Email 3470, warmist Philip Mote, Sept 1999: "The trends in intense Atlantic hurricanes are indeed downward...there seems to be a tendency for models to suggest decreasing trends in [tropical cyclones], though this too is inconclusive"

Email 3470

The trends in intense Atlantic hurricanes are indeed downward, as your landfalling dataset points out. We know about the link that goes El Nino--> fewer hurricanes, but echoing Peter's previous message, do we know yet that climate change-->more El Ninos? the modeling results so far seem (to me) inconclusive.

As for future trends in TC's, there seems to be a tendency for models to suggest decreasing trends in TC's, though this too is inconclusive