Friday, January 04, 2013

Warmist journalist Justin Gillis on warmist Kerry Emanuel's book, which defends Mann's hockey stick: "The book is dead accurate"

An Antidote for Climate Contrarianism - NYTimes.com
I would guess a few Green readers had the experience, over the holidays, of arguing yet again about global warming with a parent or brother-in-law who thinks it’s all a big hoax. Maybe there’s some undiscovered substance in roast turkey that makes people want to pick fights around the dinner table.
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The book is dead accurate, not only presenting scientifically what we know, but also leveling with readers about what we don’t.
I bought the Kindle version of Emanuel's book, spent a few minutes skimming it, and highlighted the quotes below:
During the early part of the Eocene era, around 50 million years ago, the earth was free of ice, and giant trees grew on islands near the North Pole, where the annual mean temperature was about 60°F, far warmer than today’s mean of about 30°F.
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Even if the changes we are bringing about are larger than the globe has experienced in the last few thousand years, they are smaller than the big natural swings between ice ages and interglacial periods, which the earth and indeed human beings survived.
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My own work has shown that hurricanes are responding to warming sea surface temperatures faster than we originally expected, especially in the North Atlantic, where the total power output by tropical cyclones has nearly doubled since the 1970s. The 2005 hurricane season was the most active in the 150 years on record, corresponding to record warmth of the tropical Atlantic.
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the twin perils of flood and drought both increase substantially in a warming world.
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we should also be wary of our own collective ignorance of how the climate system works.
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we do not understand the sudden climate jumps revealed by the ice core record and are worried that similar jumps might be part of our future.
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it takes thousands of years for CO2 levels to return to normal once emissions cease.
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countries such as Russia and Canada might profit from a warmer climate.
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Climate research has been a victim of a disturbing phenomenon: the use of advanced marketing techniques to discredit scientific findings that may lead to consumer and regulatory behavior unfavorable to certain business interests.
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Most people, when it comes to their personal health, would never ignore the advice of 97 doctors in favor of three. But through the wondrous alchemy of marketing, it is possible to get some people to do just that in the realm of climate science
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As long as we continue to elect scientific illiterates such as James Inhofe, who believes global warming to be a hoax, we will be discouraged from engaging in intelligent debate at the policy level.
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The hockey-stick shape of the temperature curve over the past few thousand years has become something of an icon of anthropogenic climate change and has been strongly criticized from many quarters. But repeated reanalyses of the underlying proxy data have verified the basic shape of the temperature curve and show the last century of warming to be anomalously pronounced.

4 comments:

Anonymous said...

Fiction

Anonymous said...

...the last century of warming to be anomalously pronounced....

Bait and switch. The discussion of CAGW is post-1975, but the "evidence" used is post 1880.

Anonymous said...

The confidence in stating 'exactly' what was and was not 50 million years ago is utterly laughable...no ice on earth, giant trees growing on islands near the North Pole, and an annual mean temperature of 60*F. It takes greater faith to believe this drivel than it does to believe in a young earth!

b. j. edwards said...

Dr. Emanuel is one of the most feared climate scientists by climate science deniers. His ability to clearly articulate complex climate science accurately and truthfully has climate scene deniers tied in fits. No wonder Tom Nelson, Anthony Watts, and Marc Morano are so afraid.