Ministry Of Truth At Work In Florida
49 minutes ago
CO2 is NOT the climate control knob
Show topics have included a decline in pest control inspections caused by the slumping housing market, advice for controlling stinging insects, and observations about rodents from a columnist of the magazine, Dr. Bobby Corrigan (who noted that global warming may be increasing the rodent population because rats and mice are surviving milder winters).Also note that when we think we are in a period of global cooling, the above rules are immediately reversed.
Many people still aren't convinced about climate change. The evidence is mixed, so don't you need to be more honest about man made changes to the environment?From his Wikipedia page:
Henry Blackthorpe
Winchester
The evidence on climate change is not "mixed". The overwhelming weight of evidence now points to a rapid acceleration in human-induced changes in the climate, with rapidly worsening consequences for humankind. And every government in the world (including China, India, Saudi Arabia and the benighted Bush Administration in the United States) signed up to that consensus when they accepted the 2007 Assessment Report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. The real dishonesty lies in those vested interests which exploit any residual scientific uncertainty for their own political and commercial purposes.
How can we tackle the idiots who regard denying man-made global warning as a badge of right-wing ideological purity?
Chris Clayton
Waverton, Cheshire
The brigade of "idiots" gets smaller every year, and although they still have a disproportionate effect on the media and public opinion (sewing confusion, reinforcing inertia and so on), they are less and less relevant. Much more problematic are today's politicians who theoretically buy into the scientific consensus about climate change, but whose responses remain pathetically inadequate.
Porritt acts as advisor to many bodies on environmental matters, as well as to individuals including Prince Charles and Stuart Rose, the chief executive of Marks & Spencer, advising on that company's forward strategy.
Also during the [2007 Oscar] show, Jack Nicholson got stares when he stayed seated during the standing ovation for Al Gore and "An Inconvenient Truth."2. I've tried a few Google searches, and I haven't yet found any clearly hysterical global warming quotes from Nicholson. I'm not sure what he meant with this recent quote:
...You have to be ready to change your mind. We were wrong on global warming. We were wrong on dope. The only guy that ever agreed with me on [legalizing] dope was William F. Buckley. And that shocked me so deeply, I couldn't believe it… I like to reduce things down. One of the things you can do to solve energy is solve traffic. We burn so much gasoline sitting at traffic lights! But this is so far removed from the presidency. Let's get away from demographics and a bit more towards a meritocracy.”3. Nicholson just endorsed Hillary Clinton in this video, which completely fails to mention the alleged global warming crisis that is supposed to "make world war look like heaven".
He was attracted to the carbon program because it pays him for a farming technique he already practices.
The spot, which begins airing Tuesday on several cable networks, is also meant to counter a new outreach by the Alliance for Climate Protection, an umbrella organization founded by Mr. Gore last year. The group is planning a massive music festival in July and will spend a reported $10 million on advocacy ads promoting the "climate crisis" and eco-consciousness.Two comments:
-- Anything Green. In the '70s we were running out of oil. In the '80s we had to save the whales. In the '90s our attention turned to the depleted rain forests. Now it's all about global warming. Is your business doing what it can for the environment? Do you demand that all of your employees drive hybrid vehicles? Have you installed solar panels to conserve energy? No? Then join the rest of us who want nothing more than to ruin the earth with our decadent and destructive business practices. Do we not care about the environment? Yes, but not enough to waste money on this year's fire drill. If you can find a technology that helps the environment and is good for your business then go for it. And please let me know too, as I'm still trying to find it.
In his first major speech since taking over, Professor John Beddington said the global rush to grow biofuels was compounding the problem, and cutting down rainforest to produce biofuel crops was "profoundly stupid".
Several Republicans argued that there's no need to rush the proposal.
"It's like we're scurrying to get something done, like something's going to happen to discredit the whole global-warming thing," said Rep. Ed Orcutt, R-Kalama.
Camilla, who was once accused by senior royal aide Mark Bolland of being "monumentally lazy", will miss 10 of the 44 engagements on the taxpayer-funded tour so that she can "rest" or prepare for other duties on the 246ft superyacht Leander.If Charles really thinks that "the lives of billion of people" are at stake here, don't you think that Camilla should be "interested" in discussing climate change?
