Thursday, August 23, 2012

Dr. Reese Halter: Bats Respond to Global Warming, More Females
The early spring and above normal temperatures caused bats to produce twice as many female babies. Scientists believe that the females are more likely to survive and then reproduce a year later -- as one-year-olds, compared to later born pups.
Krugman on extracting a price for intellectual dishonesty (climate scientists, take note)
Which leads me to fact-challenged climate-denial "scientists" on the take. Why should they not get the same treatment I would give Ferguson (above)?

It's one thing to constantly debunk them; this is happening now. But that pretends they're honest actors. Why not just say, in words of your choosing:
"You're not a professional scientist; you've become something else. The discussion no longer includes you."
If the grown-ups in the climate profession take this advice, they'll get two benefits. One, they'll clear the fog from the room, allowing for honest scientific debate. How helpful is that?

And two, they will hasten work that needs to be done before a life-changing deadline occurs — 12°F baked-in warming and no way back. It will be a whole lot easier to "unconfuse the people" about their choices without all that faux-science noise.
RealClimate: Antarctic Peninsula warming: natural variability of “global warming”?
A fly in the ointment here is that at least part of the most recent warming trend may be anthropogenic, yet not due to greenhouse gases in the troposphere. As many studies have argued (see e.g. the review by Thompson et al.), the stratospheric ozone hole has caused changes in the winds around Antarctica, and one of the consequences appears to be advection of warm air from the north onto the Antarctic Peninsula, especially on the east side (where James Ross Island is) during summer. Of course, the ozone hole didn’t exist before the 1970s, so it clearly can’t be invoked for the warming since the 1920s, but any formal attribution study will need to take this, as well as “global warming”, into account.
SunLive - Tim Groser’s speech - The Bay's News First
It reminds me of a cynical definition of an international consensus: ’an international consensus is what we agree to say collectively that none of us believe individually’.

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