Wednesday, November 02, 2011

LA Times op-ed: Carbon dioxide raised the odds of the Halloween snowstorm

Thailand's heart attack - latimes.com
Climate change doesn't 'cause' massive storms or severe droughts, but it raises the odds.
...Scientists know that the increasing load of greenhouse gases we're pumping into the atmosphere doesn't "cause" extreme weather. But it does raise the odds, just as a diet of triple bacon cheeseburgers raises the odds of heart disease.
...This week, it was the Northeast again, hammered by the sort of storm that normally holds off until December or even later.

All of these disasters might have happened in any case, for purely natural reasons, just as people without any obvious risk factors sometimes have heart attacks. But with the extra factor of human-generated climate change added to the mix, the odds of a bad result are just that much higher. [How much?  How do we know that the odds are not just that much lower?] And if we keep adding greenhouse gases to the atmosphere, those odds will keep on rising.
...
Michael D. Lemonick is a senior writer for Climate Central

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