Monday, November 07, 2011

Disinformation and pseudo critical thinking | Climate Etc.

Lets talk about ‘disinformation,’  and how we have come to the point where my providing a forum for the discussion of two papers just published in the peer reviewed literature generates the accusation that I am a purveyor of disinformation.

Congress Attacks "Illegal" EU Carbon Tax on Americans

The governments of China, Australia, Canada, Japan, Russia, and dozens of other nations are standing up to the EU tax as well. Even the Obama administration is opposed to the plan.

Rick Perry campaign lashes out against ‘Manufactured Mitt’ on climate change | Iowa Caucuses

In a news release this afternoon entitled: “Manufactured Mitt: His carefully choreographed, rare Iowa appearances attempt to hide positions on carbon emissions,” the Texas governor’s aides lash out at Romney, a former Massachusetts governor and fellow Republican.

Articles: Green Energy: Damn the Facts, Full Speed Ahead!

Green energy alternatives may satisfy our energy needs one day, but this much is certain: today, green energy is little more than a way for President Obama to dole out federal dollars to his favorite firms at the expense of coal, oil, and natural gas producers.  The science and technology do not exist in green energy areas to meet even a smidgen of our energy needs.  That's what the facts tell us, and ignoring the facts is costing us jobs and tax revenue.

Here Comes Solar Energy - NYTimes.com

We are, or at least we should be, on the cusp of an energy transformation, driven by the rapidly falling cost of solar power. That’s right, solar power.

I wonder if the cost of shoveling snow from solar panels follows Moore's law.

MP calls for transparency over green taxes on energy bills | Environment | guardian.co.uk

The cost of green taxes should be included on home energy bills to ensure a "rational debate" on paying for new low-carbon energy infrastructure in the UK, according to the influential head of the commons energy and climate change select committee.

RUFFALO AND SON JOIN ANTI-PIPELINE PROTEST

In the caption, he added, "My dear sweet son Keen is here standing to defend his generation against Climate Change".

Health cost of 6 U.S. climate disasters: $14 billion - chicagotribune.com

The six case studies are examples of events related to climate change that are projected to worsen as the planet warms, the authors said.

Activist's records released after WH arrest | Campaign 2012 | Washington Examiner

The Obama administration stopped fighting a Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) request Friday and released documents showing that NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies Chief James Hansen was paid $250 an hour by a Canadian law firm for advice and testimony against developing Alberta's oil sands, income which Hansen does not appear to have disclosed.

Duke Energy Warns Customers to Not Use EV Charging Stations After Fire Involving Siemens Charger and Chevy Volt | Cars In Depth

http://www.rokemneedlearts.com/carsindepth/wordpressblog/?p=5222

We're saved!: Planet-healing braintrust flying to Durban to save the world from CO2-induced bad weather

DiCaprio and Jolie Lead Celebs to Climate Change Conference | Haute Living Magazine

Haute 100 Los Angeles members Leonardo DiCaprio and Angelina Jolie will be leading a star-studded crew of celebrities to Durban, South Africa in three weeks for the 17th Conference of Parties (COP17) climate change conference, the single biggest event in the city’s history.

The renowned activists will be joined by the likes of Arnold Schwarzenegger, Al Gore, Bono of U2, and others. The city’s hotels are completely booked through, including those in areas outside of Durban. The event is estimated to bring the area’s hospitality industry over R500 million (approximately $63.3 million).

In addition to the mentioned celebrities, other notables expected to attend include World Bank president Robert Zoellick, United Nations Secretary General Ban Ki-Moon, CNN founder Ted Turner, Richard Branson, and eight Nobel Laureates, including Archbishop Emeritus Desmond Tutu.

Global warming could render some species homeless

"When temperatures rise, plants and animals that need a cooler environment move to new regions. The land is warming about three times faster than the ocean so you might simply expect species to move three times faster on land, but that's not the case," Burrows explained.

"If the land temperature becomes too hot for some species, they can move to higher ground where temperatures are generally cooler. That's not an option for many marine species which live at, or near, the surface of the ocean," he was quoted as saying in a Scottish Association statement.

Rush Limbaugh: Global Warming is a Hoax, an Attempt to 'Codify Liberalism as Science' - International Business Times

During his afternoon radio talk show, Limbaugh said Friday  that ideology is at the root of the global warming discussion:

"One of the things that the left attempts to do is to codify elements of their ideology as 'science.'  That is what global warming is all about -- and many other things as well. Codify liberalism as science, therefore making it irrefutable, making it inarguable -- and, of course, they failed. Everybody knows that it's a hoax," said Limbaugh.

Global temperatures: Nonbelievers refuse to warm up to 'climate hysteria' | OregonLive.com

The philosopher Bertrand Russell, also a Nobel laureate, pointed out many years ago: "If a man is offered a fact which goes against his instincts, he will scrutinize it closely, and unless the evidence is overwhelming, he will refuse to believe it. If, on the other hand, he is offered something which affords a reason for acting in accordance to his instincts, he will accept it even on the slightest evidence."

This "confirmation bias" is a problem that we all face, but especially those who worship global warming.

2009: John Holdren on the prospect of CO2-induced multi-meter sea level rise this century: "I can't tell you that's probable, but nobody else can tell you that it's improbable"

CBC.ca | Ideas | Climate Wars, Part 3 (Listen)

Around the 8:30 mark, John Holdren talks about the possibility of multi-meter sea level rise this century.  Holdren:  "I can't tell you that's probable, but nobody else can tell you that it's improbable".

Warmist Gwynne Dyer then builds on that by saying by saying we could be looking at five meters of sea level rise this century.   If so, Dyer says: "Wall Street in New York will be underwater, Trafalgar Square in London will be underwater, and you'll need hip waders to get to the White House at low tide".

Almost Nothing We've Been Told About The IPCC Is Actually True | Fox News

We're told we should trust the judgment of the scientists who write IPCC reports. Yet in an organization in which hundreds of people knew the chairman was traveling the world uttering balderdash, no one apparently took him aside and corrected him.

