Ministry Of Truth At Work In Florida
49 minutes ago
CO2 is NOT the climate control knob
In 1989 I was in a discussion group looking to organize something called "Metroworld" which was to be a conference of mayors and municipal leaders to save the world. A learned and wise colleague at the time said, "Environmentalism only interests people when times are good".
Sure enough, the economy went in the crapper and so did Metroworld.
I have a story this weekend exploring the recent global cold snap and the first big conclave of scientists and citizens who reject — for personal or professional reasons — the dominant scientific view that humans are poised to dangerously heat the planet.
Chad Tolman, a Sierra Club Delaware Chapter member, said that views held by Legates and other climate-change skeptics are fast becoming irrelevant, making direct action by the state unnecessary.If Tolman is paying any attention to what's going on in the world, he's just "whistling in the dark" with these quotes.
"There is a group of people who take this kind of contrarian position. Their numbers have been shrinking rapidly," said Tolman, who has been active in state debates over capping state power plant emissions. "I don't know if the governor or anyone else cares about it enough at this point to press the issue."
A people's initiative calling for the government to slash greenhouse gases by 30 per cent by 2020 is set to come to a nationwide vote.1. 150,000 signatures would represent about 2% of Switzerland's population of 7.5 million.
Pressure is mounting on the authorities to do more to fight global warming in Switzerland, especially after the government's latest package of measures met with a mixed response.
Green groups and centre-left parties handed in their initiative to the Federal Chancellery in the capital, Bern, on Friday.
They managed to collect more than 150,000 signatures in just a year. To force a vote, 100,000 signatures have to be collected in 18 months under Switzerland's system of direct democracy.
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It will still be some time before the 30 per cent reduction initiative comes to a vote. First the government has to state its position, and then the proposal will go to parliament.
Vellacott estimates it could take about two years, but given the level of support now, he says he is quite confident about the vote.
Cold weather has been a struggle. I bivied just below Rainy Pass one night as I pushed my bike through the knee-deep snow for 45 miles. My thermometer bottomed out at 20 below. I bivied again last night at Sullivan Creek when I kept literally falling asleep and falling off my bike. I woke up after three hours and set out to pack up, but it was so, so cold. Everything was frozen solid. My chemical warmers had turned to ice bricks and I couldn't make them go. I crawled back into my bag and waited another couple hours before attempting again. Again, couldn't quite handle the cold. I finally just decided to wait until daylight and stayed in my bag until 10 a.m., but didn't sleep much. I woke up to a 35 mph headwind and single digit temperatures. Ground blizzards were out of this world. Again, glacial pace.
The student told the Governor he blames global warming for the incident.
When I recently attended a talk given by Will Steger, Sam Branson and Sigrid Ekran at the Explorers Club in NYC I was struck by the sense of calm and focus surrounding these folks who’ll be heading out across the arctic ice in not too short a time to raise awareness of the effects global warming among schoolchildren across the planet. But as Sam Branson put it, their sense of mission is really led by a desire to ensure we don’t wait “to win minds and find out it’s too late to make a difference.”
Q: If Davy Crockett were alive today, what would he think about global warming and what's being done about it?
A: I don't think he'd want to see antelope go away. I think he'd be like Teddy Roosevelt, great for conservation.
It would be a serious set-back if a climate change sceptic became mayor of London.
...the political and business unit campaigner for Greenpeace India Srinivas Krishnaswamy said: “What we need at this point of time are time bound concrete measures and not institutional mechanisms, especially as we now have less than eight years before we reach a point of no return.
The level of media attention for E-Day and the low level of public participation should send a message to our political leaders: whilst initiatives such as Dr Prescott's should be encouraged (they cost nothing, but could achieve a great deal), compulsion will only turn public opinion away from similar schemes.
The global warming crisis isn't real, but problems caused by moonbatty solutions to it are.
All data sets -- satellite, surface, and balloon -- have been pointing to rising global temperatures. In fact, they all have had upward pointing arrows for nearly a decade.I wonder what Ron's now thinking about updated data like this.
...Many of my prejudices about hippies dissolved over the course of the year — for instance, I now realize that not everyone who loves the earth has dreadlocks and wears ugly shoes — but unfortunately one stereotype was confirmed: A lot of greenies take themselves way too seriously. There is so much doomsday talk out there, so much arguing about whose fault global warming is, and so much repressed hostility between tree-huggers and car-drivers, it’s ridiculous...
A grassroots movement (often referenced in the context of a political movement) is one driven by the constituents of a community. The term implies that the creation of the movement and the group supporting it is natural and spontaneous, highlighting the differences between this and a movement that is orchestrated by traditional power structures.
The global warming scam has been foisted upon the public for very good and clear reasons, not because it's true.
Two bills introduced this year would have tried to link new fees to the amount of carbon dioxide a vehicle spews out. The bills had no chance of passing and didn't even get a hearing.
Yet irate voters swamped lawmakers with so many critical e-mails that Senate Transportation Committee Chairwoman Mary Margaret Haugen sent out a news release saying, "I've never had so many people asking me to kill a bill that's already dead."
What happened in Texas is going to become routine wherever wind or solar power is part of the grid. America is headed toward being a Third World nation that cannot keep the lights on.
Take out Gary's sciencey-looking graphs and tables and what remains is an argument for embracing Environmentalism regardless of what science says. It is not science; it is theology - a theology that is ultimately based on a rejection of science.
