The futurologist: an interview with climate conflict expert Ian Shields | Carbon Brief
The next few decades may be unsettled ones. Global stability looks under threat as new global powers rise and a changing climate puts pressure on populations in vulnerable areas...
If you thought climate change was just going to be warmer summers and fewer winter deaths, it makes for sobering reading.
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Shields spent 32 years in the Royal Air Force as an aviator before becoming an academic later in his career...Shields explains: "While it is too early to attribute conflict directly to climate change as the sole, or main, driver for conflict, what is already true is that the worst effects of climate change are affecting areas of the world already stressed. It's likely to add yet more threats to human security, increasing the likelihood of conflict. So while climate change in itself may not - yet - cause conflict, its impacts multiply the threat of conflict by increasing pressures and making conflict more common."
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Ian Shields is a tutor on the Global Energy and Climate Policy course at the School of Oriental and African Studies, and is in the final year of his PhD in International Relations at Cambridge University. He is the founder of Cambridge Advanced Strategic Training.
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