I've done my share of investigative reporting. But I've never seen a story like this one. -- No matter what IPCC rock I turn over, I find something scandalous.

National Park Service still funding climate change hoax program

The National Park Service's Climate Change Response Program is pleased to announce the launch of the 2012 George Melendez Wright Climate Change Fellowship Program. This program provides financial support for enrolled Masters and Doctoral students conducting research related to climate change in US National Parks, including transboundary issues and comparisons to Mexican and Canadian protected areas. All projects must be relevant to NPS resource management needs, and may be in the broad range of natural, cultural, and social science disciplines.

1911 Missouri storm: A reminder of just how mild the weather was, back before you ruined it by plugging in your cell phone charger

MU Scientists Detail Cause of 1911 Storm | KOMU.com | Columbia, MO |

COLUMBIA - Saturday, Nov. 11, 1911 saw what was probably the most sudden and dangerous cold blast in Midwest American history, the Great Blue Norther of 11/11/11. People who enjoyed a summer-like morning froze to death in heavy snowfall that evening. Blue skies changed to low clouds, driving rain, sleet, hail, thunderstorms, tornadoes and blizzards in half a day. Winds were so violent that they turned buildings into trapezoids.

Part 2: Recent 9 Months U.S. Regional Temperature trend/decade – It is getting cooler and cooler « UD/RK Samhälls Debatt

The Southwest recent 9 months trend 2000 -2011 is exactly - 1.84 F degrees a decade.  

The South recent 9 months trend 2000 -2011 is exactly - 0.19 F degrees a decade.  

The East North Central recent 9 months trend 2000-2011 is exactly – 1.05 F degrees a decade.  

So the “warming” trend is really accelerating wouldn’t you say.

Some more “rapid warming” like this and the freezer looks really comfortable and warm.

NY Times suggests that if we all move back into caves and don't start any cooking fires, maybe the dry spells in the American Southwest will only span four centuries, like they did when CO2 was at "safe" levels

Bristlecone Pines Help Reconstruct a Long-Ago Drought - NYTimes.com

Analyzing tree rings and matching them with previous work, they found what they consider to be compelling evidence a long dry spell in the Southwest stretching through the first four centuries of the Christian era and punctuated by more acute dry stretches.

Scientists already knew the Southwest was prone to long, severe megadroughts far worse than anything that has happened there since European settlement of the region began. Some of the same scientists involved in this work helped document such a drought in the medieval era. And some previous research had already pointed toward the likelihood of a second-century megadrought. But with the fresh evidence, the Arizona scientists believe the case is nailed.

...

Evidence of the causes is of course quite thin, but the scientists speculate that one factor may have been a broad pattern of warmth in the Northern Hemisphere, possibly caused by an uptick in the sun’s energy output. This warm spell is often called the “Roman Warm Period,” and while it has not been definitively proven to exist, evidence for the idea is growing.

New Study Shows How Microbes in Thawing Permafrost Could Affect Global Warming - Ecocentric - TIME.com

For the first two days after thawing, the melting ice released the methane that had been trapped within, but then the rate of emissions dropped significantly. That seems to be due to the fact that while some microbes in the soil went onto produce more methane, other microorganisms actually consumed the gas

7 Reasons Why the Public Is Not Engaged on Climate | GreenBiz.com

4. The Opposition is Mighty. With major economic interests being challenged, opponents of addressing climate change are extremely well funded, well connected and willing to fight a fierce fight. The opposition has a knack for preying upon public fear and confusion; they realize that they don’t have to be right, just cause enough fuss to raise doubt.

Pew: Among Americans aged 66 to 83, only 22% say that global warming is caused mostly by human activity

Section 8: Domestic and Foreign Policy Views | Pew Research Center for the People and the Press

Millennials are almost twice as likely as Silents to say that global warming is caused mostly by human activity (43% vs. 22%).

A message of solidarity to the Keystone XL protesters | Warmist Van Jones

And if he is even considering approving this monstrous, planet-killing proposal, President Obama is flat-out, absolutely, and 100 percent wrong..

...Let the message be clear: We, the People, cannot accept this. If the White House lets the proposal go forward, there should be nonviolent civil disobedience and mass arrests along every mile, foot, and inch of the construction route -- until it is impossible to complete. August was the beginning of the "people's veto" of this whole proposal; we will never give up until the very idea of Keystone XL is dead and buried.

Gassy Alaskan Microbes Are Warming Up the Planet

A team of researchers from Berkeley took chunks of permafrost soil from Alaska, and shipped them back to the lab to thaw them out in controlled conditions. As they woke up, the gassy little microorganisms trapped in the melting ice spewed out more methane than the contestants in a bean-eating competition.

Mt. High Opens As First Resort In SoCal

Says Karl Kapuscinski, President and CEO, “We are very excited to lead Southern California into the 2011/12 season.  This is one of our earliest openings ever and with more cold weather in the forecast we are looking forward to a fantastic start.”

Radio New Zealand : News : Rural : Hard frost sets Otago gapegrowers back weeks

Grapegrowers in Central Otago say a devastating weekend frost put them three weeks behind the start of the growing season.

Bitterly cold westerlies brought snow to the south on Saturday, making it too windy and too cold for farmers to use wind machines to protect crops.

Climate change gets left out in the cold

public awareness of climate change in Asia is limited. The Gallup World Poll, a survey carried out regularly in almost 150 countries since 2007, has found that nearly four in 10 people in east Asia and the Pacific are unaware of climate change and only 28 per cent think it is a serious threat.

In India, the world's biggest democracy, climate change has not registered in the mainstream political debate anything like it has in Australia and other Western nations.

Forthcoming Series on Science at The Conversation

Study after study shows not only are people more interested in science then they are in sport (yes, even in Australia), but they also don’t feel informed enough about it.