Thousands more goats face death after the Ladakh region of India's Jammu and Kashmir state experienced its heaviest snowfall in 30 years, the broadcaster said on its Web site.
To ease the stress on soft drinks supplies during the easter period, the company has decided to only shut down the plants after this period.I just pray that we'll have enough "global warming pollution" available this spring, so that all of the world's soft drinks will remain sufficiently fizzy.
Unusually high polar bear (Ursus maritimus Phipps, 1774) predation on ringed seal (Pusa hispida (Schreber, 1775)) pups and increased survival of polar bear cubs during mild springs is documented in published articles. Strong predation on newborn ringed seal pups in early spring, however, is likely to lower the overall energy intake of polar bears if ringed seal pups are their main food, because the energetic value of ringed seal pups increases 7–8 times during the 6 week lactation period. So although hunting success in early spring increases cub survival during the period after den emergence,when they are most vulnerable, it is likely to increase the number of starving bears later in the season. This negative-feedback effect of strong spring predation will not occur in areas where other seal species are abundant during summer, and polar bears in such areas are likely to exhibit population growth during periods with milder springs, at least until the ringed seal population has been depleted. Long time series of population estimates that can be used to test this hypothesis do not exist, but it is strongly supported by catch statistics for polar bears and ringed seals from east Greenland.Note that the increased polar bear cub survival in mild springs is actually documented while the "starvation later" part seems to be only a hypothesis.
In November 2007, he [Dr. Mitch Taylor, Wildlife Director with the Government of Nunavut] commented: “I really think that the amount of seals seen and seal kills witnessed (or almost witnessed) means that the ringed seal population in Hudson Bay is huge right now, probably well in excess of the last estimate of nearly half a million. Considering we need about 10,000 ringed seals to feed this population of bears, the bears have a good start.”
“Instead of seeing the Northwest Passage as an opportunity, we must recognize that an ice-free passage is an environmental disaster,” she said. For Canada it will mean a build up of our armed forces and a potential conflict with other Arctic nations.Note that this "environmental disaster" evidently also occurred in years like 1906, 1940, 1941, 1942, 1944, 1957, 1969, 1977, 1984, 1988, 2000, etc etc.
If you need more evidence that this is a scam, ask yourself this, if these people are really so good at predicting the future of an extremely complex system from sparse data, why aren’t they making billions on the stock exchange and living in giant mansions next to movie stars?
In June 2001, then 23 year-old Jeffrey "Free" Luers was arrested for the burning of three trucks at a Eugene car dealership. His stated purpose was to raise awareness about global warming and the role that SUVs and trucks play in that process. Despite the fact that this action hurt no one, caused only $28,000 in damages and the cars were later resold, Luers received the draconian sentence imposed by Velure.
Energy Saving Day was a flop, its organiser admitted last night after the National Grid confirmed that across Britain energy use went up by just over one per cent.
The day, which began at dusk on Wednesday evening with candles being lit in St Paul's cathedral, had received the backing of the minister for climate change, Joan Ruddock, Lord May, the former president of the Royal Society, and groups including the National Trust, Tesco and the power companies.
The E Day website encouraged participants to turn off as many appliances as possible and to leave them unused for as long as possible.
The most glaring figure: Zero-emission buses - or ZEBs - cost $51.66 to fuel, maintain and operate per mile compared with just $1.61 for a 40-foot conventional diesel coach. They break down much more frequently, and replacement parts are next to impossible to order, according to the report.
Thankfully, Climate War I, the one having to do with science, is over. Society has not entertained a post-war Nuremberg Trial-like phase, which is probably a good thing. We don't need the distraction.
...Friedman adds that Exxon Mobil has “done a number” on the debate with PR. Brilliant says that their role is to get information to people, as much information as they can. Page says that success is the best message — that is, if they had three-cent power, everyone would come.Update: A related post from Climate Skeptic is here.
Gore, from the audience, takes issue with Brilliant, saying that getting information out is no longer sufficient. “That’s the way the world used to work. The world doesn’t work that way anymore. The reason that the tobacco industry was able to continue killing people for 40 years ater the surger General’s report…. they understood the power of strategic persuasion. They went about it in a very careful, organized, and well-funded way.” He says we are “vulnerable to strategic persuasion campaigns if the other side assumes that we should just get the information out there.” He says Exxon Mobil has funded 40 front groups to “in their own words position global warming as theory rather than fact.” He concludes: “We need to take them on, Goddamnit.”
Those who have a big stake in global warming hysteria are unlikely to show up at the [International Conference on Climate Change] conference in New York, and unfortunately that includes much of the media.
If the sun were to remain "stuck" in its present minimum for several decades, as has been suggested (e.g., Independent story) in analogy to the solar Maunder Minimum of the seventeenth century, that negative forcing would be balanced by a 5-year increase of GHGs. Thus, in the current era of rapidly increasing GHGs, such solar variations cannot have a substantial impact on long-term global warming trends.A previous post about alarmists and NASA Goddard is here.
Politicians may be drunk with the prospect of corn-derived ethanol, but unless policies are based on science and economics — and permit market forces to spur innovation — our problems will only increase. And government officials will yet again have put themselves in the position of crafting imperfect, inadequate corrections to problems they created in the first place.Some information about Al Gore "saving the ethanol" is here.
Paul Kellstedt, Sammy Zahran and Arnold Vedlitz examined results from an original and representative sample of Americans and found that "more informed respondents both feel less personally responsible for global warming, and also show less concern for global warming."