Aides said she would be absent from some jobs because they involved subjects specifically of interest to Charles - such as meeting business leaders or discussing climate change.
A CO2 tax will largely be levied on utilities that exceed modest limits on their carbon dioxide effluent, so consumers won't "see" it — except in their electric bills. They'll send in their monthly checks, quite unaware that the new tax revenues are likely to be shoved into a slush fund for solar energy, windmills, biodiesel, ethanol and other green gadgetry boondoggles.
The UN predicts there will be millions of "environmental migrants" by 2020 which may in turn "increase conflicts in transit and destination areas," says the report.
...
It cited estimates that "a business as usual scenario" in dealing with climate change could cost the world economy up to 20 percent of GDP per year...
"Garbage in — gospel out." That's how astrophysicist and geoscientist Willie Soon described the process of the United Nations' IPCC using computer models to prop up the global warming hoax at the 2008 International Conference on Climate Change, which concluded this week in New York City.
Whether it is called energy efficiency or, in clumsy bureaucratese, demand management, Firth's task is to get all of us to slash our electricity use in the home, the office, at school, in shops, hospitals, factories, clubs, pubs, courtrooms and prisons over the next three years. If she fails the political fallout will hit every Labor member as electricity bills soar in the new carbon-constrained economy just around the corner.
Right now the public is with her. But her success or failure is likely to be influenced by the Government's leading climate sceptic, the Treasurer, Michael Costa.
There are a legion of fallen heroes in the NSW climate change battle who have gone before the fresh-faced new minister. Many were passionately committed officials and advisers who were encouraged to join the same fight under the former premier Bob Carr, only to leave the field disillusioned despite some shining achievements.
Insiders have told the Herald of a decade of warfare with the state's two dominant treasurers, both of whom questioned the reality of climate change, promoted a reliance on cheap electricity from coal-fired power and downplayed the effectiveness of cutting electricity use.
A lack of money and, most importantly, a lack of political will to tackle energy efficiency at senior levels left the boldest program to wither. Ambitious targets were quietly forgotten and results suppressed after they became too embarrassing to publish.
Over the same decade greenhouse gas emissions from electricity in NSW rose steadily along with electricity consumption, which increased 2.5 per cent each year.
LACONIA, N.H. — It has been a great winter for skiers in central and northern New England, but the heavy snowfall has become a nightmare for municipal budgets and the owners of dozens of buildings whose roofs have collapsed.
EDMONTON - Only about one in three Alberta earth scientists and engineers believe the culprit behind climate change has been identified, a new poll reported today.
The expert jury is divided, with 26 per cent attributing global warming to human activity like burning fossil fuels and 27 per cent blaming other causes such as volcanoes, sunspots, earth crust movements and natural evolution of the planet.
A 99-per-cent majority believes the climate is changing. But 45 per cent blame both human and natural influences, and 68 per cent disagree with the popular statement that "the debate on the scientific causes of recent climate change is settled."
Unfortunately, that doesn't seem to be San Francisco Mayor Gavin Newsom's philosophy. In 2006, city officials announced that they wanted to build turbines under the Golden Gate bridge to capture energy from tidal currents. At the time, they expected up to 38 megawatts (enough for approx. 38,000 homes). But now a new study by URS, an engineering firm, is saying that there would actually be just 1 or 2 megawatts produced at a cost of many tens of millions with high yearly maintenance expenses. "Power generated from the tides would cost between 80 cents and $1.40 per kilowatt hour, according to the study." For comparison, the Bay of Fundy has about 300 megawatts of potential.
Mayor Newsom has been recently quoted as saying: "I don't care about the arguments against it. I care about the arguments for it. I am going to find a way to make it happen." Granted, maybe he knows something that the public doesn't know, and if that is the case he should make that information available.
As we all know, climate science is not a numbers game (there are heaps of signed statements by folks with advanced degrees on all sides of this issue).
Global warming worries 34 percent of Swedes, but only 5 percent of Russians.
RealClimate is a commentary site on climate science by working climate scientists for the interested public and journalists. We aim to provide a quick response to developing stories and provide the context sometimes missing in mainstream commentary.There has been a stunning amount of climate-related news in recent weeks. Where are these guys?