Greening Phoenix to Fight Global Warming « Reasonable Doubt on Climate Change

winter temperatures in Arizona have been decreasing for the past decade

Michael Levi: Energy, Security, and Climate » Missing The Big Picture on Keystone XL

P.S.: A few people have asked me whether I plan to respond to the anti-Keystone post that went up at RealClimate last Friday. I probably won’t. The post is a mix of correct arithmetic concerning oil sands emissions and some pretty awful economic and political analysis. The bad economics assumes that Canadian production won’t affect what happens elsewhere in the world; the bad political science implies that the Keystone XL decision will determine what happens to the oil sands over the next thousand or so years. None of that has any support in reality, but adopting it makes the careful arithmetic irrelevant. I’ve gone through these arguments before, and don’t see much value in going through them again. I’m a bit worried, though, that by straying from good climate science into bad economics and politics, RealClimate – which I normally love – will hurt its brand and credibility.

Credibility Of EU Energy Modelling In Doubt

The credibility of a European energy review has been cast into doubt by experts who point out that long-term plans to cut carbon emissions are based on an economic model owned by a single Greek university that cannot be independently scrutinised.

Omaha.com : Obama may delay pipeline decision

The step might put off a decision until after the 2012 election and be a way for the White House to at least temporarily avoid antagonizing either the unions that support the pipeline or the environmental activists who oppose it as President Barack Obama gears up for his campaign.

Twitter / @Revkin: Susan Solomon at #iyc03 no ...

Susan Solomon at notes realtime impacts of still subtle & pale next to what may come. Engaging next-gen key

BEST Data “Quality” « Climate Audit

In a surprising number of records, the “seasonally adjusted” station data in the Berekely archive contains wildly incorrect data.

Confessions of an FOIA criminal | Christopher C. Horner | Op Eds | Washington Examiner

The current outrage of which Jackson is only the most recent purveyor is directed at just one in a long, un-protested series of similar FOI requests. On its face, this appears to be an effort to protect select individuals, a select cause and a nearly unprecedented revenue stream. 

That is not legitimate grounds for policymaking. To bow to that is the abuse of the FOIA. 

Burn the skeptics « The Daily Bayonet

You may be annoyed, or worse, at the video, but don’t be. If warmists were winning hearts and minds, they wouldn’t be churning out murderous videos on the Internet. It’s unpleasant to look at, but it’s a sign of warmist impotence in the face of reality, and it’s what winning looks like.

Labor Party Big Economics Idea: Pay $10 billion to *lose* $20 billion more! « JoNova: Science, carbon, climate and tax

This is about what it adds up too: If the carbon tax costs us, say, $10 billion a year (anyone have a better number?) we not only have to pay that, but we might lose another $20 billion a year as well.

Climate on Cable: The Nature and Impact of Global Warming Coverage on Fox News, CNN, and MSNBC

the views of Republicans are strongly linked with the news outlet they watch, regardless of how well that outlet aligns with their political
predispositions. In contrast, Democrats don’t vary much in their beliefs as a function of cable news use. This asymmetry suggests
that some Republicans, who as a group tend to be predisposed toward global warming skepticism, are less skeptical when exposed
to information on the reality and urgency of climate change.

Twitter / @suzyji: Browner - if people want # ...

 Browner - if people want to go forward maybe there shd be a commitment that GHG be offset

Twitter / @suzyji: 1/2 Wish #nokxl organisers ...

1/2 Wish organisers wd be a little more realistic. Big turnout yes but NOT NOT 5-10 deep length of WH

Obama's Green Obsession: The Democrats' Blue-Collar Blues

Obama governing philosophy has consistently put green priorities ahead of blue-collar workers. That is now one of the biggest threats to his re-election.

Saving Britain's Economy: Ditch Expensive Wind Farms

The government could save each member of the population almost £550 by 2020 if it scraps expensive wind energy plans in favour of cheaper nuclear and gas-fired power plants.

climategate.tv » Prosperity or Suicide: A tale of two climate policies

The UN climate conference has descended into self-parodying farce and country after country is turning away from economically disastrous climate policies in the name of crackpot science claiming that humans can prevent the global thermostat from going up 2°C. Perhaps the nations of the world have finally realized that all of these numbers, the 350 ppm of carbon dioxide and the 2°C warming and the 50% emission cuts are all completely arbitrary. Or perhaps they realized that climate science increasingly relies on computer models instead of actual science. Maybe it’s because recent studies disprove the carbon dioxide/temperature link at the very heart of the scare? Or it could be that the globe has signally failed to warm over the past decade despite the biggest spikes in carbon emissions yet.

Climate Policy Initiative Finds that Global Climate Finance Totals at Least USD 97 Billion a Year - PR Newswire - sacbee.com

CPI finds that at least USD 97 billion is already being provided annually to finance low-carbon, climate-resilient development activities

Climate Politics Grow Curiouser and Curiouser - The Huffington Post

In my view, allowing global temperature to rise to a level at which we may not survive, with the poorest and most vulnerable communities as the first casualties, would be the greatest climate injustice of all.

Amazon.com: The Hockey Stick and the Climate Wars: Dispatches from the Front Lines (9780231152549): Michael E. Mann: Books

[Left-wing English major Chris Mooney] Although not initially of his own choosing, Michael Mann has been the most important, resilient, and outspoken warrior in the climate battle--responding to threats and persecution with courage and resolve every step of the way. Anyone who cares about the climate issue must read his fascinating--and enraging--story.

Warmist places Richard Branson in the Arctic, Africa, the Maldives, London, the Caribbean, Mexico, and China, then quotes Branson on how we allegedly need to change *our* consumption patterns to prevent bad weather

 Richard Branson on Climate Change: ‘If We Don’t Change, Mother Nature Will Force Us To’ – News Watch

“We do need to keep broadening the debate,” he said. “As arguments continue to rage around the weather patterns and reality of climate change, we are missing the bigger picture that there is no scientific debate about that every single one of our natural eco-systems is in decline. Part of this shift must be a new perspective on how we value our natural assets and how we change our consumption patterns. If we don’t move on this, Mother Nature will force us to.”...To that end, in 2007 he had announced the Virgin Earth Challenge, an idea he credited to his wife, which offered a $25 million prize to whomever — inventor, scientist or entrepreneur — could come up with the best way to remove carbon from the atmosphere. The original deadline was 2010; to-date they’ve received 2,500 entries but have not yet chosen a “grand prize winner.” Instead, he said, the panel — which includes James Lovelock, Tim Flannery, Al Gore and James Hansen — had decided to choose a handful of promising entries and give them grants to help develop some experimental technologies.

