So in summary: even in the most simple, linear case of a shift in the normal distribution, the probability for “outlandish” heat records increases greatly due to global warming. But the more outlandish a record is, the more would we suspect that non-linear feedbacks are at play – which could increase their likelihood even more.
- Bishop Hill blog - Planet under pressure
Lots of BH regulars are at the "Planet Under Pressure" conference in London today. There is a live video stream here if you can bear it.
Update...
Blimey, the talk from the eco-activist kids was so toe curling I had to switch it off. Interesting to see who is funding this particular bit of greenery:
- British Science Association
- Research Councils UK
- Sciencewise-ERC
- The Royal Society.
There's scope to reduce public spending there then.
Stephen Leahy: Indigenous Peoples Needed to Meet the Challenge of Climate Change | JunkScience.com
Just when was this part of any traditional culture: “Caring for the land includes monitoring the impacts of climate change and using traditional knowledge to keep or sequester carbon she said.“?
Indigenous Australians certainly used fire to reduce forests and maintain savanna regions for hunting but climate change and carbon sequestration? Puh-lease!
Al's Journal : Bringing Renewable Energy to Africa
“It's long been established doctrine in international development circles that diesel engines are the most cost-effective tools for pumping water and powering villages.”
Study: Global temperatures could rise 5 degrees by 2050
"It's only by running such a large number of simulations — with model versions deliberately chosen to display a range of behavior — that you can get a handle on the uncertainty present in a complex system such as our climate," says Rowlands.
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