeling and a policy scholar. James does the climate science community no favors by personalizing the debate, so here I'll stick to the issues, which are worth a discussion.

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