In fact, the data reveal that the long-term trend in sea levels since the Cretaceous has been downward, said Müller, who led the study appearing in tomorrow's issue of the journal Science.
When this trend is extrapolated out 80 million years from now, it suggests that even if all of today's ice caps were to melt, sea levels would be 230 feet (70 meters) lower than they are today.
One of the sequences I followed with increasing alarm through my career was the intrusion of computer modelers into climate science. I had worked with mathematicians and statisticians such as Alex Basilevsky on using long term climate records as a basis for math and stats theory. For example, Basilevsky was studying Markov chains that consider probability of future events based on historic data - his concern wasn't weather forecasting, but the implications are there. The complexity of climate offered a great challenge for mathematicians and computer modelers. Andrew Weaver is a mathematician who used ocean /atmosphere modeling for his doctoral thesis and now lists himself as a climatologist. In my first interview with him I realized he actually knew very little about climate even though he was a member of the IPCC. He now edits a climate journal. It reached a point when modelers were the keynote speakers at most conferences and then dominated the conference. They did argue among themselves, but it was more about the size and speed of their computers than about the efficacy of what they were doing. For example, it gave one group, ( I believe it was GISS) an advantage when they got Cray computers.
My first experience with Schlesinger was a conference in Edmonton in 1987 titled "The Impact of Climate Variability and Change on the Canadian Prairies." (Proceeding were published by the Canadian Climate Centre.) The basic issue was government planning based on future climate conditions. For example, in one discussion I recall the Alberta Deputy Minister of Resources (Most senior bureaucrat in a department) asking about forestry. His question was, "Your models tell us that southern Alberta will be a desert in 50 years. How sure are you of that prediction, because we are planning to plant trees and you are telling us they won't survive and we can't move them?" It was the first time I saw the models confronted with the realities of policy. As I recall Schlesinger thought for a while and then said "About 50% sure." To which the Deputy replied, "My Minister wants 98%."
Schlesinger's paper took the same data and put it into five of the major models of that time, including, 1. the GDFL of Weatherald and Manabe, 2. the GISS of Hansen et al, 3. the NCAR of Washington and Meehl, 4. the OSU of Schlesinger and Zhoa and, 5. the UKMO of Wilson and Mitchell.
A major thrust of the debate was because Schlesinger had put the same data into the five models and each produced results that he claimed were meaningful. Somebody pointed out that the results differed considerably from model to model. For example, they differed by 180° in their predictions for large areas. Schlesinger's reply was the models were not accurate for small regions. The person pointed out that the small regions were continental in their dimension. Much laughter at this point. Schlesinger then said the models were not quantitatively correct but they were qualitatively correct. When asked to explain what he meant he said well they all showed global warming with increased CO2. It was quickly pointed out that if you program them to have temperature increase with a CO2 increase (ceteris paribus) then that was an inevitable result of the programming not the reality. The noise volume increased at which point a bizarre incident occurred.
During Schlesinger's presentation, titled, "Model projections of the Equilibrium and Transient Climatic Changes induced by Increased Atmospheric CO2" there were general rumblings in the audience about the nature and assertiveness of the presentation, something that I had come to know as normal for modelers. This erupted in the question period. However, prior to that there were strange noises coming from behind me. I did not want to look around based on my experience at english soccer matches. In the question period voices were raised and frustrations expressed about the inadequacy of the models. Suddenly at the height of the din a shoe flew upon to the platform from behind me. There was shocked silence and a strange voice said, "I didn't have a towel." He then asked permission to go onto the platform. It turned out the strange noises were from the shoe thrower who had a voice box. He explained he had two Ph.Ds one in Atmospheric Physics and proceeded to put a formula on the blackboard. Schlesinger agreed it was the formula for the atmosphere at the basis of his models. The man then eliminated variables one at a time, each time having Schlesinger agree he eliminated them from the final model. The man then said what you have left no longer represents the atmosphere and any results from such as model were meaningless.
It was my first public experience with the concern I have about the boundary and difference between scientific responsibility in the laboratory, which unfortunately too many scientists are not meeting, and the completely different social and economic responsibilities when you push your ideas as viable to the public.
