THE HOCKEY SCHTICK: New paper finds only 1 weather station in the Arctic with warming that can't be explained by natural variation
A paper published today in Geophysical Research Letters examines surface air temperature trends in the Eurasian Arctic region and finds "only 17 out of the 109 considered stations have trends which cannot be explained as arising from intrinsic [natural] climate fluctuations" and that "Out of those 17, only one station exhibits a warming trend which is significant against all three null models [models of natural climate change without human forcing]." Climate alarmists claim that the Arctic is "the canary in the coalmine" and should show the strongest evidence of a human fingerprint on climate change, yet these observations in the Arctic show that only 1 out of 109 weather stations showed a warming trend that was not explained by the natural variations in the 3 null climate models.Tom Quirk: Did the global temperature trend change at the end of the 1990s? | Climate Realists
The apparent leveling of the global temperature time series at the end of the 1990s may represent a break in the upward trend. A study of the time series measurements for temperature, carbon dioxide, humidity and methane shows changes coincident with phase changes of the Atlantic and Pacific Decadal Oscillations. There are changes in carbon dioxide, humidity and methane measurement series in 2000. If these changes mark a phase change of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation then it might explain the global temperature behaviourAl's Journal : Three Simple Things
so when you carpool you’ll think twice about leaving your engine idling to spew soot into the atmosphere. Just shut off the engine if you’re waiting more than 10 seconds. [Hey Al: Over the last ten years, how many planet-healing carpools have you participated in?]Has Doha finally laid the ghosts of Copenhagen to rest? - Telegraph
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) will come up with its latest report on the risks of global warming by the end of 2014.
It will show how much temperatures are set to rise on current trajectories. Some think it could be up to 6C.
Considering the whole point of the UN talks is to keep temperature rise below 2C, if anything forces the world to act, surely this will be it?
But the really key meeting in 2015, to finally move the world towards a low carbon economy, is expected to be in France.
The French have been supportive of a deal and civil society will be able to pile on the pressure in a country that allows free protest.
Also, the French really don’t like to look stupid.