As polar bears allegedly face CO2-induced extinction, WWF promotes "sustainable" ways to fire high-powered bullets through the bears' vital organs

Coca-Cola starts $4M campaign for its iconic polar bears - Environment - MiamiHerald.com

With the change, the company is hoping to spark a fund-raising campaign that will add $4 million to a World Wildlife Fund effort to give the animals, which some scientists predict may be the first major species to go extinct because of climate change, a hedge against warming temperatures and melting ice.

I mentioned this to a friend the other night, and she snorted in derision. "What do they think they can do about melting ice?" she demanded. "What good will $4 million do?"

In other words, a mere drop in the can?

Not so, says the WWF's Katherine Neebe, who leads the non-profit organization's partnership with Coca-Cola.

The WWF is working on "Last Ice Area" - which might sound romantic if not for the tragedy of the situation. Actually it might be a matrix of areas in Greenland and Canada, where scientists expect the ice to last the longest.

The area would be about twice the size of Texas, in total, and would protect the habitat not only for the bears, but also for the native Inuit people. The WWF is also funding research on the biology of the bears and their needs and is promoting sustainable hunting practices. (Yes, the Inuit hunt polar bears as part of a cultural tradition, but that's not the major threat to the polar bear, scientists say.)

Search results for polar bear hunting

About 500 bears are killed per year by humans across Canada

Connecticut: You know what's not fun? Six days of involuntary Earth hours in cold weather

News from The Associated Press

HARTFORD, Conn. (AP) -- Tempers are snapping as fast as the snow-laden branches that brought down power wires across the Northeast last weekend, with close to 300,000 Connecticut customers still in the dark and the state's biggest utility warning them not to threaten or harass repair crews.

Angry residents left without heat as temperatures drop to near freezing overnight have been lashing out at Connecticut Light & Power: accosting repair crews, making profane criticisms online and suing. In Simsbury, a hard-hit suburban town of about 25,000 residents, National Guard troops deployed to clear debris have been providing security outside a utility office building.

Cleopatra the climate change denying ostrich - YouTube

Pete MacDowell of Climate Reality Check and Abe Allen of Protecting Our Waters show off Cleopatra, Queen of Denial, the climate change denying ostrich who prefers to bury her head in the sand rather than face reality about the impacts of the Keystone XL Tar Sands Pipeline on our planet's climate. November 6, 2011 in front of the White House.

Shakespeare, Global Warming, Sunset, and You - ABC News

According to all the apparently competent experts this reporter has found on the matter after more than seven years following the story across the United States and around the world, manmade global warming is well under way, already extremely destructive, and on track to grow steadily worse for at least the next three decades, even if humanity does manage to drastically cut carbon emissions. 
...Virtually all the world’s roughly 3,000 professional climate scientists paint a psychologically daunting picture of the world in which today’s toddlers are growing up.

Estimates of people now dying who would not if there were no manmade warming are in the hundreds of thousands. The United Nations now estimates hundreds of millions of disruptive “climate refugees” in less than 40 years.

Real climate change: from green to brown » Corpus Christi Caller-Times

Count my grass as another victim of global warming.

Hard-up UK puts climate change on back burner | Climate Change

Report finds Britons more concerned with keeping warm than worrying about the environment

William M. Briggs, Statistician » Two New Papers vs. BEST: Guest Post by Lüdecke, Link, and Ewert

LL demonstrates that the 20th century’s global warming was predominantly a natural 100-year fluctuation. The leftovers are caused by UHI, the warming effect by increasing station elevation, changes to the screens and their environments in the 1970s, variations in the sun’s magnetic field that could influence the amount of clouds, warming caused by increasing anthropogenic CO2, and further unknown effects.

Greenpeace stages protest at South African coal power station | Environment | guardian.co.uk

Melita Steele, a Greenpeace climate change expert, said the protest started at dawn Monday at the Kusile power station with activists chaining themselves to the gates of the construction site. Security guards later cut the chain. Steele said six activists climbed a crane at the site and were dangling there from ropes with a banner declaring: "Kusile – climate killer."

Eskom, the state-owned power company, says it needs Kusile because of rising electricity demand.

Deer, antelope harvest down in northeast Montana due to tough winter, disease | The Republic

The agency cut antelope hunting licenses after heavy snows over the winter prevented antelope from reaching forage and many starved to death. Game check stations this fall show harvest down 71 percent from last year, and a 79 percent reduction in the long-term average.

Straight Talk on Rising Seas in a Warming World - NYTimes.com

Among other things, he speaks about the recent study that, using patterns in layered salt marsh sediment, found a sharp recent uptick in the rate of sea-level rise after 2,000 years of fairly stable conditions — a pattern Willis refers to as a “sea-level hockey stick” — an allusion to the suite of studies finding a similar pattern for global surface temperatures (albeit a hockey stick with a warped shaft).

When the going gets tough on Keystone XL, Obama goes … golfing | Canada.com

Obama, for his part, took the opportunity presented by Sunday’s great weather to bolt the White House via motorcade – well in advance of the protest – for a golf game at Fort Belvoir in Virginia.

PJ Media » Wasted ‘Climate Change’ Cash Could Save Lives Instead

When it comes to climate change, our leaders would do well to follow Buddhist advice: when struck by an arrow, first remove it before seeking out your assailant. Otherwise, you will die.

But most governments and charitable foundations today do exactly the opposite. They try so hard to appease climate activists — who seem more concerned about the possible plight of people yet to be born than those suffering today — that millions of people have been abandoned to misery and early death in the poorest parts of the world.