A brief look at the graph depicting January global average temperatures reveals large variability in our climate year-on-year, but with an underlying rise over the longer term almost certainly caused by man-made emissions of greenhouse gases.
If we continue to debate climate change instead of taking action, I will take no comfort in telling the skeptics "I was right" while standing on some tiny island created by the rising seas.
Senator Shirley McKague, a Meridian Republican, said one big reason she and her colleagues voted against the plan is they aren't convinced humans are actually contributing to climate change.Huh?
Senator Mike Burkett, a Boise Democrat, says the resolution wasn't about the science, it was about what the state was going to do about climate change.
Dr Spencer's talk was perhaps the most important at the conference and his conclusions including:
1. Recent research supports reduced climate sensitivity including that tropical intra-seasonal osciallations show strong negative feedback and observational estimates of feedback are likely bias due to neglect of natural variability, and
2. The accommodation of these results by climate modellers in their cloud parameterization could greatly reduce climate model projections of future warming.
Most New Zealanders seem to think we should come down hard on countries who aren't as committed to climate change action as we are.2. From this page:
The Government is running risks with New Zealand's international reputation by talking about carbon neutrality when on our present course and speed we will be lucky to reach our Kyoto target by 2050 - 38 years late, the New Zealand Institute says.Update: See also the post and comments here.
It says that climate change can be contained to less than 2ºC as a global average - but green taxes or carbon trading schemes need to be applied to all energy sources in every country in the world as soon as possible.I'm not at all convinced that these people know what they're talking about.
Researchers say that it should be possible to contain global warming by pricing carbon at $2 a ton in 2008, around $50 in 2030 and $150 a ton in 2050. Doing it later will cost more.
That is the equivalent of placing a tax of $0.5 cents per litre on petrol in 2010, 12 cents in 2030 and 37 cents in 2050.
Climate change, almost unreported eight years ago when I established Genersys is now a subject that has become for many a marketing opportunity and for others an excuse for bad behaviour, shameful policies and practices.
The Global Integrated Assessment Model (GIAM) shows Australia's economic output would fall 0.6 per cent by 2050 below the level it would be without climate change, and five per cent by 2100.I have absolutely no faith in the predictive ability of these models.

The one thing all the attendees seem to share is a deep dislike for mandatory restrictions on greenhouse gases.How about rephrasing that as:
The one thing all the attendees seem to share is a sound understanding of the vast mismatch between the media's climate hysteria and real-world climate data.2. Revkin also writes:
One of the unavoidable realities attending global warming — a reality that makes it the perfect problem — is that there is plenty of remaining uncertainty, even as the basics have grown ever firmer (my litany: more CO2 = warmer world = less ice = rising seas and lots of climate shifts).I wish Revkin would take some time to tell us specifically how those "basics have grown ever firmer" since January '07.
Despite his protestations of "fair and balanced" reporting "making no one happy" check out the way he phrases his descriptions.
Here’s the bottom line for you Andy: really crappy models say there’s a potential problem — the real world says there’s not. If you actually get around to reporting in a fair and balanced manner I’d suggest the story is the gargantuan industry built on virtual world scare stories that is siphoning vast sums out of of society’s coffers.
The fun thing about believing humans are poisoning the whole world is that you are licensed to do anything to stop them...
Q Thank you, Dana. On another question -- two questions. President Klaus of the Czech Republic, and John Stossel, the co-anchor of ABC's 20-20, are among 98 speakers at the International Conference on Climate Change, Global Warming: Truth or Swindle, which is now going on in New York City. And my question: Does the President welcome or deplore this gathering of so many scientists who have signed a petition that global warming probably is natural and not a crisis?Update: A related post at Think Progress is here, entitled "White House Refuses To Disagree With Views Of Global Warming Deniers".
MS. PERINO: I don't think the President has an opinion on the meeting. I haven't talked to him about it. And if people want to gather and express their views, they're obviously very welcome to do so, and New York is as good a place as any.
Q You are saying that he doesn't disagree with these people who are questioning --
MS. PERINO: The President's position on climate change is well-known. He's long said that human beings are contributing in some ways to climate change. And that's why we're taking steps to deal with it, and in fact, tomorrow will make a -- have remarks at the International Renewable Energy Conference, when he talks about that very issue.
