Monday, August 20, 2012

Weatherman apologises on air after predicting sun and ignoring official forecasts of rain | Mail Online
Yesterday afternoon, weatherman Philip Avery made an embarrassed apology for the errors on the BBC News channel.

He admitted: ‘There are thunderstorms which were not represented in our forecasts over the past couple of days or so.

'I have to say we can’t even blame the computers, the computers actually wanted to put those thunderstorms in there but forecasters thought that it wasn’t supported by enough evidence and so we went for the dry, hot option.

‘Having said that, apologies to anyone who has had their next few hours ruined.’
Polar Bears - Outstanding Survivors of Climate Change - 81-minute video - YouTube
"We tend to hear nothing but alarming messages about the current status and future welfare of Polar Bears from animal advocates of all kinds, including lobby groups and activist scientists," said University of Victoria Adjunct Professor in Anthropology Dr. Susan J. Crockford who is speaking on August 14 at the University of Toronto. "Many of these tales of imminent doom, however, have important facts left out, glossed over or misrepresented - and much of the uncertainty in the underlying research has been downplayed."
Climate change: How Toronto is adapting to our scary new reality | JunkScience.com
Bear with this piece. Granted it is pretty dopey in a lot of ways but at least they are starting to realize weather [read climate from longer sequences of weather events] is cyclical and just because certain events only appear about 10 times in a 1,000-year proxy series doesn’t mean they’ll be 100 years apart. If conditions suit you might get a run of such events and then not a single one for centuries.
Projected changes in water availability in the United Kingdom
Runoff is projected to increase in winter in all regions of the UK, by 5–25% by the 2080s, but remain the same or decrease in the other seasons. We find that a climate change signal could be detected in runoff in winter in western parts of the UK as early as the 2020s, but much later in eastern areas of England. In summer, detection times (2040–2060 s) are generally later than those in winter (2020–2040 s).

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