Thursday, June 06, 2013

Links

Climate Model Fail | Coyote Blog
The warming from manmade CO2 without positive feedbacks would be about 1.3C per doubling of CO2 concentrations, a fraction of the 3-10C predicted by these climate models. If the climate, like most other long-term stable natural systems, is dominated by negative feedbacks, the sensitivity would be likely less than 1C. Either way, the resulting predicted warming from manmade CO2 over the rest of this century would likely be less than 1 degree C.
Climate modeling EPIC FAIL – Spencer: the day of reckoning has arrived | Watts Up With That?
[Spencer] In my opinion, the day of reckoning has arrived. The modellers and the IPCC have willingly ignored the evidence for low climate sensitivity for many years, despite the fact that some of us have shown that simply confusing cause and effect when examining cloud and temperature variations can totally mislead you on cloud feedbacks (e.g. Spencer & Braswell, 2010). The discrepancy between models and observations is not a new issue…just one that is becoming more glaring over time.

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