It’s a battle of the boffins, a veritable thriller in vanilla, a forecast free-for-all featuring fearsome, er, forecasters.
The crack team at the UK’s Meteorological Office has entered a forecast accuracy contest against a couple of well-known climate skeptics.
The BoM promised scorching daytime heat in a variety of places – note that amazingly – NO areas would be cooler than normal. The result showed we experienced cooler than normal days over the vast majority of Australia and mostly near normal days over the rest.
The night-time prediction can be checked against the minimum anomaly and is only slightly better. Nights were predicted hotter over a greater area and the result turned out near average by my eyeball estimate.
These BoM models are not worth a cup full of warm spit – yet the entire effort costs us $millions every year.
Not really, but it has been almost twenty years since a category five hurricane hit the US, almost seven years since a major hurricane hit the US, and almost four years since a tropical storm with actual hurricane force winds hit the US.
The Pakistani officials alleged India may have misled the UN agency through fake documents showing Pakistan's consent to the project, because there was no such record available in Pakistan.