Councillor Doug Holyday said as long as the city allows the homeless to sleep on the streets, people will freeze to death.
"We shouldn't be leaving people out on the streets in cold weather. There's no question about that. Some people don't have the ability to know how cold it is or how cold it is going to get and they sleep out there," he added.
"They sleep out there, and maybe in the summer time they've been able to do that fine, but when the cold weather hits and they don't know when that's coming, you're certainly going to have people dying on your streets if you let them sleep out there."
He calculated his energy usage, from his flights and driving to his share of the U.S. military's energy usage, and came up with 14,000 watts conservatively, and more likely 25,000 watts, per year. And that's for a man who bikes and takes a ferry to work, and lives in a small house in an urban area.
Griffith says he now has a 10 year plan for cutting his carbon usage down to something closer to 2,200 watts per year, requiring him to eat mostly vegetarian, drive to a surfing spot only twice a year, and flying to Australia to visit his family only every three years.
Griffith only touched briefly on why anyone would actually voluntarily limit their own activities for the abstract good of preventing London from going underwater in 100 years, when all of us will surely be dead.
"If you do what you want to do already, the goal will be reached," Griffith said, referring to eating less, spending more time with family, and living closer to friends.
Considering how many false alarms have been raised previously by scientists (the “population crisis,” the “energy crisis,” the “cancer epidemic” from synthetic chemicals), I wouldn’t be surprised if the predictions of global warming turn out to be wrong or greatly exaggerated. Scientists are prone to herd thinking — informational cascades– and this danger is particularly acute when they have to rely on so many people outside their field to assess a topic as large as climate change. So I’m glad to see contrarians raising awkward questions and pointing out weaknesses in predictions made with computer models. As S. Fred Singer, the editor of the skeptics’ report, said at the conference yesterday: “Models are very nice, but they’re not reality and they’re not evidence.”
...I had a radio interview in the morning that generated so much traffic to my website that it overloaded the server, and I had to defer traffic from it.Watts also notes what a questioner said:
“There’s good news and bad news. The good news is that you’ve pointed out serious issues with the way temperatures are being measured in the USA. The bad news is that the USA has the best temperature measurement network in the world.”From his Day 3 post here:
Some valid and interesting ideas have been presented here, and despite all the scoffing by the critics, there wasn’t any group prayer, tobacco booths, or free cans of 10W-40 motor oil. It has been all about science, and science policy.
But those who close their minds and choose to only deal in stereotypes of course won’t ever see that, but instead will just pile on the stereotypical criticism as part of their regular closed mind comfort zone.
Revkin concluded his column by coyly noting that “when an organizer made an announcement asking all of the scientists in the large hall to move to the front for a group picture, 19 men did so,” implying that only 19 scientists were at the conference. If Revkin had paid closer attention, or simply asked conference organizers about the speakers and attendees, he would have learned that about 100 scientists participated in the conference. Those included experts on meteorology, climatology, geology, and physics, representing at least 30 universities.
"...By 2020 there will be a 50 per cent reduction of agriculture in Africa effecting their people's survival", Pachauri said.
If the NIPCC report is flawed, then its critics should try to lay out their objections without emotive references to “denial” or libelous claims of “venality” on the part of skeptics--or to claims that the work was produced by Exxon-Mobil. The Post welcomes all comments on the report, preferably from those who have read it.
By the way, these problems with ethanol we are experiencing today were are inevitable as night follows day, yet we still had to blunder into it before we started questioning the economics. The power of political correctness to trump science and logic is amazing.
Monckton told the audience that the science will eventually prevail and the “scare” of global warming will go away.
“They’ve got the science wrong and it will gradually penetrate to the general public that they have got the science wrong and once the penny drops – that will be the end of this scare too,” Monckton added. “We’re not far away from it now.”
JIM CRAMER (ON TAPE): Asking the icon. Sir, isn't it true that we have an energy policy backing ethanol that is creating so much inflation that perhaps it would be better to stop the emphasis on ethanol, allowing inflation to come down and the Federal Reserve to cut more? Am I wrong that mankind is being crucified upon a cross of ethanol right now, and it's killing the poorer nations and the people in our country who can't afford anymore to eat chicken or beef?