Between Norway and the North Pole lies Svalbard—an icy Norwegian archipelago known for glaciers, freezing winds and polar bears. Swallowed by glaciers until 10,000 years ago, the island chain remains dominated by ice that covers 60 percent of its surface. But in the rest, hardy Arctic plants like mountain avens and white arctic bell heather have staked out territory. And a new analysis of thousands of samples of nine species of these types of plants reveals that Svalbard has been colonized frequently and repeatedly from all directions as it warmed and froze over thousands of years, indicating that Arctic plants can keep up with climate changes.
If indeed the PDO shift is the real deal, we might expect more La Ninas and fewer weaker El Ninos over the next few decades with a net tendency for cooling. Add to that a quieter sun and eventually a cooling Atlantic, and you have a recipe for global cooling.
A week ago we experienced a terrorist-like Denial of Service Attack on our website that rendered it inaccessible to patrons. Unfortunately, the company that managed our website was unable to stop the attack, and we had to make the decision to host our website elsewhere. Moving our website to another server is not a simple task and must take place in stages. For now, only the current weekly issue of CO2 Science will be accessible, followed by a gradual return to full website access and functionality in the coming days and weeks.
It will be interesting to see how this plays out and not just because of the impact of cooling and its social and economic implications. NASA acknowledges the likely decline in sunspot numbers as noted here, but it does not acknowledge the relationship between sunspot numbers, variations in cosmic radiation low cloud cover and global temperature; the Svensmark theory.
For years the argument against considering the high correlation between sunspot numbers and global temperature were rejected because a) correctly, you cannot assume cause and effect b) there was no mechanism. The latter was the most difficult to overcome. Svensmark' cosmic radiation theory provided a plausible theory with supporting observational data and laboratory experiments. I understand the IPCC chose not to include Svensmark's work using the questionable ploy that it was published after the cut off date for their consideration. In doing so the IPCC left out the third form of solar impact on climate.
Years ago we considered,1) sun/earth relationships, the Milankovitch Effect. I remember a conference in the late 1980s when for the first time in my experience somebody used Milankovitch without opposition or even question.I understand this was not included in the models used for IPCC AR4. I raised the issue on a phone -in radio program. Andrew Weaver phoned in to say it was insignificant because annual variations were to small. The question is how significant do they become when you are looking ahead 50 and 100 years. How does this variation compare with human CO2 forcing in the same period? 2) The solar wind was called corpuscular radiation and studies between it, sunspots and aurora were studied. The history of this is well covered in Soon and Yaskell's 2003 book, "The Maunder Minimum and the Variable Sun-Earth Connection." This is also excluded from AR4 as discussed above. (As a matter of interest, the aurora were used by many indigenous people across northern North America to make good weather predictions.) 3) the third, and the only one considered by AR4 is electromagnetic radiation and, as I understand it by their own measure it explains at least 50% of the temperature variation over the last 130 years (the P.D. Jones record).
But among the thousands of internal EPA documents Senate Democrats are now gleefully airing in their effort to discredit Mr. Johnson are plenty of juicy tidbits. One is an email that goes to the heart of the matter: Mr. Johnson’s argument that California lacks “compelling and extraordinary conditions” that warrant letting it regulate greenhouse-gas emissions.
The first woman in the world to earn a doctorate in meteorology has devoted her entire professional life to studying clouds and violent storms, and at 75, she's still at it.
The Glorious People’s Revolution bet the farm on the global warming scare and now, within 12 months of the peak in hysteria, we get news that the temperature has dropped by a bigger amount than has ever been recorded before.
Fate, it seems, is not without a sense of irony.
Sultan Al Jaber has been making a lot of headlines lately, as head honcho behind a multi-billion dollar effort to build one of the world’s greenest cities out of the hot desert sand of his native Abu Dhabi.
But there are two things he hates being called: an environmentalist and “the Al Gore” of the Middle East.
“I am not an environmentalist,” he said, shaking his heademphatically in an interview in San Francisco. “But I do know to meet the future energy needs we need alternative energy.”
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Mr. Jaber is CEO of the Abu Dhabi Future Energy Co., an arm of the United Arab Emirates capital’s government. His company is developing Masdar City, which broke ground two weeks ago and when completed in about eight years is to be home to 50,000 residents, umpteen high-tech businesses – all in a walled community that produces zero net emissions.
Snowy Vermont (Ski Press)-The abundant snowfall that has blanketed Vermont's ski areas all season has continued at a record-breaking pace with snowfall totals that have already shattered the 50-year-old mark for the snowiest February in Vermont's history.
Spano, a Democrat, brushed aside concerns from George Oros, R-Cortlandt, the minority leader on the Board of Legislators, who questioned why the county had spent $100,000 on an environmental consultant that donated heavily to Spano's campaign when the project started out as an all-volunteer effort.
All Canadians concerned about the environment would share this view of a budget that cancels incentives for buying efficient vehicles, but finds money for Atomic Energy of Canada to finish the design of a reactor that nobody wants, for a clean coal plant in Saskatchewan, and a quarter of a billion to the car companies for research research into more fuel-efficient cars, as if there has not been enough research already.
