Junk Science Week: Climate models fail reality test | FP Comment | Financial Post

A 2011 study in the Journal of Forecasting took the same data set and compared model predictions against a “random walk” alternative, consisting simply of using the last period’s value in each location as the forecast for the next period’s value in that location. The test measures the sum of errors relative to the random walk. A perfect model gets a score of zero, meaning it made no errors. A model that does no better than a random walk gets a score of 1. A model receiving a score above 1 did worse than uninformed guesses. Simple statistical forecast models that have no climatology or physics in them typically got scores between 0.8 and 1, indicating slight improvements on the random walk, though in some cases their scores went as high as 1.8.

The climate models, by contrast, got scores ranging from 2.4 to 3.7, indicating a total failure to provide valid forecast information at the regional level, even on long time scales. The authors commented: “This implies that the current [climate] models are ill-suited to localized decadal predictions, even though they are used as inputs for policymaking.”

Instapundit » Blog Archive » #GREENFAIL: Syracuse’s little-used electric car chargers being replaced after just months

The Inconvenient Skeptic » Science and Global Warming

The problem for the warmists today is that the public is losing interest in global warming.  The Earth is not changing as they predicted 20 years ago.  It is 2012 and we don’t have flying cars and winter is still cold (some years more and some years less).  In Boise, Idaho we had fresh snow on the mountains a few days back. It was the latest snow I have ever seen fall. 

Health panel talks about wider food ban - New York News | New York Breaking News | NYC Headlines

At the meeting, some of the members of board said they should be considering other limits on high-calorie foods.

One member, Bruce Vladeck, thinks limiting the sizes for movie theater popcorn should be considered.

"The popcorn isn't a whole lot better than the soda," Vladeck said.

Another board member thinks milk drinks should fall under the size limits.

"There are certainly milkshakes and milk-coffee beverages that have monstrous amounts of calories," said board member Dr. Joel Forman.