Sunday, November 30, 2008

The 800lb Gorrilla in the Hockey Stick’s Locker Room « The Air Vent
This shows clearly that extreme temps do not result in extreme tree ring widths so they cannot be detected in tree ring data.

...What can we say in conclusion?

Trees make lousy thermometers.

– Divergence is well known and documented indicating the truth of this paper.

– Correlation analysis doesn’t fix the problem but falsely hides it

– Historic temperatures are suppressed by non-linear response

– Temperature reconstruction by tree ring width is not useful for historic climate prediction and must not be trusted.

Here’s my own take on it. This is too simple to miss. Recent papers and possibly historic ones know tree rings will suppress historic signals, I believe they know exactly what they are doing and it is being done with intent. If my strong suspicion is correct, they know damn well how non linear response flattens historic signals yet they do it anyway and their buddies pass them right through peer review. What’s more the peer’s accepting tree ring papers represents the same kind of corruption the greens are so eager to heap on oil companies.

Make no mistake there is serious money powering this issue. The IPCC needs hockey sticks to make the case that we are warmer than ever. If we’re not warmer than ever why would governments need to spend so much money?

Unfortunately, you can’t make a temperature hockey stick without wood.

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