Pollack (2005) addresses the first ethic, noting that the paramount motivational factor for scientists today is the competition to survive. A scientist’s most pressing need, which supersedes the scientific pursuit of truth, is to get her grant funded – to pay her salary and that of her staff, to pay department bills, and to obtain academic promotion. The safest way to generate grants is to avoid any dissent from orthodoxy. Grant-review Study Sections whose members’ expertise and status are tied to the prevailing view do not welcome any challenge to it. A scientist who writes a grant proposal that dissents from the ruling paradigm will be left without a grant. Speaking for his fellow scientists Pollack writes, "We have evolved into a culture of obedient sycophants, bowing politely to the high priests of orthodoxy."
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The grant system fosters an Apollonian approach to research. The investigator does not question the foundation concepts of biomedical and physical scientific knowledge. He sticks to the widely held belief that the trunks and limbs of the trees of knowledge, in, for example, cell physiology and on AIDS, are solid. The Apollonian researcher focuses on the peripheral branches and twigs and develops established lines of knowledge to perfection. He sees clearly what course his research should take and writes grants that his peers are willing to fund. Forced by the existing grant system to follow such an approach, Pollack (2005) argues that scientists have defaulted into becoming a culture of believers without rethinking the fundamentals.
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The human-caused global-warming paradigm is most likely false (Soon et al., 2001; Editorial, 2006). Two climate astrophysicists, Willie Soon and Sallie Baliunas, present evidence that shows the climate of the 20th century fell within the range experienced during the past 1,000 years. Compared with other centuries, it was not unusual (Soon and Baliunas, 2003). Unable to obtain grants from NASA (National Aeronautics and Space Administration), Soon (personal communication, August 31, 2006) observes that NASA funds programs mainly on social-political reasoning rather than science.
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When inconvenient facts challenge paradigms the state promotes, it justifies them by consensus. If polar bear experts (Amstrup et al., 1995) find that the bear population in Alaska is increasing, placing doubt on the government’s stance on climate change, this finding is dismissed as being outside the consensus and ignored. Science magazine supports the prevailing view, stating, "There is a scientific consensus on the reality of anthropogenic climate change" that accounts for "most of the observed warming over the last 50 years" (Oreskes, 2004).
In 21st century America, consensus and computer models masquerade as science. They supplant experimental data. As Corcoran (2006) puts it, "Science has been stripped of its basis in experiment, knowledge, reason and the scientific method and made subject to the consensus created by politics and bureaucrats." Reduced to a belief system, a majority of scientists and groups like the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change can declare, without having to provide scientific evidence, that they believe humans cause global warming. This alone makes the hypothesis become an established fact and received knowledge (Barnes, 1990). Peer review compounds the problem. It competes with objective evidence as proof of truth.
Computer models purporting to make sense of complex data, particularly with regard to climate change, have replaced the scientific goal of supplanting complicated hypotheses with simpler ones (Pollack, 2005). Researchers offer computer models as evidence for global warming. When unsound assumptions and faulty data render one model unreliable, other improved ones are constructed to justify the state’s desire to promulgate this "truth," which it can use to exert greater control over the economy and technological progress.
Yorke said in a statement: “We will never wake from the nightmare of climate change unless our national governments and the European Union act. They are the only ones who can put the structures in place that will help us tackle climate change.Yep--have you ever noticed that when the people of Europe do something stupid, the people of China and India inevitably follow?
“That is why we are launching The Big Ask in 17 countries across Europe. By committing to annual cuts in our emissions at a national and European level we can play our part in tackling climate change, and set an example for the rest of world to follow.”
POST FALLS, ID. -- Several moose have been spotted over the last few days in Post Falls, but now some are starting to succumb to the harsh winter.
On the trains, speed restrictions from buckled and fractured rails or trackside fires would become the norm but frozen points would be a thing of the past.Remember the massive spike in "fractured rails" worldwide back in 1998, when temperatures were much higher than today?
There is no observational evidence of unusual long-term climate changes in North Carolina. No emissions reductions by North Carolina will have any detectable regional or global effect whatsoever on climate change.
Annual Temperature: Averaged across the state of North Carolina, there has been no long-term trend in the state’s annual temperature history since 1895, the year when well-compiled temperature records first become available from the National Climatic Data Center (located in Asheville). Figure 1 shows that the coolest period of the past 113 years in North Carolina occurred during the 1960s. Since then, average temperatures across the state have returned to the levels that were common during the four decades prior to the 1960s. Temperatures during the past decade are by no means unusual when properly set against the long-term temperature history of the state.
It also suggests to me that satellite temperature data is a more representative global temperature metric than manually measured land-ocean temperature data-sets because there is a more unified and homogeneous measurement system, less potential bias, no urban heat island issues, no need of maintaining individual temperature stations, fewer final adjustments, and a [much] faster acquisition of the data.

# Drop about another .5C, and we’re basically back to where we were in the mid-late 1800s when the Little Ice Age ended.
# I’m amazed that no one else is commenting on the NH land (where 90% of people live) average temp falling 2.4C (jan 2007 to jan 2008) in 12 months.
# The IPCC is saying we will get that amount of warming in 50 years and it will be a catastrophe. Yet, we get that amount of cooling in a year and no one bats an eyelid.
...teaching global warming is as bad as teaching creationism. They're both faith-based education.
"We're doing a wonderful experiment in global warming at the moment but by the time it gets through peer review there may not be many humans left on the planet," says Professor Peter Cullen of the Wentworth Group of Concerned Scientists.
He says in such situations, a scientist has an obligation to make predictions on the basis of existing knowledge, as "an experienced, well-informed observer", to help society decide what to do.