QUICK: Warren, what do you think?
BUFFETT: I wouldn't put it exactly in those terms, but I would say that ethanol is a relatively inefficient way of creating gasoline--gasoline equivalent, and it uses a lot of energy in the process of raising the corn that does it. And, as correctly pointed out, it has a by-product of raising agricultural products elsewhere. In economics you can never do one thing. Anytime anybody tells you they're doing something in economics, then you have to say, `And then what?' And the `and then what' in the case of ethanol is A, if you use it to plant more corn, you're going to use--in terms of fertilizer and everything, you're going to use a lot of energy. And secondly, you're going to raise the prices, on balance, you'll raise the prices of other agricultural products. So there's no question that that--that's a fairly correct statement of the problem.
QUICK: Those are very brave words when you realize we're standing in the "Cornhusker State."
BUFFETT: Yeah.
QUICK: Do you get pushback from that?
BUFFETT: My son was head of the Nebraska Ethanol Commission. He is a farmer. He lives $5 1/2 corn, he loves $12 soy beans, I don't blame him. But I'm not running for anything, fortunately, and, you know, I can call them as I see them.
They don’t want you to see it for what it is - a gathering of people who may have some science in their backgrounds but have long since sold their soul to the energy industry...You can also read more from Kevin Grandia at DeSmogBlog, one of the few true greens allowed to register for the event.According to Anthony Watts, alarmists like Al Gore, James Hansen, and Gavin Schmidt were in fact invited
This is the official Daily Kos account for National Wildlife Federation.Note that this Daily Kos post is also crossposted on an NWF blog here.
I was surprised to learn that Al Gore had been offered an opportunity to address this conference, and his usual $200,000 speaking fee and expenses were met, but that he declined.
I also know that invitations went out to NASA GISS principal scientists Dr. James Hansen, and Dr. Gavin Schmidt as evidenced by their writeup of the issue on their blog, RealClimate.org
They have also declined, even though it would be easy for them to attend, given that NASA GISS is located just a few blocks away at Columbia University.
Eliminating the pollution threat to humanity and the rest of the earth’s biosystem requires a fundamental shift in how the world’s economy is organized. The profit drive and the belief that the earth’s resources are unlimited must be replaced with a planned economy that both meets human social and cultural needs and strictly respects humanity’s dependence on a healthy biosphere.
Q: You and Sen. Joseph Lieberman have long pushed for a cap-and-trade system to combat global warming. Auctioning emission permits, as you bill would do, could raise huge amounts of revenue, similar to a tax. What would you use the money for?From here:
[McCain]:I hear this interesting argument that somehow this would cost more money to our economy. I am absolutely convinced that innovation, technology, and using the entrepreneurship of America will come up with technologies which will save money, be a boon to our economy, and clean up our environment.
Sen. McCain's biggest regulatory effort is likely to come in the field of climate change. Along with independent Connecticut Sen. Joseph Lieberman, who was then a Democrat, Sen. McCain introduced the earliest version of a cap-and-trade system in 2003, and the pair have refined their ideas since. Under their plan, the government sets emissions goals. Companies that can't meet their targets must buy permits to produce carbon dioxide, either from companies that produce less CO2 than they are permitted, or from the government.
The system may require a large regulatory apparatus. In the latest McCain-Lieberman version, the government would auction off carbon-emission permits. According to Harvard economist Robert Stavins, such sales could raise $50 billion to $100 billion a year.
An Energy Department analysis says Sen. McCain's plan raises energy prices so much that it would reduce economic growth.
"I hear this interesting argument that somehow this would cost more money to our economy," says Sen. McCain. But, "I am absolutely convinced that innovation, technology, and using the entrepreneurship of America will come up with technologies which will save money, be a boon to our economy, and clean up our environment." He's unlikely to get much argument on this from his Democratic opponents; Sens. Obama and Clinton co-sponsored Sen. McCain's legislation.
The authors expect freeze damage to worsen as temperatures continue to rise due to greenhouse gas emissions.