BEST Reports -60C In Longmont, Colorado | Real Science

It appears that BEST is just another example of the incredibly lazy and incompetent “work” which typifies climate science.

Paint the decline yellow | Herald Sun Andrew Bolt Blog

 So what do you do if the European Space Agency’s sophisticated new Envisat satellite system for measuring sea level rises shows no rising over the past seven years, against all warmist predictions?

Simple: plot the results in a color hard to see, like yellow:

My Take On The Herman Cain/Newt Gingrich Debate In Texas | TexasSparkle | a Chron.com blog

I got to ask Newt the last question in the video about his infamous commercial with Nancy Pelosi on global warming (at the 4.44 mark). I think he answered it pretty well. Tell me what you think.

Gingrich says "It was a mistake...I do believe that conservatives have to have a concern for the environment...I don't care how conservative you are, it's not good if you have a river on fire...I was trying find a way to be in the environmental space debating the left".

Roger Pielke Jr.'s Blog: Real Climate Walks Back

3. Walk Back - Ultimately, Stefan takes a big step back from their original strong statement about attribution and how it impeached earlier research, now writing

"Our statistical approach nevertheless is not in itself an attribution study" 

Titley on Skeptics - YouTube

Admiral David Titley, Chief Oceanographer of the US Navy, on Climate Skeptics

At the 1:25 mark: When skeptics mention that CO2 is a trace gas, he says "Well, hey, alcohol is a trace, and we sure care about that".

Anniston Star - Pity the skeptics of climate change: Their research is more proof that Earth is warming

Upset by the lack of scientific skepticism that first greeted the claims of climate change, Muller re-examined the evidence and concluded that what mainstream scientists have been saying for decades is fundamentally correct.

Equally important, he added that as a result of his work, “we have confidence that the temperature rise that had been previously reported had been done without bias.”

In other words, scientists can be trusted.

It’s warming? That should shut them up! | Climate Nonconformist

Just as warming doesn’t necessitate an anthropogenic component, the presence of a greenhouse effect doesn’t imply that it is significant. The empirical evidence Pell is claiming doesn’t exists lies around the net positive feedback mechanisms that are meant to turn 1.2°C of warming into dangerous warming.

Sunday, November 06, 2011

Thousands protest at the White House over Keystone XL pipeline | Environment | guardian.co.uk

Organisers initially claimed a turnout of 6,000, later doubling the number to 12,000. They included the actor Mark Ruffalo, climate scientist James Hansen, and the Nobel peace prize winner Jody Williams.

Police said about 5,000 had come to the gathering.

...

"What these millionaire actors and professional activists don't seem to understand is that saying no to Keystone means saying yes to more conflict oil from the Middle East and Venezuela filling American gas tanks," James Millar, a spokesman for TransCanada said in an email. "After the Washington protestors fly back home, they will forget about the millions of Americans who can't find work."

Only the lonely buck the climate consensus - The Drum Opinion (Australian Broadcasting Corporation)

At heart, being in favour of the consensus position doesn't inherently mean you're right. More importantly here, saying you're on the side of consensus is not going to convince anyone opposed who feels they have rationalism and logic supporting their case.

But by the same token, being against the consensus doesn't mean you're right either. It probably just means you're a lonely fool.

Dr Will J Grant is a lecturer and researcher at the Australian National Centre for Public Awareness of Science at the ANU.

Part 1: Recent 9 Months U.S. Regional Temperature trend/decade – It is getting cooler and cooler

And the cooling continues. Even on a regional level. Sorry – I mean that Global Warming is an imminent treat to humankind everywhere.

The 10 Deadly Warning Signs Of Global warming

Snow Lack of snow Drought Rain Heat Cold Hurricanes Lack of hurricanes Sea level rising Sea level falling If you see any of these symptoms, immediately call the Brian Williams global warming hotline at 626-232-7744 (man-bea-rpig.) 

Study Suggests EU Biofuels Are As Carbon Intensive As Petrol

Newsroom America) -- A new study on greenhouse gas emissions from oil palm plantations has calculated a more than 50% increase in levels of CO2 emissions than previously thought – and warned that the demand for 'green' biofuels could be costing the earth.

Must-See Comic: Happy Climate Change Denial Season!

Yes, this amazing Brian McFadden comic strip was actually in the NY Times today! 

How to Spot a Delinquent Teenager

IPCC partisans refuse to see the long, long list of warning signs that something is seriously amiss. No matter how badly that organization misbehaves, nothing ever fazes them.

When faced with allegations that it kicked the neighbour's dog, broke into the neighbour's house, set the neighbour's sofa on fire, and sent grandma scrambling for her heart medication they don't feel ashamed. Rather, they insist the real issue is that the police say all this happened at 2:54 pm when, really, it was 3:03.

How did polar bears survive the Holocene ?

Obviously polar bears survived the Holocene. To my knowledge -and I may be ere completely wrong here - there are no geological records of mass extinctions of Arctic species during the mid-Holocene. This does not say any thing important for or against the influence on climate of anthropogenic emissions of greenhouse gases, but it does say something about the resilience of ecosystems to climate change

Patchy global action 'turns carbon modelling on head' | The Australian

THE carbon tax will have a vastly bigger impact on productivity, wages and the cost of living than "highly optimistic" Treasury calculations indicate, claims the Minerals Council of Australia.

Three Metre Thick Ice Area Has Doubled Since Last Year

According to the US Navy, the area of 3+ metre thick ice has doubled since last autumn. This agrees with NSIDC graphs which show an increase in the area of thick multi-year ice. 

MSNBC vs Foxnews on cold fusion

What's remarkable is the 100% complete censorship of science by MSNBC. The scientists (those who know why cold fusion is pure rubbish) are labeled "skeptics" who try to deny a "piling up proof". Not a single sentence even suggests that this whole "research" could be wrong or fraudulent even though it almost certainly is

Green Energy: Damn the Facts, Full Speed Ahead!

Green energy is little more than a way for President Obama to dole out federal dollars to his favorite firms at the expense of coal, oil, and natural gas producers.

