One Forecast Which Hansen Got Right | Real Science

In 1988, Hansen forecast that parts of Manhattan would be underwater by now, and that crime would greatly increase due to global warming.

He got the second part right. Fraud, data tampering and forgery are the new normal in global warming research.

THE HOCKEY SCHTICK: Bain non-apologizes for use of 'denier' in a scientific article

In the current issue of Nature Climate Change, sociologist Paul Bain non-apologizes for his use of the term 'denier' to describe people who are not convinced that anthropogenic climate change is occurring:

THE HOCKEY SCHTICK: Settled science update: Climate models predict lessmore North Atlantic tropical storms

A paper published in the current issue of Nature Climate Change finds climate models predict North Atlantic tropical storms could increase over the first half of the 21st century, due to undetermined forcing from "other than increasing CO2 (probably aerosols)" but that the "trends over the entire twenty-first century are of ambiguous sign." Translation: they could increase or decrease, we have no clue.

THE HOCKEY SCHTICK: Another day, another non-hockey-stick

A paper published in the current issue of Nature Climate Change reconstructs sea surface temperatures [SSTs] in the southwest tropical pacific from 1649-2000. The paper finds SSTs varied with the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, but were not correlated to solar activity. Figure 2 of the paper is shown below and indicates some periods during the Little Ice Age were as warm or warmer [e.g. from ~1690-1700] than the late 20th century.

THE HOCKEY SCHTICK: New paper finds Antarctica snow pack will continue to grow during 21st century

A paper published in the current issue of Nature Climate Change predicts that increases in precipitation over Antarctica in the 21st century will act as a negative feedback and overcompensate for surface warming, leading to a net increase in snow pack/albedo over the 21st century. According to the authors, "We deduce that projected future increases in precipitation4 can increase snow albedo by 0.4% on average during the twenty-first century and hence overcompensate the expected albedo decrease owing to warming (0.3% for 3 °C)." Antarctica is home to 90% of the world's ice.