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Climate change scientist Professor Matthew England of the University of New South Wales says he feels quite "comfortable" advising policymakers on what cuts should be made to greenhouse emissions but does not stray into the area of which energy sources to use.
A key federal opposition frontbencher has voiced his scepticism about climate change.
Opposition defence spokesman, and leader of the opposition in the Senate Nick Minchin said there were still doubts on the science used to back up claims about climate change.
"I do think that the claims being made in relation to climate change generally are often very exaggerated," he told ABC Television.
We can only wonder if this new Global Ice Age scare will be as popular as the Global Warming one has been. I suppose any global scare is good as long as there are people to scare and will support the Algorian cause with money and behavior.
I am convinced that global warming as a whole is a sham. Especially man-made global warming. I am also convinced that the militant-like global warming activists are only using the issue to push a socialist and communist agenda. Call me a conspiracy theorist or whatever, but I am just calling it as I see it. I can come up with no other explanation for the irrational claims, actions, and attitudes of the activist global warming movement.
The total amount of cooling ranges from 0.65C up to 0.75C -- a value large enough to erase nearly all the global warming recorded over the past 100 years. All in one year time. For all sources, it's the single fastest temperature change every recorded, either up or down.Has anyone else noticed the deafening silence emanating from RealClimate regarding this development?
In the fifteenth and sixteenth centuries the climate in Europe was cold and unpredictable. Crops failed. Famine followed famine, bringing epidemics.(Hat tip: Hans Schreuder)
There was a belief that crop failures must be due to human wickedness.
But who were the wicked ones?
It was believed that there must be some witches who are in the grip of the devil. Witches were named, Inquisitors tested their faith, and a large number of poor souls were condemned and burnt at the stake. For decade after decade, fires burned in most towns in Europe.
It is an example of a public delusion...
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The recent observations of a quieter sun, together with the much colder weather in the northern hemisphere winter, suggest that it is probable that there will be continued global cooling. Thus we may expect a continued decline of sea surface temperatures. In that event we may anticipate that carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere will also decline.
In essence, I anticipate that within about three years we will be experiencing natural global cooling, and we will be recognising that the present fears of man-made global warming were just a delusion.
A student at a local high school told me that he had been shown Al Gore’s propaganda film An Inconvenient Truth during two days of classtime. Following the movie, which lasted over an hour and a half, they read an article lasting a page and a half that showed a global warming skeptic’s view and had to write a summary about it. Education is about the acclamation of different ideas on varying issues to form a balanced and complete opinion, yet when it comes to global warming, fairness goes out the door and it becomes “indisputable.”A related post is here, entitled 'Global Annoyance: McCain and "Climate Change"'.
NATURAL variability in weather rather than climate change accounted for cooler February temperatures across most of Australia straight after record hot temperatures in January, a leading climate scientist said yesterday.
The Bureau of Meteorology estimates the nation is likely to record its coolest February since 2002 and 12th coolest since 1951 after recording the hottest January on record.
While many commentators blamed the high temperatures on climate change, CSIRO research fellow in atmospheric science Barrie Hunt said the succession of hot days were "not unusual for January".
"It's just year-to-year variability," Dr Hunt said.
"Underneath that variability is this insidious slow warming, which is the greenhouse effect, but it's not big enough to stop natural variability, and it's going to take a long time before it is."
The cry of imminent doom due to global warming and citing the Arctic Sea ice melts as a major symptom when records have only been kept for less than four decades is rather disingenuous. Add to that that the global warming loons have yet been able to explain where all the ice on the Greenland ice sheet came from over the 50 year period from 1943 to 1993 when efforts to recover WW2 aircraft forced done on the ice sheet had to bore through nearly 300 feet of ice that had formed over the site.
Tackling climate change was less likely to influence voters than the other issues.
Now, as we have been told numerous times, any retrograde movement in glaciers is seen as a clear indication of global warming. Now, we are told, any forward movement (one is tempted to use the word "growth") is also a sign of something sinister...
According to Robert Toggweiler of the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory at Princeton University and Joellen Russell, assistant professor of biogeochemical dynamics at the University of Arizona -- two prominent climate modellers -- the computer models that show polar ice-melt cooling the oceans, stopping the circulation of warm equatorial water to northern latitudes and triggering another Ice Age (a la the movie The Day After Tomorrow) are all wrong.
"We missed what was right in front of our eyes," says Prof. Russell. It's not ice melt but rather wind circulation that drives ocean currents northward from the tropics. Climate models until now have not properly accounted for the wind's effects on ocean circulation, so researchers have compensated by over-emphasizing the role of manmade warming on polar ice melt.
But when Profs. Toggweiler and Russell rejigged their model to include the 40-year cycle of winds away from the equator (then back towards it again), the role of ocean currents bringing warm southern waters to the north was obvious in the current Arctic warming.
He holds a doctorate in physics from the University of Chicago, Laboratory for Astrophysics and Space Research.
My favorite Greenpeace stunt was when they rammed a heavy, high powered speedboat into the French American's cup sailboat, the Areva. They were angered by the sponsor of the sailboat, a company that is at the forefront of the French turn to nuclear power which is what has allowed France to meet in its Kyoto obligations and dramatically reduce the greenhouse emissions that are the most serious problem facing the world.
There something wonderful about environmentalists in a powerful speedboat ramming a nonpolluting sailboat.
The other great irony is their sending a huge expedition yacht to the South Pacific to chase the Japanese. I wonder how much co2 the yacht and its helicopter emitted?
