Saturday, March 02, 2013

Gee, We Wonder Why The New York Times Is Shutting Down Its Green Blog
It appears the green pages of the Gray Lady were turning out to be more of an embarrassment than anything. As is the case with any operation that gets shut down, it is because either there’s no longer a demand for it, or other sources are simply doing a much better job delivering.
Fossil Fuels: Modern Asbestos?
Many are starting to talk in terms of a "carbon bubble." If global governments seek to meet their already articulated goals of minimizing global warming to a certain target, many carbon-intensive projects may be at risk. Under this scenario, projects like Keystone XL could become stranded assets, in that they are no longer economically viable to develop under what would be a new regulatory framework. That would be a material business risk.
March 1, 2013: Unpublished (surprise) letter to the Nation magazine on why"350" is an impossible and undesirable goal.
I applaud the moral motivation that drives “350,” and a fear of climate catastrophe justifies such a position. As someone who has taught climate statistics, though, I must dispute advocates’ certainty in their fear. The models that try to divide the one degree rise in global temperature since 1850 between human and natural causes are weak, as are claims that the increase has led to catastrophic weather. The future “scenarios” generated by the climate modelers, in which CO2-driven warming escalates in the next century to dramatic proportions, are even weaker. The positive feedbacks to initial warming that are included in climate models are mostly guesswork. In the lab, at least, the response of the heat-absorbing frequencies of carbon dioxide molecules is a square-root function, meaning that additional CO2 has less and less effect on heating.

The world will achieve the goal of 350 surely but slowly, whatever we do with fossil fuels, because temperature will drop 20 degrees over the next 80,000 years, as part of the recurrent 100,000 year temperature cycles of the past few million years. These cycles, which drive CO2 levels down and up with them, mysteriously yet perfectly follow the “Milankovitch” oscillation of the earth’s orbit around the sun from perfect circle (recently) to 5 percent ellipse (in about 50,000 years). Patience.
Not the hottest ever summer for most Australians in Sydney, Melbourne or Brisbane. Not “extreme” heatwaves either. « JoNova
Nearly 50% of all Australians experienced an average to above average summer, but none of them experienced an extreme summer or a record hot season.

Since there are 100 different ways of measuring a “record”, could it be the BOM is cherry picking whatever record it can find, but ignoring all the non-records, the average measurements, and the ordinary heat?

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