A Conversation with Gavin Schmidt « ClimateSight
Gavin: Well, we don’t have a perfect crystal ball for exactly what “business-as-usual” means, but the kind of projections that people have been looking at – which involve quite high increases in population and minimal changes in technology – you are talking about global temperature changes, by about 2070, of somewhere between two, three, five degrees Celsius, depending a little bit on the scenario, and a little bit on how sensitive the climate actually is.
...Those kinds of numbers translate to larger changes, between four and six degrees of warming, over the land. As you go towards the poles it becomes larger as well, because of the amplifying feedbacks of ice albedo changes and reductions in snow cover.
...Pests travel much faster with climate than do other kinds of species: invasive species tend to increase faster, because they’re moving into an empty niche, than species that are already well established.
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2 comments:
Maybe statements like these helped Schmidt to win the "Climate Communications Prize" from the American Geophysical Union. The scarier the better. :))
See Andrew Revkin's blog.
"Climate Communications Prize"
There is no such thing. Or more precisely the conmen invented it as an excuse to pay off the worst liars of the climate con.
The inaugural winner - Gavin Schmidt.
Should be renamed the Gavin Schmidt medal of excellence in the field of prevarication.
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