Numbers, theories, observations, scenarios, and projections should be looked at in an objective fashion and from “both sides”. We should see them in their proper context and we shouldn’t try to “skew” them in one particular direction or another, in order to confirm our preconceptions or in order to support our politically, personally, or otherwise motivated predictions. If we proceed fairly and properly, we find out that there exists no rational reason for a hysteria and that the available facts don’t allow us to justify efforts to regulate the carbon cycle at the global level.
At London's Heathrow airport today environmental activists evaded security and climbed onto the tail of a British Air 777 to protest plans for building a third runway at the airport.
Meantime, last month the Chinese government announced plans to build 97 new airports in the next 12 years.
European consumers shunning imported food supposedly to limit climate change should not make African farmers a scapegoat, a Brussels conference has been told.(Via Marc Morano)
In Britain, several supermarkets have begun labelling products flown into the country with stickers marked “air-freighted,” to reflect concern about the contribution of aviation to global warming.
But Benito Müller, a director at the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies, dismissed the concept of food miles as “an extremely oversimplified indicator” of ecological impact.
Saying he was “really angry” with the implicit message that agricultural produce from Africa should be avoided, Müller claimed that less greenhouse gas emissions are often emitted from the cultivation and transport of such goods than they would be if grown in Europe.
Strawberries imported from Kenya during the winter, he maintained, have a lower “carbon footprint,” a measure to ascertain the effect of a method of production on the environment — than those grown in a heated British greenhouse, even when their transport by air from Africa is taken into account.
...emissions trading with developing countries has been a bust. China has deliberately designed factories to release prodigious quantities of greenhouse gases, then pocketed billions for redesigning them.
So two apparently excellent climate-change ideas have been rudely pierced. Biofuels not only fail to reduce global warming but they also consume billions in taxpayer subsidies. To the extent that they take land from farming rather than forestry or pasture, they push up the cost of food, hurting the poor. Meanwhile, emissions trading with poor countries has poured billions into the coffers of the Chinese state, which is already sitting on $1.5 trillion in foreign exchange reserves and hardly needs the money.
MASON CITY — Granting federal loan guarantees to support a proposed $3 billion ethanol pipeline would be an “unconscionable act,” according to a partner in the Manly Terminal, a competitor of the new venture.
Mason City is considered a likely hub for a proposed pipeline that would ship ethanol from Iowa to the East Coast in a joint project of Magellan Midstream Partners, Tulsa, Okla., and Buckeye Partners, Breinigsville, Pa.
It appears that instead of reduced GHG and less dependence on foreign oil, the recent Congressional ethanol mandates may end up producing more GHG, more dependence on foreign oil and, as a special bonus, higher food prices as well.(Via Coyote Blog)
The Christchurch glossy lifestyle monthly magazine AVENUES has taken the laudable initiative of starting a debate on global warming, which will run over 5 months. Dr Gerrit van der Lingen was invited to write the first article, titled "Global Warming and Cooling", which appeared in the February issue. With an editorial introduction and some photographs added by the magazine, it covered 8 pages. Unfortunately, the magazine does not make its articles available on its website. Dr Gerrit van der Lingen studied geology at Utrecht University in The Netherlands. From 1991 to 2002 he was involved in paleoclimate research, studying ocean sediment cores from the Tasman Sea and Southern Ocean. He has now retired from paid research. Another instance of it being only the oldies who can afford to speak out.
On a number of occasions, I have pointed out that the elitists who are pushing the biggest "environmentalist" agendas like global warming have no intention of living with the limits they plan on imposing on the less-than-elite. The phrase I use for that is that they will wave from the limousine as they pass the shivering masses...
The political significance of all this, of course, is that our leaders are committing us to a range of measures whose economic effects will be without precedent, from their astronomically costly "carbon trading" schemes to their determination to spend hundreds of billions of pounds on wind turbines.
The most respected economist in this field, Yale's Professor William Nordhaus, estimates that the cost of the measures proposed by Al Gore would be $34 trillion (£17 trillion) - all resting on the belief that, unless we spend such sums, world temperatures are doomed to rise. The events of the first two months of 2008 may lead us to wonder whether these people really know what they are doing.
Steve McIntyre, editor of the blog ClimateAudit (voted Best Science Blog of 2007), will be coming to give a talk at OSU on May 16th. The details of the presentation are forthcoming.
You may remember Steve as the one who debunked the famous Hockey Stick graph that the IPCC relied on for some of its reports. He also discovered an error in the method NASA used to massage the US surface temperature data; making 1934 the warmest year on record (until days later when NASA, once again, manipulated the original data format, forcing it to be ‘statistically tied’ with 1998).
New research shows 95% of children aged between 4 and 15 were 'concerned' by global warming, with more than half 'very concerned'.I think this demonstrates the prudence of laws that don't allow 4-year-olds to drive or vote.
“Nowhere in the world is wind or solar energy contributing significant base load energy for the simple reason that it is impossible. Neither can supply energy continuously and both supply ZERO power for significant parts of their operating cycle. Both must be supplemented by conventional power sources (such as gas or hydro) ready to start up instantly the wind drops or a cloud passes in front of the sun. Such backup power needs to be the same capacity as the solar/wind facility, thus doubling total generating capacity and making this option an expensive, unstable and wasteful exercise.
“Wind power is useful for pumping water to storage ponds for other use, and solar is useful for heating and storing domestic hot water. Beyond these applications, they will never survive without costly subsidies or mandated shares. No one runs a big city or a steel works solely on solar or wind.”