Hi Marc,
Yes, I saw the entry in your report (and well done, I might add). What prompted me to send you some additional material was not your report, but rather Revkin's NY Times article in which he (1) quotes a bunch of CO2 dogmatists as saying the cooling is just a minor blip and we'll be back headed for toast very soon, and (2) although he quotes you, he doesn't quote any scientists who have good data that what we're seeing is not just weather, but rather a fully expected change to a global cooling mode. So I sent you a bunch of data that I thought might be useful in responding to the global cooling deniers, namely:
1. We've been on a predicted cooling trend since 2002 (see attached curve). The average of the four main temperature measuring methods is slightly cooler since 2002 (except for a brief el Nino interuption) and record breaking cooling this winter. The argument that this is too short a time period to be meanful would be valid were it not for the fact that this cooling exactly fits the pattern of timing of warm/cool cycles over the past 400 years and was predicted (see publications I sent earlier).
2. We are entering a solar cycle of much reduced sun spots, very similar to that which accompanied the change from the Medieval Warm Period to the Little Ice Age, which virtually all scientists agree was caused by solar variation. Thus, we seem to be headed for cooler temperatures as a result of reduce solar irradiance.
3. Sea surface temperatures in the NE Pacific mirror the atmospheric observations of cooling since 2002.
4. Some glaciers are slowing their rate of retreat in response to the past 6 years of cooling. (They aren't readvancing yet because it takes awhile for a turnaround.
So what is the significance of the present globally icy winter and slight cooling for the past 6 years? By itself, it’s weather and arguably not statistically important. However, when considered in the light of the past 6-year cooling trend, the continuation of that pattern is important because if we are to believe the IPCC’s prediction of a 1° F warming by 2011, that will require warming of almost 1° F in the next three years! The IPCC recasts its predictions every year to match actual conditions so they appear to stay ‘on-track.’ However, they made finite predictions some years ago and if IPCC is to remain credible, those predictions need to be accountable. In a nutshell, in 2001, I put my reputation on the line and published my predictions for entering a global cooling cycle about 2007 (plus or minus 3-5 years), based on past glacial, ice core, and other data. As right now, my prediction seems to be right on target and what we would expect from the past climatic record, but the IPCC prediction is getting farther and farther off the mark. With the apparent solar cooling cycle upon us, we have a ready explanation for global warming and cooling. If the present cooling trend continues, the IPCC reports will have been the biggest farce in the history of science.
Anyway, I wanted to provide you with real data to substantiate the concept that we have entered a period of real global cooling, not just a cold winter.
Keep up the good work!
Don
Passionate and eloquently spoken, Gore seemed almost like the preacher at the pulpit before his congregation.
California's budget is starting to cramp its environmentally hip style.I'd like to see a cost/benefit analysis here--what is the cost of filling these 212 positions, and what is the measurable "benefit" in terms of expected degrees of global temperature decrease.
Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger is proposing to borrow money from special funds to pay for implementing the state's ambitious plan to roll back greenhouse gas emissions to 1990 levels by 2020.
The administration wants to borrow the money from various funds filled by driver's license and vehicle registration fees, as well as tap into recycling deposits, to help pay for 212 positions at a dozen state agencies.
As it turns out, state curriculum makes no declarations about naming and teaching climate change's exact causes. "You'll notice we don't say anywhere that humans are warming up the atmosphere," said Barbara Gentry, secondary science teacher specialist for the Jordan School District. "Students are merely asked to investigate or research the effects of global changes on earth systems."I think Barbara should spend some serious time here.
It's assumed, then, that students examine evidence and data for themselves and reach their own conclusions. At the same time, there's no requirement that science teachers give equal time to scientists who interpret the data differently. Presenting "both sides" of the debate would be appropriate, Gentry said, but not altogether necessary.
"It's very difficult to find materials on the other side of the debate that are science-based," Gentry said. "That comment's going to get me into trouble, but it's true.
"Yes, a good teacher would present all the different ways in which we know why the climate changes. At the same time, current data shows that our climate has never changed this fast before."
If we ignore global warming much longer, we'll face a world of perpetual disaster, so there's no larger question for presidential candidates than who is more likely to tackle it successfully.
In a 3 - 0 vote last night, the board ruled that the showing of Al Gore's movie, "An Inconvenient Truth" to the students will not be allowed unless an opposing view is also presented.