Woman dies at Occupy Vancouver encampment

This is the second person to die at an Occupy protest in North America. A homeless man died in a tent on October 31 in Oklahoma City. The death was "not suspicious," according to police.

Climate sceptics like smokers: Turnbull

Opposition frontbencher Malcolm Turnbull has compared climate change sceptics with people who refuse to admit smoking causes lung cancer.

Saturday, November 05, 2011

Global temperatures: All over the map

"Some people mistakenly think peer review means secret review by anonymous referees at journals," Mr. Muller says. "We're getting wonderful peer review, from McIntyre, from Briggs, from other people. That's the process of science."

Jackson says effort to get Michael Mann’s e-mails ‘criminal’ | JunkScience.com

She may not have called Conrgessional GOP "jack-booted thugs", but Lisa Jackson did call the America Tradition Institute's effort to get Climategater Michael Mann's e-mails through the Freedom of Information Act "criminal."

Arctic Ice Extent Has Increased 85% Since September

While the LSM talks endlessly about record melt in the Arctic, a record freeze up is occurring. Arctic autumn temperatures have been the coldest in at least a decade, and possibly since 1996.

Why Joe Romm Should Replace Andrew Revkin as the Times’ Climate Blogger « NYTimes eXaminer

http://www.nytexaminer.com/2011/11/why-joe-romm-should-replace-andrew-revkin-as-the-times%e2%80%99-climate-blogger/

Shock: New Zealand fart tax "deeply unpopular"

The so-called "fart tax" – which would charge farmers for the harmful gas emissions from fertilisers and livestock – is deeply unpopular with the agriculture sector.

Moore emissions

Filmmaker and activist Michael Moore joined a growing crowd at the "Occupy" Denver protest Thursday evening, but his encounter with CBS4 left him fuming when he was asked about whether he represented the "99 percent" that the protesters stand for, or the "1 percent" they claim to be rallying against....

Moore said a few words to the crowd and then was escorted by two security guards in an SUV ...

WH rejects subpoena request for Solyndra docs | Campaign 2012 | Washington Examiner

http://campaign2012.washingtonexaminer.com/blogs/beltway-confidential/wh-rejects-subpoena-request-solyndra-docs

Emissions Rules Face New Mood

In fact, the Environment Department, now under the administration of Gov. Susana Martinez, has filed testimony opposing it. It also won't support a rule -- crafted by the New Energy Economy and facing repeal hearing next month -- for a statewide emissions cap starting in 2013 if the cap and trade program doesn't materialize.

Did the Romans leave London because of the grim British weather? | Mail Online

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2057930/Did-Romans-leave-London-grim-British-weather.html

No High Tide Sea Level Change At La Jolla, California Since 1871

Some of the world's leading sea level alarmists are located at Scripps Institute in La Jolla, California – where sea level has not changed since the camera was invented

IPCC Lead Author Caught Lying On ABC News Video | Real Science

Given that Richard Somerville is an IPCC lead author, he should probably be aware that one decade ago the IPCC predicted the exact opposite of what he claims.

US Wildfires Dropping 10% Per Decade

According to the US Government National Interagency Fire Center, US wildfires occur half as often as they did 50 years ago. The 1970s (ice age scare) had a huge number of fires. The IPCC predicted the exact opposite 

Global Cooling is Here

Global warming (i.e, the warming since 1977) is over. The minute increase of anthropogenic CO2 in the atmosphere (0.008%) was not the cause of the warming—it was a continuation of natural cycles that occurred over the past 500 years.

The PDO cool mode has replaced the warm mode in the Pacific Ocean, virtually assuring us of about 30 years of global cooling, perhaps much deeper than the global cooling from about 1945 to 1977. Just how much cooler the global climate will be during this cool cycle is uncertain. Recent solar changes suggest that it could be fairly severe, perhaps more like the 1880 to 1915 cool cycle than the more moderate 1945-1977 cool cycle. A more drastic cooling, similar to that during the Dalton and Maunder minimums, could plunge the Earth into another Little Ice Age, but only time will tell if that is likely.

The Ecologist talks sense

No, really. I found a really quite sensible article in the Ecologist about global warming and in particular about climate models.

"Apps4Africa Climate Challenge" - Courtesy of American taxpayers

The warmist US State Department seem to think that Africans - particularly young Africans - have not shown enough interest in global warming/climate change recently. That´s now going to change: The State Department is the main sponsor of a new climate missionary project, "Apps4Africa Climate Challenge":

Breaking News: Climate Skeptic Combusts in New Video

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2011/11/04/breaking-news-climate-skeptic-combusts-in-new-video/

BBC News - Climate summit set for rows on flying, cash and history

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-15591309

Occupy Antarctica Protester Carries On Despite -50 Degree Temperatures The DAILY RASH

http://www.thedailyrash.com/occupy-antarctica-protester-carries-on-despite-50-degree-temperatures

EPA Chief Lisa Jackson Calls Republicans “Jack-Booted Thugs” [UPDATE: Nope, she didn't.] | RedState

http://www.redstate.com/aglanon/2011/11/04/epa-chief-lisa-jackson-calls-republicans-jack-booted-thugs/

Friday, November 04, 2011

EPA Chief Calls Republicans 'Jack-Booted Thugs' - EPA - Fox Nation

http://nation.foxnews.com/epa/2011/11/04/epa-chief-calls-republicans-jack-booted-thugs

Running Out Of Time

Alarmists have been wildly overplaying their hand, and their time is running out. For example, the sea level team has been making multi-metre claims for some time now, which is incredibly stupid – because people would probably notice something like that. 

CEO: “The market for carbon capture and storage is dead”

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2011/11/04/ceo-the-market-for-carbon-capture-and-storage-is-dead/

Conference conversations

There were two interesting topics that revealed some tension among participants: the future of climate modelling, and the attribution of extreme events (they are of course connected, but that wasn't really the issue).