Gore praised the global wine trade for tackling climate change and taking the right steps. He addressed its areas of influence and political, ecological, ethical and economic responsibilities. He emphasised that “Things we measure get more attention than the things we don’t measure. So carbon dioxide has historically been treated as irrelevant. We are not putting a price on the horrible destruction that carbon is causing.” Gore is asking governments to monetize carbon dioxide via national taxes and tradable emissions credit instruments. He revealed that “800 US cities have independently joined the Kyoto Treaty”, but they realise little can be done unless they have “a national law”.
Pancho Campo, an ambassador of Al Gore’s Climate Project, lamented the lack of Spanish participation at the conference – Spaniards represented only 5% of attendees - while praising the Catalan government for its support.
[Obama] said his energy policy would put caps on the emission of greenhouse gases, “generating billions of dollars from polluters who are releasing carbons,” and then investing that money in wind, solar, biodiesel, and other green energies.
Addressing climate change and capping greenhouse gases are going to lead to ‘‘a spike in electricity costs ... we’re actually going to have to provide some help to low-income and fixed-income individuals to cover higher electricity prices on the front end.’’
A number of Greenpeace activists have climbed on top of a Boeing aeroplane at Heathrow Airport as part of a climate change protest.A bit more is here.
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Greenpeace said the incident took place at 9.45am on Monday, adding that the protesters were covering the plane's tailfin with a huge banner that read: "Climate Emergency - No Third Runway."
So we have a sham tax to create an effect, but no real objective or any idea of how to measure effectiveness. That's the least of the nightmare of unknowns in the B.C. government's carbon mega project, a massive buildup of twisted tax incentives, subsidies, laws, regulations, bureaucracies, spending, giveaways, takebacks and propaganda.
...Here are a few interesting graphics showing the Adjusters in Peru. Here are 4 stations where temperatures in the mid-20th century have been lowered by around 3 deg C. These are all reverse UHI effects.To me, this looks like a full-blown scandal.
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As I’ve noted before, I increasingly wonder whether it makes any sense for academic scientists like Hansen (or Jones) to be reporting temperature statistics. They don’t appear to have the faintest interest in the gritty details. So turn the calculations over to professional data analysts.
BEIJING, Feb 24 (Reuters) - China has forecast heavy snow and blizzards across its industrial and agricultural heartland over the next three days, even as the country struggles to recover from its worst winter weather in 50 years.
Unseasonably cold weather and ice storms across central and southern China in January and earlier this month killed at least 129 people, caused transport chaos and cut off power and water for millions.
Authorities are still battling to repair power lines and ensure food supplies after severe weather damaged millions of hectares of crops and killed more than 70 million animals.
FARYAB, 24 February 2008 (IRIN) - Afghanistan's livestock sector has been badly shaken after unusually cold temperatures have killed more than 300,000 animals, causing fears of higher meat prices and increased food insecurity among the population.
Ah, I knew it must have been a UFO that's been causing all that "global warming". My own years of earnest, exopolitical research have revealed the following vital information, which I can now bring out from behind the veil of high-level international secrecy and reveal to the public for the first time. The UFO in question is pretty big, and powerful beyond our imagining. It has the mass of 8 billion Earths. Something like that, anyhow. Even though it's a whole astromonomical unit away from us - yup, a whopping 8 light-minutes - it is causing serious warming throughout our planet, and there's nothing we can do to stop it. It's so massive that, even though it's so far from us, its apparent size (if you dare to look at it) is exactly - and I mean exactly the same as our Moon. I mean, how's that for an astronomical coincidence? Of course, it's not a coincidence at all. It's a sinister alien plot to dominate the world. People are already getting cancer from it. How do I know it's all a conspiracy? How do I know that the aliens have already joined forces with evil capitalist interests on Planet Earth? Simple. The official body in charge of finding the cause of the "global warming" that started in 1700 and ended in 1998 pretends that the UFO doesn't exist - or that, if it does exist, it can't have much to do with climate change. And Al Gore, who has a huge financial interest in the "global warming" industry, with his Generation Investment Management corporation, and all that stuff, I mean, like, he never even mentions it, the UFO, I mean, when he talks about "global warming". I mean, who do these people think they're fooling? I know the truth, and just because governments round the world are all covering up the true effect of this huge UFO on the whole world's climate, I'm not just going to stand there and let them get away with this massive cover-up. No way, Jose! It's an outrage, that's what it is. Don't they realize how much it's going to cost us if they don't come out into the open and admit that it's the UFO that's the real cause of "global warming"? I mean, what's the point of all that carbon trading if its the UFO that's to blame. I've even decoded the CIA's secret transmissions using my Secret Agent's Abacus, and I've worked out what the UFO is called. In English, it has a three-letter name. The first letter sounds like the middle letter of "UFO", and is often confused with it in telephone conversations. The second letter of the English name of the UFO is the same as the first letter of "UFO". And - get this - to find the third letter of the English name of the UFO, all you do is a simple one-place retro alphabet-shift of the third letter of "UFO", and you get The Answer! No, no, how stupid can you be? It's not called "SUV". Close, baby, but no cigar. SUVs aren't the problem. And don't think the rest of the planetary nexus is getting away without being affected. There's been "global warming" on Mars, too. And on Jupiter, by Jupiter! And on Neptune's largest moon. And even on distant Pluto. Bet you haven't seen any of that in your local newspaper! Or on the BBC! New York Times? Forget it! And it's not all those 4x4s and farting cows that are to blame. No, it's that UFO. You know, this is the biggest thing in our Solar System. It really, truly is. Honest. I mean it. Really. Cross my heart and hope to drown in a 20ft sea-level rise.
