Thursday, December 15, 2011

Susan Solomon claim: "IPCC has placed high priority on communicating uncertainty"

Hegerl et al. react to the Uncertainty Monster paper | Climate Etc.

Gabrielle Hegerl, Peter Stott, Susan Solomon, and Francis Zwiers have published a comment to our paper “Climate Science and the Uncertainty Monster.” Webster and Curry respond. The CRU emails provide some interesting context for this discussion.
.
Hegerl et al. comment...

IPCC has placed high priority on communicating uncertainty

JC comment:  To me, the emails argue that there is insufficient traceability of the CMIP model simulations for the the IPCC authors to conduct a confident attribution assessment and at least some of the CMIP3 20th century simulations are not suitable for attribution studies.   The Uncertainty Monster rests its case (thank you, hacker/whistleblower).

No comments: