From: Andy Revkin [mailto:anrevk@nytimes.com] Sent: Friday, January 12, 2007 1:31 AM To: dshindell@giss.nasa.gov; p.jones@uea.ac.uk; Stott, Peter; Tett, Simon; john.f.mitchell@metoffice.com Cc: schoenfeld@nytimes.com; marsh@nytimes.com Subject: best example of trend to choose that hints at greenhouse forcing being at play in recent warming
...Our Week in Review folks want to (on short notice) pull together a graphic and short story by me explaining what aspects of recent (post 1950) warming speak most clearly of probable human greenhouse influence (attribution). I can think of warmer winters, warmer nights, warming in oceans, changes in height of tropopause, cooling of stratosphere, modeling exercises with/without co2 buildup... all pointing to greenhouse forcing as culprit. I'll be stressing that it's a 'balance of evidence' argument, but if we wanted to create a graph of the long-term global mean temp rise AND one or two of the trends that are relevant, which would be most illustrative? (or is this even doable in a way average folk would comprehend?)
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