Greenland Farming Update

Nuuk is the capital of Greenland  and has been very cold ever since Hillary flew in there this spring to solve global warming.  It is one of Greenland's warmest locations. They had barely three frost free months this year, which is tough for farming

Warm Oceans Can Cause Storms to Linger ǀ Oceans, Oceanography & Weather Systems ǀ Climate Systems | Our Amazing Planet

The team removed the effect that global warming has on water temperatures, and found that blocking events occurred up to 30 percent more often from the 1930s to the 1960s and during a period that started in the late 1990s to the present, all times when the North Atlantic Ocean was warmer than usual.

New climate ‘road map’ by 2015: EU diplomat | Oman Observer

On Thursday, small island nations facing rising seas driven by warming slammed the slow pace of the climate talks and suggestions by Japan and Russia that a 2015 target for a global agreement is unrealistic.
Russia's top climate diplomat said such a deal was more likely for 2018 or even later.

Taxpayers Fund Impractical Cracker Barrel EV Recharging Scheme | National Legal and Policy Center

http://nlpc.org/stories/2011/11/03/country-cookin%E2%80%99-can%E2%80%99t-overcome-lengthy-ev-charging-times

Politics Blog » Obama’s Solomonic choice

Obama said this week he would decide himselfwhether to approve the pipeline. It's no wonder. His presidency may be at stake. One the one hand are jobs and energy security, and the other the planet.

Morningside to host speaker on climate change [hoax]

Loorz has been a climate change activist since the age of 13 and has spoken to more than 200,000 people in venues like schools, conferences and the United Nations. His work has been featured on CNN, CBS, ABC, Discovery Channel, Fox News, National Geographic and the New York Times.

Art Horn: Late October Northeast Snowstorm Is Not Unprecedented

The massive snow storm that buried the parts of the Northeastern United States on the last weekend of October was not an unprecedented event. Claims have been made that this storm was something new and strange and that it was caused by global warming. The people that made these claims have not done their homework. In order to understand the present we must know and understand the past. One can't put current events in proper prospective if we are ignorant of past events. That is why we teach children history in school. 

Reversing the null hypothesis

The proofs have been so consistent and the AGW-inspired hypotheses have been so consistently failing that we may also say that science (including rudimentary psychiatry) has also proved that whoever believes that man-made CO2 is an important and detrimental factor affecting the climate has been proved to be a psychopath, too.

Recommended Book on Climate Change

new book has been released by climate blogger John Kehr called "The Inconvenient Skeptic". I highly recommend this book to anyone interested in climate change, and especially to those who still buy into the AGW theory.

"Definitive" Global Warming Study Criticized As Fraud - HUMAN EVENTS

So, yeah, Muller flagrantly misrepresented the data, but it's not really a "lie," because all those gigabytes of raw data were right there in the open on the BEST website, where any layman could analyze them and determine the truth… after investing a few years in obtaining an advanced meteorology degree.  It's your fault for paying attention to all those op-eds blasting through the global media instead of becoming a scientist and checking the numbers yourself, you stupid taxpayers!
Mmegi Online :: Global warming limiting resources for the youth
Global warming is fueling social injustice and presenting generational crisis because limited or no resources would be transferred to the youth for socio-economic development says climate change expert, Dr Julius Atlhopheng.
Biased BBC Advice Based On Sloppy Statistics
This is a dismaying standard of scientific literacy from a BBC correspondent. Following Black’s presentation the BBC audience went away with the opposite impression of what is the case. Given the severe cutbacks the BBC is experiencing at the moment it would be like saying there will be more jobs, not fewer. I do hope that when those cuts are explained to the staff that a somewhat more sophisticated use of statistics is used.

Back when CO2 levels were safe, a southwestern U.S. drought only lasted nearly 50 years

Scientists find evidence of Roman period megadrought
Almost nine hundred years ago, in the mid-12th century, the southwestern U.S. was in the middle of a multi-decade megadrought. It was the most recent extended period of severe drought known for this region. But it was not the first.

A cross section of wood shows the annual growth rings trees add with each growing season. Dark bands of latewood form the boundary between each ring and the next. Counting backwards from the bark reveals a tree's age. Credit: Daniel Griffin/Laboratory of Tree-Ring Research
The second century A.D. saw an extended dry period of more than 100 years characterized by a multi-decade drought lasting nearly 50 years, says a new study from scientists at the University of Arizona.
When the IPCC Makes an Error, Is it the Journalist’s Fault? « NoFrakkingConsensus
So let me get this straight. The IPCC makes an error and Betts says I’m the one who should check more carefully? If the IPCC’s own website can’t be trusted, where should I have looked for the correct list of Chapter 3 authors?
Bloomberg: "Mind boggling" GOP candidates don't believe in [junk] science - Political Hotsheet - CBS News
New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg on Thursday let off some steam about the Republican presidential field, complaining that some candidates are skeptical of the science surrounding issues like global warming.

"We have presidential candidates who don't believe in science," Bloomberg said at a Columbia University economic forum, the New York Daily News reports. "I mean, just think about it, can you imagine a company of any size in the world where the CEO said 'oh I don't believe in science' and that person surviving to the end of that day? Are you kidding me? It's mind-boggling!"
Flashback: RyanAir CEO: "Global Warming Is Bull$#it" - Business Insider
The CEO of Europe's largest airline Ryanair has called global warming "bullshit" and "horseshit" in an interview with the Irish Independent.
0.0000% Of Australia Is Experiencing Drought | Real Science
According to Australia‘s BOM, as of the end of October no place in Australia is experiencing drought.

That has never happened in the US. where 80% of the country experienced drought in 1934.
Peatland carbon storage is stabilized against catastrophic release of carbon
Concerns that global warming may have a domino effect -unleashing 600 billion tons of carbon in vast expanses of peat in the Northern hemisphere and accelerating warming to disastrous proportions - may be less justified than previously thought.
An earthquake under Britain’s energy supply | Rob Lyons | spiked
The policies put forward to deal with possible global warming have been myopically obsessed with reducing greenhouse-gas emissions, even at the expense of inflated fuel bills and lower economic growth. A compromise solution like gas that reduces emissions while providing cheap energy would avoid some of the harm such policies might otherwise cause. It would also buy us some valuable time to see if this climate change fuss is really all it’s cracked up to be, and it would reduce the cost of importing energy into the UK.

