Monday, December 17, 2012

An Odometer Moment on a Warming Planet -
The last time global temperatures came in below the 20th-century average for the month of November was in 1976
Twitter / RyanMaue: .@ClimateCentral why choose ...
. why choose the 20th century average and not 1981-2010? If using the latter, **this month**, December 2012 is below average.
Hundreds of cars trapped - Snow piled up to their roofs.
Snow up to 10 feet deep (3 meters) blocks Ukrainian highway.

Witnesses told Xinhua that they saw hundreds of trapped cars with snow piled up to the car roofs. The trapped were seeking help from nearby villages for food and heating.
Unleashed: Monckton releases his AR5 reviewer comments « JoNova: Science, carbon, climate and tax
Monckton also provides a few peer reviewed papers that the team of hundreds of experts has missed — just the odd 450 references or so. As always, meticulously researched, carefully thought out, and with impeccable logic. The IPCC must be paying him well for this rigorous input… oh wait…

In order to produce a respectable useful document the IPCC has to improve:

The IPCC needs to address the failure of their past key predictions.
Split up the science from the politics. (Political appointee’s can write their own chapter*, not rewrite the scientists ones).
The alterations to the scientists final draft need to be marked as such and sent back to the expert reviewers.
All references from gray literature (eg activist press releases) should be removed.
To stop the goal posts moving, the IPCC should update projections based on the original scenarios (it is hard to compare projections made to new, different scenarios).
All data related to the report should be archived and publicly available.
How did the IPCC arrive at the Planck or zero-feedback climate-sensitivity parameter? The details should be made explicit.
We need to know the projected impact of climate feedbacks over time. (Which means we need a graph of the evolution of the value of the climate sensitivity parameter).
Feedbacks are nearly twice as important as CO2 in the models — The IPCC needs to explicitly list all the feedbacks and make an estimate of each (with error bars)
There has been 16 years of no statistically significant warming. The IPCC must stop ignoring this. (In 2008, modelers said a stasis of 15 years would mean the models were wrong. Ergo…? )
On the economic front, the IPCC needs to do the cost-benefits on adapting to a warming world compared to the cost benefit of changing the weather.

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