The Pine Island Glacier is a couple of kilometers thick, 30 kilometer wide and is moving at 3.5km per year. Team member Julian Scott theorized that global warming is not the cause. He said it could be a deep ocean current channeling into the continental shelf close to the mouth of the glacier; or, geothermal activity.
Scott's research revealed evidence of a volcano that erupted through the ice about 2,000 years ago. The whole region could be volcanically active and could possibly be releasing geothermal heat to melt the base of the ice and help its slide towards the sea.
When some of America's biggest corporations joined forces with four environmental groups last January to lobby for federal regulations to restrict greenhouse gas emissions, it was seen as a watershed. The US Climate Action Partnership (Uscap), made up of 27 companies, won praise for endorsing cuts - 10 to 30 per cent of heat- trapping emissions within 15 years and 60 to 80 per cent by 2050 - to avert some of the worst consequences of global warming.
But behind the scenes, several companies that belong to Uscap are simultaneously supporting efforts and organisations that oppose mandatory cuts in greenhouse gases or promote policies that would make the Uscap cuts nearly impossible to meet. "Many of these companies want the image of being green but are putting their money on the other side of the issue," says Frank O'Donnell, president of Washington-based Clean Air Watch.
Three high-profile Uscap members - General Electric (GE), Caterpillar and Alcoa - also sit on the board of the Center for Energy & Economic Development (Ceed), a group formed in 1992 that opposes regulations on emissions. Last April, Ceed's board unanimously signed a paper that used the word "draconian" to describe a federal climate Bill requiring a 65 per cent cut in emissions by 2050.
GE says it agrees with Ceed that coal must play a key role in the future energy mix and that it is pursuing ways to burn coal more cleanly.
A solidifying consensus has it that in order to avert catastrophic climate change, we must slash greenhouse gas emissions 80 percent by 2050.
Some of the science curriculum in this country's schools would be better described as junk environmentalism. At an early age, kids are taught that Earth is in peril, that most of the cute animals that filled their first picture books are dying off -- and that their wasteful standard of living is to blame. Such unbalanced lessons, devoid of economic or political context, help churn out waves of young eco-soldiers who believe capitalism and property rights are evil; that job-killing, heavy-handed regulation is needed to save the planet.
This type of instruction had crept into every classroom long before the greens grabbed global warming as their principal cause. Now the environmental lobby and their allies in politics are trying to stuff their climate change dogma into textbooks and lesson plans.
Among the skeptics is Gov. Bob Riley, who declined to take a position when asked Wednesday whether global warming is occurring.
"I really don't know if I am qualified to say," he said. "I am reading a book today that has different arguments, and I'm trying to determine if it does exist."
Follow-up attempts to learn from spokeswoman Tara Hutchinson what book Riley was reading were unsuccessful.
[Bremby] shocked many observers last October when he decided not to issue a permit to Sunflower Electric for the construction of two coal-fired power plants in Holcomb. In announcing his decision, he cited concerns over the plants' carbon dioxide emissions -- 2.8 million pounds an hour -- and its role in accelerating global warming.
Many western Kansas legislators were outraged by his decision. The houses this past week passed bills that would have allowed the coal plants to be built, and would also strip Bremby of any authority to deny permits.
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While Bremby didn't expect his decision to be popular, he didn't realize how many legislative leaders say they don't believe in climate change.
"I've been stunned," he said. "I understand that people have their own individual beliefs, but what about the National Academy of Sciences?"
He listed some of the other organizations that agree humans are accelerating climate change -- the Geological Society of America, the American Geophysical Union, the American Institute of Physics, the American Meteorological Society.
"These are the top scientists in the nation," he said.
Ken Warren, director of the Land Institute, said the organization wants to bring together a panel of experts who represent the full continuum on the subject and have a thorough public discussion of the science.I hope this public discussion actually takes place, and I hope that climate realists are included.
Whether we are truly headed into an extended duration ice age (lasting for decades at least) or not, it is not a bad idea to consider our options, just in case.
Remember: if the sun does decide to take it easy for a while, we will need to burn more fuel to stay warm. And since our capacity to grow biomass for electricity and fuel will be diminished during a period of weaker sun, we will have to look elsewhere for our sustaining heat and energy. Unless westerners get cracking, building new fission reactor power plants, we will no doubt have to burn more coal. A lot more coal.
The interesting thing to me about Archibald's predictions for an ice age beginning within the decade, is that he is putting his predictions boldly within the near future--where they can be refuted by reality. Contrast that boldness with the weasels at the IPCC, NASA Goddard, etc. who place their catastrophes well into the future. There is no fudging Archibald's theories. If they are wrong, we will soon know it. The CAGW orthodox tautology, on the other hand, can be used to explain virtually any climate whatsoever--short of a genuine ice age.
NASA has predicted that the solar cycle peaking in 2022 could be one of the weakest in centuries and should cause a very significant cooling of Earth’s climate. Will this be the trigger that initiates a new Ice Age?More here.
We ought to carefully consider this possibility before we wipe out our current prosperity by spending trillions of dollars to combat a perceived global warming threat that may well prove to be only a will-o-the-wisp.