No wonder greens are quaking in their boots.
Norway backsliding on climate issues : Views and News from Norway
Environmentalists were calling Norwegian Oil & Energy Minister Ola Borten Moe “a public relations agent” for Statoil on Friday, while industrial firm Aker reportedly may shut down its Aker Clean Carbon unit. Concerns are rising that Norway’s government and industry are backsliding on lofty promises to hinder climate change by cutting carbon emissions.
Antarctic crack could cause city-sized iceberg - ABC News (Australian Broadcasting Corporation)
When the ice breaks apart, it will produce an iceberg more than 880 square kilometres, said Mr Studinger, who is part of the US space agency's IceBridge project.

But the process is not a result of global warming, he said.

"We expect that later this year or early next year there will be a pretty large iceberg forming as part of a natural cycle," he said.

"These are cyclical events that occur every few years. The last big carving event occurred in 2001, so in general people have been expecting something to happen like that very soon.
Thrill-seeking for Gaia « The Daily Bayonet
DeCarteret is a member of ICECAAP, the ‘International Consortium of Explorers Concerned for the Arctic, Antarctic and Poles‘. In fact, ICECAAP is so concerned about it that the Latest News on their site is from March 2007. Someone should tell the concerned explorers that they need to keep their greenwash current if they don’t want pesky bloggers calling them thrill-seeking climate dilettantes, or something.
NBC Nightly News Regarding The Recent October Snowstorm And A Quote From John Nielsen-Gammon | Climate Science: Roger Pielke Sr.
One of the quotes in there, from my colleague John Nielsen-Gammon, does not appear to conform, regarding the October snow news report at NBC, to what he had written earlier on the drought in Texas.
1925, 1930 October Blizzards Buried New England | Real Science

Survey of more than 1000 Iowa farmers: 90% don't believe that climate change is caused mostly by human activities

In Iowa, some farmers see changing climate | Harvest Public Media
Nearly two-thirds of Iowa farmers believe climate change is real and more than 60 percent say farmers should take additional steps to protect their land from increased rainfall.
...
Still, only 10 percent of farmers said they believe climate change is caused mostly by human activities, even though that is the consensus in the scientific community.
CO2 Equals Temperature – Even If It Doesn’t
The theory that CO2 rise causes temperature rise is no longer a theory to Warmists. It is an axiom: An unquestionable truth. That it is false is impossible for them to see. Their minds just cannot handle the equation being wrong, even when it obviously is. They have a sort of short circuit in their brains that skips over all evidence on the question -- JR
Michael Mann - Speakers | TEDxPSU
The graph has received acclaim and criticism since its publishing. He has received many awards and honors including, but not limited to, the Outstanding Scientific Paper Award by NOAA in 2002 and also was named one of the 50 Leading Visionaries in Science and Technology by Scientific American. Michael is also one of the founders of RealClimate.org, a highly acclaimed climate science website that was chosen in 2005 as one of the top 25 “Science and Technology” websites by Scientific American and as one of the top 15 “green” websites by Time Magazine in 2008.
Fox Scraping The Barrel For Attacks On UN Climate Panel | Media Matters for America
Fox identified only one graduate student who worked on the 2007 report. 1 out of over 1250 authors.
The human cause of climate change: Where does the burden of proof lie?
Curry also suggested that the desire to reverse the null hypothesis may have the goal of seeking to marginalise the climate sceptic movement, a vocal group who have challenged the scientific orthodoxy on climate change.

"The proponents of reversing the null hypothesis should be careful of what they wish for," concluded Curry. "One consequence may be that the scientific focus, and therefore funding, would also reverse to attempting to disprove dangerous anthropogenic climate change, which has been a position of many sceptics."
- Bishop Hill blog - Australian temperatures
In overall summary, it is clear that increased solar insolation, caused by a combination of decreased clouds and decreased anthropogenic aerosols (and I argue particularly black carbon), is the primary cause of increasing minimum and increasing maximum temperatures, and hence the increase in the land surface 'global average temperature' calculated from these values.
Temperatures Plunge As CO2 Soars | Real Science
CO2 is rising much faster than expected to record levels, and temperatures have dropped 0.37C since last year - with every single day in 2011 cooler than the same day last year.
Coldest Year In Western Greenland Since 1993 | Real Science
Using GISS data, with Weather Underground filling in the missing holes that Hansen can’t find – Nuuk, Greenland is averaging -1.1C for the year to date. The last year which was colder was 1993.

So far, November is the coldest on record – going back to 1885.
Global Weirding Out Of Control | Real Science
A generation of children in the southeastern US are growing up with snow, but no hurricanes.

Thursday, November 03, 2011

Warmist Gleick, who trashed Donna's book without reading it, now praises a warmist grad student for also trashing the same book without reading it

86-year-old Mass. woman found dead in unheated home, son said had no power since Sat. | The Republic
Early said 59-year-old Willis Hall called 911 when he found his mother sitting wrapped in a blanket in a living room chair. Hall told police the house had been without power since late Saturday afternoon, and his mother had complained of the cold Wednesday night. He was taken to a hospital for treatment of a medical condition and possible hypothermia.
Twitter / @PeterGleick: What's scarier? This story ...
What's scarier? This story, or the stunningly ignorant/stupid comments? Biggest jump ever in global warming gases - news.yahoo.com/biggest-jump-e…
Arctic Sea Ice Remains Near-Record Low Despite Fast Freeze | Alaska Dispatch
Summer sea ice also provides habitat necessary to maintain healthy populations of polar bears, walruses and seals. When this hunting and denning platform disappears, marine mammals must swim farther or spend time on shore, making it hard to find enough to eat or avoid predators.
Question: What predators, other than polar bears, are walruses and seals trying to avoid when they're on shore?